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Posted at 3:15 PM ET, 11/14/2009

Forecast: Slowly but surely drying out

By Jason Samenow

Sunday looking stellar

* SkinsCast: Not bad for November | Nor'easter pastes beaches *


Today: Spotty a.m. drizzle, mostly cloudy p.m. 57-61. | Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy. 44-49. | Tomorrow: Increasing sunshine. 66-70. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail


Improvement is the weather theme of the weekend. Though you may awake to cloudy skies for the fourth straight day, the odds of rain drops from the sky will diminish with each passing hour while chances of breaks in the cloud cover increase. By tomorrow, rain is out of the forecast, and sunshine is in... and it may be here to stay for a while...

Radar: Latest regional radar loop shows movement of precipitation over past three hours. Powered by HAMweather. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Saturday): Some wrap-around moisture from our departing storm may give us some lingering drizzle or spits of rain this morning. But gradually, the moisture should cutoff, leaving us with just mostly cloudy skies. It's not out of the question some breaks in the clouds emerge. High temperatures will be seasonable in the upper 50s to around 60 with a wind from the north at 10-15 mph. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: Quite a few clouds may linger, preventing temperatures from dipping too low. Overnight lows will range from the mid-to-upper 40s in most spots. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast for tomorrow and into early next week. And if you haven't already, join us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.

Tomorrow (Sunday): Some low clouds may linger through part of Sunday morning, but I expect the sun to emerge in force by late morning or so. This should give temperatures a real boost -- warming all the way into the mid-to-upper 60s, with a few 70 degree readings not out of the question. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow Night: Partly cloudy and not particularly cold. Lows will range from near 40 in the cooler suburbs to the upper 40s downtown. Confidence: Medium-High


Sunshine stays in the forecast for both Monday and Tuesday, as high pressure sits over the region. Highs Monday should be in the mid-60s dropping to near 60 on Tuesday behind a weak cold front. Monday night's lows should be in the mid-30s to low 40s (suburbs to city). Confidence: Medium-High

By Jason Samenow  | November 14, 2009; 3:15 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: SkinsCast: Not bad for November football


The irony, I suppose, with this storm system is that here in Washington, we got less than two inches from the three days. (Friday .33, Thursday .60, Wednesday .94 at National and Dulles a little less).

I actually felt sorry for the local news crew that went out for the story and images. The words they were saying on their report said one thing (it’s bad out here) but they just couldn’t find anything dramatic. They got desperate and headed for Old Town Alexandria. “Several streets were under water.” True but those are the ones between Union and the river, which are not for through traffic.

Not trying to minimize any hardships folks had and I do hope those in the Tidewater and elsewhere get a speedy recovery.

Posted by: jaybird926 | November 14, 2009 6:15 AM | Report abuse

We were lucky. My son is at CNU in Newport News and campus was closed Thursday and Friday due to weather. Spoke with him last night and weather was still miserable down there.

Posted by: griffin1108 | November 14, 2009 9:54 AM | Report abuse

Yes, we got off rather well compared with areas to our south and east.

Had this fallen as snow, we would have gotten 18-20 inches, roughly comparable to 1996, but still no D.C. Metro record [Knickerbocker storm was 28 inches; Washington-Jefferson storm, 36 inches!]. Still, it would have been a November record snowfall. One or two TV mets were saying 24 inches would have been predicted, if snow.

Using jaybird926's data the snow total would likely have been Wednesday, 9.5 inches; Thursday, 6 inches; Friday, 3.5 inches for a prospective maximum Reagan National total of 19 inches of snow. Interestingly, amounts to the NW of town would have been lighter, while those to the SE might have been much heavier, though nearby proximity of the rain/snow line, which would likely have wavered back and forth over the duration of the storm, would probably have cut down on accumulation totals. Had the rain/snow line wavered to the west of Reagan National, that 19-inch total would have been cut, perhaps drastically.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | November 14, 2009 12:57 PM | Report abuse

In addition, there probably would have been no thundersnow near the rain/snow line. I saw no lightning closer to us than Newport News or Virginia Beach on Vaisala during the storm. Dulles CAPE values were rather low, near 20 J/kg. as based on RAOBS, and there seemed to be little convective action up here, though there was some convection & lightning offshore near the storm center.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | November 14, 2009 1:04 PM | Report abuse

Total from the multi-day rain event at my location: 2 3/8"

Posted by: spgass1 | November 14, 2009 4:39 PM | Report abuse

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