Forecast: Big-Time Heat Plays Keep Away
July 4th forecast a question mark...
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Today: Partly to mostly sunny. 84-88. | Tonight: Partly cloudy. 60-65. | Tomorrow: Partly sunny, p.m. shower? 81-85. | A Look Ahead & July 4th
FORECAST IN DETAIL
Since June 1, we've only logged two days at or above 90, and 91 is as hot as it has been. In the week ahead, we won't add to the 90-degree tally. In fact, most days will struggle to reach 85. Mostly dry conditions will accompany the cooler than average temperatures, but shower chances are in the forecast midweek, and may return for Independence Day weekend.
Today (Monday): The first day of the week may end up being the warmest as a lot of sunshine propels temperatures into the mid- and possibly upper 80s. It won't feel that hot though, with comfortable humidity (dew points in the upper 50s). Winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph. Confidence: Medium-High
Tonight: Partly cloudy and pleasant. Winds will slacken with lows from the upper 60s downtown to the low 60s in the cooler suburbs. Confidence: Medium-High
Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend....
Tomorrow (Tuesday): We'll have a few more clouds compared to today and possibly (30% chance) an afternoon shower as an upper level disturbance in Canada pivots southeastward towards western Pa. The additional clouds will result in high temperatures about 5 degrees cooler than today, generally in the low 80s. Winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph. Confidence: Medium-High
Tomorrow Night: A few showers are possible (30% chance) in the evening, followed by partly cloudy skies overnight. Lows will be in the mid-to-upper 60s (suburbs-city). Confidence: Medium-High
The upper level disturbance will continue spinning to our north on Wednesday. It's likely to project a little ripple through the region, producing mostly cloudy skies and a few showers (40-50% chance). Wednesday's weather may end up being a lot like yesterday's, with gray skies, a few light showers, and highs in the upper 70s to near 80. Overnight, showers will decrease, with lows in the 60s. Confidence: Medium
Thursday and Friday, the upper level disturbance to our north does not go away, but loses some punch. So both days will probably be partly cloudy and dry (just a 20% chance or less of an afternoon shower), with highs 80-85 and overnight lows in the 60s. Confidence: Medium
The forecast for July 4th is not an easy one this far out. Right now, it looks like generally dry through the mid-to-late afternoon, with temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 80s. But a possible area of low pressure moving in the from the west may (30% chance) cause some showers and thunderstorms to develop during the evening. Confidence: Low-Medium
Shower and thunderstorm chances may (30% chance) persist into Sunday, as a front and associated low pressure system potentially move through the region. Highs will probably be around 80 after morning lows in the 60s. Confidence: Low-Medium
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