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Posted at 8:30 AM ET, 11/12/2009

Forecast: Rain, rain go away? Not so fast...

By Josh Larson

Ida's remnants soak city, batter beaches

* Weather slows a.m. rush: Get There | Beaches bear brunt of storm *
* Coastal Flood Watch for Potomac river and Chesapeake Bay *
* Weather often stormy around Veterans Day | Photo contest *


Today: Cloudy, rainy, windy & cool. 45-50. | Tonight: Rainy & breezy. 42-46. Tomorrow: Overcast skies & rain linger. 50-55. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail


Gird yourself for a few more days of overcast skies, rainy conditions and -- to top it all off -- breezy and chilly conditions, as the remnants of Ida are in a hurry to go nowhere fast. From a forecasting perspective, it couldn't get easier: cloudy, rainy and cool into early Saturday. As we've previously advertised, the heaviest rain will likely be focused south and east of the immediate metro area (where 3-5"+ additional rain is possible), but the entire region can generally expect 1-3" of additional rain through Saturday.

Radar: Latest regional radar loop shows movement of precipitation over past three hours. Powered by HAMweather. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Thursday): Today's weather will very closely resemble what we experienced yesterday. Thick overcast skies, rain (of varying intensity), and very breezy northeasterly winds of 15-30 mph will park themselves over our region. Highs will struggle to reach even the upper 40s. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: More of the same: we hang onto cloudy, rainy and breezy conditions. Because of cloud cover (which acts a bit like a blanket), overnight low temperatures will be nearly-steady in the low-to-mid 40s. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the slowly improving forecast through early next week...

Tomorrow (Friday): Our slow-moving area of low pressure will, unfortunately, continue to deliver more of the same for Friday. That means periods of (generally light to moderate) rain and breezy north winds around 15 mph. It probably won't be quite as cool, with afternoon highs likely to break into the low-to-mid 50s. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow Night: The bad news is that we still have to deal with clouds and rain Friday night; the good news is that I think it will be not only lighter but also more spotty in nature than the daylight hours today and Friday. In fact, areas north and west of DC may see little in the way of precipitation. Overnight lows will hang out mostly in the upper 40s. Confidence: Medium


As our coastal system finally begins to depart the area on Saturday, conditions will slowly improve. Some showers are possible during the first half of the day, but should taper off as the day wears on. Brightening skies will help boost highs to near 60 -- appreciably milder than today and Friday's temperatures. Best of all, by Saturday night, rain will be a thing of the past, so you can finally leave the umbrella at home; temperatures will eventually settle into the upper 40s. Confidence: Medium

What a difference a day makes! As high pressure builds back into the area on Sunday, expect the (triumphant?) return of sunshine, with much milder afternoon highs flirting with the 70 degree mark. Wow. Those clear skies will aid in producing cooler overnight lows in the low-to-mid 40s Sunday night. Confidence: Medium-High

On back-to-work Monday, expect mostly sunny skies and pleasant high temperatures in the low 60s (figures, no?). Those mostly cloud-free skies are likely to remain with us Monday night, with overnight lows in the 40s. Confidence: Medium

By Josh Larson  | November 12, 2009; 8:30 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Weather Service: Watch out for street flooding


How does this from NWS this morning jive with what you are saying on precip amounts?


Posted by: steske | November 12, 2009 6:30 AM | Report abuse

Why has this area CONSTANTLY gotten nothing but rain and clouds for the past 9 months? It is simply just out of control. Global warming? I think not..

Posted by: j0nx | November 12, 2009 7:02 AM | Report abuse


Take another look at the NWS discussion, the rainfall amount you're referring to is the NWS forecast for between the near term and 6 pm this evening...not for the rest of the storm.

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | November 12, 2009 7:31 AM | Report abuse

"Why has this area CONSTANTLY gotten nothing but rain and clouds for the past 9 months? It is simply just out of control. Global warming? I think not.."

That's not the weather I've been experiencing in this area.

Posted by: Murre | November 12, 2009 8:06 AM | Report abuse

We are we constantly getting rain? Actually it is due to global warming. Had Bush not destroyed all of our natural resrouces, along with our economy and international standing we would not be in this position.
Even an honorable super-hero of a man like the great President Obama cannot fix this right away. However, I think by next winter we should see noticable improvements in global warming as Mr. Obama's plan takes shape.
We need to support him, raise taxes, dontate your time and effort to fix this before our planet is destroyed. The movie 2012 is not that far off, that is what we will be facing thanks to George Bush unless we all mobilize!

Posted by: LoJankFilDee19338333 | November 12, 2009 8:55 AM | Report abuse

Is that 30% chance of snow I see on Saturday under the "At a Glance?" :) I know it is a mistake but had to mention it!

Posted by: snowlover | November 12, 2009 9:00 AM | Report abuse

speaking of snow...

its currently snowing in the WV highlands

Posted by: Peter_L_inmclean | November 12, 2009 10:29 AM | Report abuse

The post by LoJankFilDee193383 indicates to me that he/she lives in la la land!


Posted by: suntan | November 12, 2009 10:38 AM | Report abuse

If only this were snow...

Posted by: Andrew-CapitalWeatherGang | November 12, 2009 11:21 AM | Report abuse

For humor's sake - if this was a snow event - how many inches would we be looking at in the metro area when all is said and done?

Posted by: hrc2211 | November 12, 2009 1:16 PM | Report abuse

would have to be close or over record amount 20-30+ inches depending on where your located

Posted by: jmc732msstate | November 12, 2009 1:25 PM | Report abuse

Good example of why I don't particularly care for El Nino...the much-needed-rain crowd runs rampant!

This is some of the ABSOLUTE WORST weather I've seen since the 1997/98 Nino. Too darned windy out there!

Meanwhile...try getting this as a multi-day SNOW EVENT??? It never seems to work!

In response to some folks posting hasn't been continually raining. Back in August & September we were quite dry, and I was getting berated by the MNR crowd because I was calling for a much-needed drought. What is happening is that we're getting long dry spells alternating with the rainy spells...but I'd sure appreciate a MUCH-NEEDED BLIZZARD about now! It's about time for some real winter to start kicking in.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | November 12, 2009 1:53 PM | Report abuse

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