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Posted at 4:50 PM ET, 11/ 7/2009

Forecast: Nothing but sunshine

By Jason Samenow

Warming trend begins

* CWG's winter outlook | CWG's annual photo contest *
* Follow Ida: Hurricane Tracking Center *

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly sunny. 57-62. | Tonight: Clear. 36-44. | Tomorrow: Mostly sunny. 64-68. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

In our recent interview with Washingtonian.com, I rated this area's forecasting difficulty a "5" on a 1-10 scale (with 10 indicating most difficult). Sure, we have our share of tough forecasting days here, but stretches like we have now are a walk in the park. A huge area of high pressure over eastern third of U.S. will give us three, maybe four consecutive days of sunshine, with ever increasing temperatures. Enjoy!

Temperatures: Current area temperatures. Powered by Weather Bonk. Map by Google. Hover over and click icons for more info. Click and hold on map to pan. Refresh page to update. See map bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Saturday): The day will lead off with widespread freezing temperatures, but sunshine will go to work and we'll be up above 50 by noon. Afternoon highs will peak near 60 with little wind to speak of. Confidence: High

Tonight: It won't be as cold as last night as a wind from the south (at around 10 mph) brings in some milder air. Still, some of the colder spots may dip in the mid-30s, with low 40s downtown. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast for tomorrow and into early next week. And if you haven't already, join us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.

Tomorrow (Sunday): In light of the mild temperatures expected, tomorrow's the pick of the weekend. Like yesterday, we'll have lots of sun, but highs will be 5-8 degrees warmer, reaching the mid-to-upper 60s. Winds will be light. Confidence: High

Tomorrow Night: Clear and continuing to trend milder. Lows will range from near 40 in the cooler suburbs to the upper 40s downtown. Confidence: Medium-High

A LOOK AHEAD

The weeks gets off to an outstanding start Monday, with more sunshine and highs headed up all the way to near 70. Partly cloudy overnight, with lows in the 40s (in the suburbs) to near 50 downtown. Confidence: Medium-High

A few clouds may increase Tuesday ahead of a weak cold front, but we'll still have some sunshine and temperatures remain mild. High will again take aim at 70. Confidence: Medium

By Jason Samenow  | November 7, 2009; 4:50 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Comments

Ida is ramping back up in the Western Caribbean. Looks like it's on its way to being a hurricane again.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | November 7, 2009 10:27 AM | Report abuse

The Canadian GEM turns Ida into a really nasty system [984 mb/hPa central pressure!] just off Cape Hatteras next Thursday and Friday.

At this time I don't know what to call this development: a tropical or sub-tropical system, an intense nor'easter, or even an unusually early MECS or "snowstorm" [shades of 1987!]. Much could well depend on how much cold air gets dragged down "in place" over us and how far westward and inland the precipitation field gets drawn in. We could get anything ranging from a rather cold, raw, windy period to a 1987-style heavy snowfall. Most of the wind affecting us should be northeasterly to northerly or northwesterly, so temperatures could range anywhere from 25 to 50 degrees through the period. If we get precipitation it would be wind-driven rain if mild or ice/snow if cold. It all depends on how much polar/Arctic air gets drawn over our area by the prevailing northerly wind field, and by how far west the moisture moves in.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | November 7, 2009 1:31 PM | Report abuse

Elaborating further, Ida is converted into an extra-tropical system before reaching the Gulf Coast somewhere between New Orleans and peninsular Florida. But it is one of the most intense extratropical systems in the Gulf since the 1992 ['93?] Superstorm.

Ida loses strength over the inland Southeast, but then blows up again upon hitting the Atlantic, probably next Thursday. At that time we had better start monitoring the track of this system, probably a full-strength nor'easter by then. We get nothing but some wind if Ida passes out to sea, but something really nasty if Ida decides to go "coastal" and tracks to the north off Delmarva.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | November 7, 2009 2:09 PM | Report abuse

The GFS also has a pretty large storm off the coast mid-week, main target New England. It looks like it's mostly northern jet energy with an infusion from Ida. Most of the cold air still locked up in Canada and the GFS keeps the worst east of us.. early though so details somewhat unimportant. The Euro which is usually superior in this range does not seem to have the same interaction and no real storm up the coast.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | November 7, 2009 2:42 PM | Report abuse

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