Update: On the edge of no snow, or a little snow

This may be a stupid question, but how is it that both southern Maryland and southern Virginia have a higher chance of accumulating snow than the DC metro area? If the storm is tracking south, then wouldn't southern MD also miss out?

(Admittedly, I am a life-long Virginian who is bitter about the higher snow totals across the border...so perhaps that is keeping me from fully understanding).

Dan, thanks for keeping it real.

Dinergirl1, when they say So Md, they're talking about Charles Co./St. Mary's Co... across the Harry Nice Bridge from Fredricksburg (so it is south of dc).

I haven't read anything yet from Crozet or AugustaJim on this storm, which they should get more out of. Hopefully they weren't flooded out from last Sunday night...

Event Predictions:

1. El Bombo will be pleased that his Friday night dance is not impacted due to the timing of the storm.
2. The 1/29 12z precip models will shift a couple millimeters to the north prompting snowlovers like myself to get overly excited.
3. VATechBob will (correctly) remind the snowlovers that this is a southern storm.
4. SPGass1 will stay up way too late tomorrow night just to report that it started snowing and 3/32nds of an inch is on the ground.
5. Stinkerflat will create a video showcasing the excitement of a couple of inches of snow in Leesburg.

@dinergirl1

spagass1 is correct. Southern Maryland is considered the portion of Maryland south/southeast of D.C. (west of the Chesapeake Bay).

Ah, of course. Blinded by DC-centrism.

We were planning on driving down on Friday morning for a family member's cannot-be-missed birthday party in Raleigh (which takes place on Friday night). We were hoping to beat the majority of the snow by leaving the party early (8:00-9:00 PM) on Friday night. Given the winter storm warning and the forecast in general for the NC Triangle and Southern/Mid-Virginia, do you think this is a good idea? Or will we get stuck? We plan to drive only on the major highways (I-95, I-85). Our hope was that at least these major thoroughfares would be cleared, but then again, it's a winter storm warning. Or maybe we should wait to leave on our return trip to DC on Saturday afternoon? Thoughts, anyone?

@EFroh

My best guess is that you'll be cutting it too close with that timing. May not be snowing or barely snowing when you leave, but you could easily get overtaken by heavy snow as you drive later into the evening. To be safe, you'd probably have to leave a few hours earlier than that (which I realize may not work with the party timing). Saturday afternoon coming back may also prove troublesome considering the heavy snow that will have fallen and the snow still lingering along your route. You might have to wait for Sunday. Sorry! ... wish I had more optimistic news.

Ok,thanks for the informed opinion, Dan! At least I have a good excuse for not going.

Ahhh!! So much for the models' rope-a-dope tactic. I'm throwin' in the towel on this non-event. Light snow on tap for part of the day tomorrow, ma-a-a-a-y-be an inch can be squeeeeeeeeezzzed out. CWG scores another bullseye! Great job tracking this and not letting the potential hype overtake the reality.