Forecast: January thaw on the way
But unsettled holiday weekend looming
FORECAST IN DETAIL
We have been blogging a lot about the impressive Arctic Oscillation pattern that drove cold air into North America, Europe and Asia over the past month. That feature is finally fading in the next two weeks so that a warmer pattern (enhanced by El Niño in the tropical Pacific) can take hold of much of North America. There are indications, though, that the cold Arctic Oscillation pattern could rebuild by late January into early February, so winter is definitely not over yet. Think of this warming as more of an intermission instead.
Today (Tuesday): Morning clouds and maybe some early morning flurries, but otherwise, we should see the sun again by midday (or even sooner). Highs will be warmer than yesterday with mid-to-upper 30s. Winds will blow from the northwest at around 10-15 mph. Confidence: Medium-High
Tonight: Clear skies and some calming of the winds will allow temperatures to drop lower again with teens in the suburbs and low 20s in the city. Look for breezes from the northwest only around 5 mph. Confidence: Medium-High
Keep reading for the forecast through the holiday weekend....
Tomorrow (Wednesday): Mostly sunny skies will work together with warming winds from the west to lift temperatures up to levels we have not seen in a little while. Look for upper 30s to low 40s. Confidence: Medium-High
Tomorrow Night: Mostly clear skies with winds light from the west and lows in the 20s. Confidence: Medium-High
Thursday and Friday will feel practically spring-like (relatively speaking) as we should see mostly sunny skies and above-average temperatures for January. Look for highs in the middle 40s Thursday with upper 40s to even low 50s on Friday! Lows will be in the upper 20s to maybe low 30s in the city. Confidence: Medium-High
The holiday weekend should start ok with partly sunny skies on Saturday and highs in the low-to-mid 40s. But Sunday into MLK Monday are poised to be impacted from a storm arriving from the south. Often this storm track would favor snowy weather for the area, but the latest computer models suggest the supply of cold air may be limited. So we could see rain or mixed precipitation (confidence is low at this time). The storm could even miss us to the south! Highs should be in the 30s to low 40s with lows in the upper 20s or 30s. Confidence: Low
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