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Posted at 10:30 AM ET, 05/ 6/2009

Forecast: Sun Still Elusive as Weather Warms

By Dan Stillman

Next round of rain late today

* April Recap | Later: Will Summer Slow Swine Flu? *


Today: Mostly cloudy. 40% chance of showers by evening. Upper 60s to near 70. | Tonight: Showers and storms (70% chance). Breezy. Low 60s. | Tomorrow: Morning showers? Then an isolated shower or storm? Partly sunny. Upper 70s. | A Look Ahead


I promise you the sun is still up there, shining in all its glory. If only the clouds would part so we could see it. While we might see skies brighten a bit today, I don't think we'll see a significant period of sun until tomorrow. Meanwhile, there's the potential for more soggy showers and storms this evening and then at times through Saturday. What about Mother's Day? It actually looks quite promising.

Temperatures: Current area temperatures. Powered by Weather Bonk. Map by Google. Hover over and click icons for more info. Click and hold on map to pan. Refresh page to update. See map bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Wednesday): Low clouds and areas of fog make for another dreary drive to work. At least we're rain-free through much of the day, and skies may even brighten a bit late morning into midday as highs reach the upper 60s to near 70. Clouds thicken again as the afternoon goes on, and showers could develop (40% chance) after about 4 or 5 p.m. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: Occasional showers and maybe a few thunderstorms become more likely (70% chance) starting around 8 p.m. and through the night, which will be rather breezy. Lows in the low 60s. Some spots could pick up another .25"-.50" of rain, with more possible for those who see a thunderstorm. Confidence: Low-Medium

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend....

Tomorrow (Thursday): An area of showers could linger into Thursday morning, especially from I-95 toward points east. Once those move off, we should be looking at just a chance on an isolated shower or thunderstorm for the rest of the day. You can thank a warming breeze from the west and -- yes, finally some periods of sun -- for sending temperatures shooting toward highs in the upper 70s. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow Night: Partly cloudy with an isolated shower. Lows in the upper 50s to near 60 in the burbs, and low-to-mid 60s downtown. Confidence: Medium


Friday, we're back to mostly cloudy skies with the potential for another round of showers and possibly thunderstorms, most likely in the afternoon or evening. Highs should get to the 70s. Clouds and shower chances persist Friday night as lows drop to the 50s (burbs) to near 60 (downtown). Confidence: Low

Depending on the timing of an approaching cold front, Saturday could turn out not so bad -- partly to mostly cloudy with highs in the 70s to near 80 -- until the front brings a chance of showers and thunderstorms late Saturday and Saturday night. Confidence: Low

Sunday (Mother's Day) is shaping up to be the cooler weekend day with highs in the 60s, but also the sunnier one with partly sunny skies and highs in the 60s to near 70. Confidence: Medium

By Dan Stillman  | May 6, 2009; 10:30 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Will Summer Weather Suppress Swine Flu?


I checked my rain bucket this morning and it had 3" in it. I believe I last emptied it on Friday around noon.

Current conditions: foggy, 52.9F

Location: Blue Ridge east of Front Royal

Posted by: spgass1 | May 6, 2009 9:42 AM | Report abuse

Whoa, what was that brief bright light in the sky? Almost had to break out the sunglasses for a second there.

Seriously though, you know it's been gloomy too long when sunlight briefly pours in your window and you stop what you're doing because it's a shock to your system.

Saw a story on channel 9 this morning that some local farmers are a little frustrated by the rain as well. One said that we really needed a stretch of warm, dry weather to help out the process.

Amen, my man, amen.

P.S. Any chance we equal last May's 10 inches for the month? (I certainly hope not.)

Posted by: ThinkSpring | May 6, 2009 9:57 AM | Report abuse

Filtered sunshine this morning! Anyone else glad to have at least a glipse of brightness today?? :)

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | May 6, 2009 12:02 PM | Report abuse

I left my sunglasses at home, so no.

Posted by: ah___ | May 6, 2009 12:16 PM | Report abuse

Another round of slop and crud coming through later...may only make flood/mold problems worse.

Situation on Friday will determine which evening dance I attend...the one here in Virginia or the one at Chevy Chase. Thunderstorm activity Friday between 5:30 and 7 PM will tend to favor Chevy Chase Ballroom ($15.00+ Metro fare) over the Elks Lodge ($25.00 + high one-way cab fare, but the food is better).

Interestingly enough, the low-priced Chevy Chase dance has the live band [Natty Beaux] while the Elks Lodge has a DJ! Friday evening presents a case when a well-timed thunderstorm would save me money!!!

Posted by: Bombo47jea | May 6, 2009 12:34 PM | Report abuse

Got a softball game in Vienna at 730. Think the chances are the rain will hold off or has the 8 oclock time frame changed a little? Any insight would be greatly appreciated.

Posted by: asimo | May 6, 2009 1:38 PM | Report abuse

asimo -- I still think 8 p.m. and after is when the chances of showers and possibly thunderstorms start to become more significant. At this point, though, we're not looking at a definite evening washout. So I would hope for the best, but check in with our PM Update around 3:15 or 3:30, and certainly take a look at radar (which will appear with PM Update) as it gets closer to your game time.

Posted by: Dan-CapitalWeatherGang | May 6, 2009 2:13 PM | Report abuse

It was nice to be able to take my toddler to the park for an hour or two today, even if the ground and everything else was SOPPING wet. Seriously, it was a like a swamp out there! We both came home muddy and wet to the bone, but it was still wonderful to be outside.

I don't think we're going to be able to do it again tomorrow, though. I can only imagine what tonight's absolute deluge is going to do the grass and mulch.

Posted by: thepill | May 6, 2009 9:13 PM | Report abuse

Why aren't we getting the daily forecasts at 5 am anymore? I used to prepare to leave the house based on CWG's detailed forecast. Now I cannot do that.

Posted by: Lindemann777 | May 7, 2009 6:57 AM | Report abuse

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