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Posted at 3:15 PM ET, 10/14/2009

PM Update: Cold Settles In, Rain Begins Arriving

By Ian Livingston

Rain likely Thursday along with raw northeast wind

* Record Cold Climate Misconceptions | October is Great (Usually) *
* Outside Now? Radar, Temps, Clouds & More: Weather Wall *

Cold conditions settled into the area overnight and through today, and now the first waves of rain are arriving. Patches of mainly light rain -- maybe a sleet pellet or two early -- should continue as we head through the evening, though it's possible not every location will get wet. Otherwise, what a difference 24 hours makes. Today we are about 20 degrees colder than yesterday at this time! Highs have generally risen into the low 50s, though some western and northern spots were not able to get out of the upper 40s this afternoon.

Through Tonight: Showers and patches of light rain will be around through evening, but nothing terribly intense, and there should be some sizeable breaks in the action too. As we head through the night and get toward morning the chances of consistent rain go up. Lows range from the upper 30s in the chillier spots to the low-or-mid 40s downtown.

Tomorrow (Thursday): Raw, wet and breezy are the stories for Thursday as our first nor'easter of the season winds up and moves by. We should see periods of rain, sometimes moderate, throughout much of the day and into the evening. With rain and persistent cool air, temperatures won't rise much during the day, only into the mid-40s many spots with perhaps a few upper 40s. Northeast winds around 10-15 mph will be accompanied by occasionally higher gusts -- bundle up!

See Dan Stillman's full forecast through the weekend. And if you haven't already, join us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.

Another Snowy Forecast: Jason Samenow recently explored the growing number of cold and snowy forecasts coming out for this winter. Today, AccuWeather and Joe Bastardi released their official forecast for the winter with the tantalizing headline "Core of Winter from D.C. to Charlotte." AccuWeather expects snowfall to be above average for this year which would be quite a departure from recent years. All this leaves me wondering: Could the gathering early nor'easter be a sign of things to come?

By Ian Livingston  | October 14, 2009; 3:15 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Forecast: Overcast, Rainy & Raw Through Weekend

Comments

"Expert Long Range Forecaster"

Is there such a thing?? Had to chuckle at that one :-)

Posted by: jaybird926 | October 14, 2009 7:54 PM | Report abuse

It is nice to see a splach of blue (frozen!) echos in WV on the radar loop at around 19:30Z. A harbinger of things to come? And sooner rather than later?

It was, I believe, around October 15, 1979 when we received about a foot of snow at JMU in Harrisonburg...is that right?

Posted by: ASColletti | October 14, 2009 9:24 PM | Report abuse

I'm FREEZING in DC right now! Feels kinda like winter if you ask me. But as for predictions of above-average snowfall for this coming winter? After last year's disappointing snowfall (my first winter here) I'll believe it when I see it.

Posted by: BruinGirl2001 | October 14, 2009 11:04 PM | Report abuse

Blue Ridge bedtime 37.0F.

Posted by: spgass1 | October 14, 2009 11:15 PM | Report abuse

Sue Palka just mentioned a computer model bringing a rain/snow line a lot closer to DC during a second storm. She said it will have to be watched closely.

Posted by: spgass1 | October 14, 2009 11:21 PM | Report abuse

I think it is a sign of things to come northern virginina area averages a descent snowstorm every five years we're overdue plus when a tropical system strikes the eastcoast from virginina north odds go up ..Would be watchin the rain/snow line intensely later this week if i was back home i kept tellin everyone i was goin to be mad at msstate becuase i felt i was goin to miss a good winter

Posted by: jmc732msstate | October 15, 2009 1:20 AM | Report abuse

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