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Posted at 9:25 AM ET, 11/26/2009

Forecast: Continuing on the cloudy, damp side

By Josh Larson

But weekend will turn out to be sunny and dry

* Photo contest winners | Reaction to hack of climate emails *


Today: AM fog. Mostly cloudy. Upper 50s. | Tonight: Cloudy. Showers possible. 38-42. | Tomorrow: Cloudy. Gusty breezes. A few showers possible. Upper 40s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail


Granted, "nice" weather is subjective, but here's the proverbial bad news: clouds will dominate over the next 48 hours, with occasional chances for showers -- though I don't expect all that much rain will fall. The good news? High pressure takes hold over the weekend, which will produce lots of sunshine and dry conditions. With the exception of our breezy chill tomorrow, temperatures will remain at generally above-average levels through early next week.

Radar: Latest D.C. area radar loop shows movement of precipitation over past two hours. Powered by HAMweather. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Thanksgiving): Expect a foggy start to your Turkey Day, though hopefully most of that will burn off by mid-morning. The afternoon will feature predominately cloudy skies, though some sun should filter through from time to time. Afternoon highs will reach the upper 50s. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Cloudy skies, occasional scattered showers, and increasingly breezy northwesterly winds are likely tonight as a cold front interacts with an area of low pressure spinning just off the coast. But we're not talking heavy rain; generally amounts will be under 0.20". Overnight lows will settle into the upper 30s to low 40s. Confidence: Medium

Keep reading for the improving forecast through the holiday weekend...

Tomorrow (Black Friday): Overcast skies, noticeably breezy conditions -- NW winds 15-25 mph with higher gusts -- and chilly afternoon highs only in the upper 40s will be the big weather story on the busiest shopping day of the year. A few showers are possible, especially during the morning hours, but I expect that most of the day the skies will merely be threatening as opposed to actually producing rain. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow Night: It will be mostly cloudy and chilly Friday night, though most likely dry. Overnight lows will drop into the mid-to-upper 30s, but persistent northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph will make it feel considerably cooler. I'd say, bundle up. Confidence: Medium


What a difference a day (and high pressure) makes! On Saturday, we'll be greeted with at least party sunny skies during the morning hours, which should transition to mostly sunny skies by afternoon. No chance for rain either. Afternoon highs will be right around where they "should" be for this time of year: low-to-mid 50s. Mostly clear and cold Saturday night, with lows ranging from near 30 in the colder suburbs to the mid-to-upper 30s downtown.Confidence: Medium-High

Sunday should be another winner, with abundant sunshine, light winds, and milder afternoon highs flirting with the 60 degree mark. Sounds good to me! Mostly clear skies Sunday night, with overnight lows dropping to the upper 30s across the 'burbs to the low 40s downtown. Confidence: Medium-High

I think we're in store for much more in the way of clouds on Monday ahead of the next approaching system. I'll say mostly cloudy, though still mild, with highs again near 60. Showers are possible, but far from a sure thing, by afternoon. Overnight lows, with the continued chance for showers, will be in the 40s. Confidence: Low-Medium

By Josh Larson  | November 26, 2009; 9:25 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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What time would you expect the rain to move into the DC area tonight?

Posted by: snowlover | November 26, 2009 5:56 AM | Report abuse


I'd say showers are possible anytime from around 5 p.m. onward, but they may be scattered and intermittent.

Posted by: Dan-CapitalWeatherGang | November 26, 2009 9:29 AM | Report abuse


between 7pm and 10 probably...

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | November 26, 2009 9:35 AM | Report abuse

The fog, in most areas, is NOT going to burn off by mid-morning.....there is simply too much ground moisture left from this endless rain/drizzle. NWS already had extended the dense-fog advisory to at least noon.

I don't think I can remember an October/November like this for a long time. These East-Coast systems, one after another, are just endless...and each one takes several days to move out instead of the usual 12-18 hours. If this pattern doesn't change soon, before temperatures drop toward January, we could be in for a LOT of snow.

Posted by: MMCarhelp | November 26, 2009 9:56 AM | Report abuse

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

Posted by: Brian-CapitalWeatherGang | November 26, 2009 10:06 AM | Report abuse

For what it's worth, I'm thinking rain changing to snow showers/flurries early Friday AM

Posted by: SteveT-CapitalWeatherGang | November 26, 2009 10:31 AM | Report abuse

Same to you, Brian and everyone else! I don't see how we get flakes around the metro with this system, boundary layer seems too warm. Will hope for the best though!

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | November 26, 2009 10:43 AM | Report abuse

I've been watching the same thing Steve. We've been well behind the 540, and 534, thickness lines with available moisture in nearly every model run for over a day now. But I'll have to be skeptical, MOS #'s have all been in the lower 40s for lows even up here in Baltimore, and even out in Frederick and Hagerstown until this morning. It seems to be just too moist to cool enough near the surface for snow. Though I wouldn't be surprised to see some of the dreaded rain/snow mix if we can get into the upper-30s.

Posted by: Brian-CapitalWeatherGang | November 26, 2009 11:13 AM | Report abuse

Boy, this continual dampness/wetness has been dragging on...according to earlier forecasts it was supposed to be DRY by now. We were even supposed to have some sun today!!! Wish the snow would move in...or something!

@MMCarhelp...Can't wait for the snow...I'm getting awfully tired of this wet junk!

...BTW, whatever has happened to AugustaJim?...we haven't been hearing from him lately...perhaps he and the rest of the much-needed-rain crowd are too embarassed to own up to all this crud!

Happy Thansksgiving, everyone!

Posted by: Bombo47jea | November 26, 2009 1:19 PM | Report abuse

Happy Thanksgiving everyone ... I think there's at least a chance of a few snowflakes Friday a.m., and mentioned that possibility in yesterday's forecast for Friday. But it's still kind of a long shot since moisture may be limited and temps not quite cold enough. Meanwhile, the clouds have held strong today and, unfortunately, we won't be getting to the upper 50s as had been the forecast over the past few days.

Posted by: Dan-CapitalWeatherGang | November 26, 2009 2:45 PM | Report abuse

Gotta agree with MMCarHelp. The last 10 weeks or so have held some of the worst fall weather I've seen in a long time. It's gotten so that when the sun comes out, I stop and take notice. Almost like it's an eclipse these days, it's so rare.

Posted by: ThinkSpring | November 26, 2009 3:51 PM | Report abuse

East of Front Royal, we actually had an OK day today... not fogged in as so many others were, in fact we had periods of sun. More often, I'm the one stuck in a cloud all day.

Driving to my parents for Thanksgiving, we encountered fog through Thoroughfare Gap on I-66 in mid-afternoon.

On the way home tonight, we drove through moderate rain and may have even seen a bit of frozen precip bounce off the road on the way up the mountain mixed in with the rain.

After a high today of 55F, we're currently down to 38.1.

Happy Thanksgiving everyone. I hope you enjoyed some turkey.

Posted by: spgass1 | November 26, 2009 11:07 PM | Report abuse

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