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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 05/ 9/2009

Forecast: Warm & Drier, But Slight P.M. Storm Risk

By Jason Samenow

* UnitedCast | Drought Out, Pollen In | Weather & Swine Flu *


Today: Partly sunny. P.M. storms? Low 80s. | Tonight: Clearing. 55-60. | Tomorrow: Mostly sunny, breezy. 71-75. | A Look Ahead


Our weather is definitely trending drier after a very wet 10-day stretch. Though a few thunderstorms could develop today, like yesterday, much of the day will be rain-free. Then tomorrow and into mid-next week, the rain threat entirely dissolves starting a well-deserved dry stretch. After 80s today, temperatures will be in the delightful upper 60s to mid-70s.

Today (Saturday): We have a summery start to the weekend, with a mix of clouds and sun, and temperatures climbing into the low 80s. You also may notice a touch of humidity. A cold front moves through the region late in the afternoon into the early evening, triggering a 30% chance of thunderstorms, with the greatest potential along and east of I-95. Any thunderstorms that form could be intense, with strong winds and hail. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Skies will gradually clear as the cold front exits the region. Temperatures will drop down to rather comfortable levels, with lows 55-60 (suburbs-city). Confidence: High

Keep reading for the forecast into early next week...

Fog with sun at the Penderbrook golf course in Fairfax at 7 a.m. Friday morning. By CWG photographer Kevin Ambrose.

Mother's Day (Sunday): Our first -- high confidence rain-free day arrives at a great time. High pressure building in from the northwest will deliver comfortable temperatures, sunshine and a delightfully dry breeze (from the northwest at 10-20 mph). Highs should be in the mid-70s. Confidence: High

Tomorrow Night: Clear and cool as winds diminish. Lows will drop down to the chilly low-to-mid 40s in the cooler suburbs to near 50 downtown. Confidence: High


High pressure will dominate the weather map both Monday and Tuesday, with partly to mostly sunny skies and highs near 70. Overnight lows will be in the 40s. Confidence: Medium-High

By Jason Samenow  | May 9, 2009; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Severe Thunderstorm Watch South of Region


We sure needed some high pressure over here!

Posted by: bastings | May 9, 2009 11:21 AM | Report abuse

Ah, Finally... a MUCH-NEEDED dry spell!!!

I was able to get to my "expensive" Elks Lodge dance last night and tried something new on the way home...Metro and Routes 1C and 16E buses. Though it took me until well after midnight to get home, I saved an estimated $25.00 in taxi fares and tips. In addition, all I saw of the "humongous" and much-advertised Midwestern "inland hurricane" derecho aiming at us from Kentucky yesterday evening was a few post-midnight sprinkles. The West Virginia mountains generally do a good job on these Midwestern mesoscale thunderstorm complexes, especially when they hit in the middle of the night...I didn't even see any heat lightning around here.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | May 9, 2009 2:07 PM | Report abuse

Bombo, I too thought the Midwestern storm was going to hit us last night. I was glad to see it weaken as it crossed the mountains.

Despite the pollen, I am loving the dry, sunny weather!

Posted by: david_in_stafford | May 9, 2009 2:46 PM | Report abuse

Why are you guys so surprised that Mesocale system broke up last night over West Virginia, and gave us only light showers? It did not reach this area till a number of hours after sunset, conditions by then were relatively stable, and there was little upper-air support.

Posted by: MMCarhelp | May 9, 2009 6:04 PM | Report abuse

Current conditions: partly cloudy, 57.4F

Location: Blue Ridge Mtns, east of Front Royal

Posted by: spgass1 | May 10, 2009 12:58 AM | Report abuse

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