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Posted at 9:40 AM ET, 05/ 5/2009

Forecast: Warmer, But Can't Shake the Showers

By Matt Rogers

* NatCast | Stunning NASA Imagery | Later: April Recap *


Today: Cloudy; showers, mainly in the p.m. 61-65. Tonight: Cloudy, showers (80% chance). 52-56. | Tomorrow: Status quo showers (60% chance). 66-70. | A Look Ahead


Our dreary Monday weather is behind us. High temperatures yesterday afternoon were an impressive 15-20 degrees colder than normal. Temperatures will be warming through the next few days, but our showers will remain frequently persistent. Healthy chances of rain can be expected each period through the balance of this week.

Today (Tuesday): Cloudy skies should prevail this morning with the best chance of a renewed round of showers by afternoon and especially toward evening (60% chance with scattered accumulations up to .15"). We are trending warmer with highs in the low-to-mid 60s (compared to yesterday's 50s). Confidence: Medium

Tonight: Another disturbance will drive showers and thunderstorms into the area even more impressively. Look for a solid 80% chance of rain with accumulations ranging from a quarter to half inch, locally higher. Lows should drift back down to the low-to-mid 50s. Confidence: Medium

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Wednesday): More clouds, and then more showers and storms are forecast to develop toward the afternoon into the evening hours. Probability of precipitation is 60%. Winds will shift and arrive from the southeast now, allowing temperatures to sneak up a little higher. Look for highs in the upper 60s to near 70. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow Night: You guessed it. More clouds and showers (60% chance) with lows near 60. Confidence: Low-Medium


Thursday continues the warming theme as we are poised to see highs in the upper 70s and possibly 80 around the area. We cannot escape the rain chances though with a 40% during the day (especially in the afternoon) and 60% chance at night (lows in lower 60s). Confidence: Low-Medium

Friday could be our warmest day of the week with temperatures in the low 80s and a slight chance of showers. An alternative scenario brings heavy midday/afternoon rain to the area that will force temperatures to hold in the 70s instead. Confidence: Low-Medium

Does the weekend offer any (drier) change for the area? Not immediately. Saturday looks to hold more showers again as a cold front approaches the area. Highs should be in the 70s with lows in the upper 50s to low 60s. Sunday is the first day of our entire forecast period where showers are currently not forecast. Instead, we are looking at cooler weather under high pressure and partly sunny skies. Highs should only be in the 60s. Confidence: Low-Medium

By Matt Rogers  | May 5, 2009; 9:40 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: NatCast: Possible Showers
Next: Recap: A Mild and Wet April


Good studying weather. I have a final exam in my one class next week, and won't be tempted to go outside.

Posted by: MKoehl | May 5, 2009 9:03 AM | Report abuse

This is getting ridiculous. How about a sunny 80 degree day?

Posted by: rumbly45 | May 5, 2009 10:00 AM | Report abuse

rain gauge has almost 2 inches in it!

Posted by: weathergrrl | May 5, 2009 10:18 AM | Report abuse

Argh!! I'm getting married on Saturday! Any chance it'll clear up and we'll have a sunny, 75 degree day? My fingers are crossed!!

Posted by: trbanghart | May 5, 2009 11:08 AM | Report abuse


Our level of certainty for Saturday's forecast is low, as we're looking at some conflicting data. Keep checking back -- we should have a better idea as the week wears on.

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | May 5, 2009 12:45 PM | Report abuse

We don't need more "drought relief".

Paw Paw has been experiencing minor FLOODING, and Point of Rocks is slated to crest near FLOOD STAGE later today or tonight. The next round of rain, which could catch me at tonight's dance, could well push the Potomac ABOVE flood stage. At this point it merely runs off, as the soil is saturated.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | May 5, 2009 12:59 PM | Report abuse

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