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Posted at 10:10 AM ET, 02/19/2010

Forecast: Finally, no weekend weather worries

By Camden Walker

Mon. storm trends not-so-snowy; uncertainty remains

* Photos: D.C. makes snow history | Who coined 'Snowmageddon'? *
* Later this a.m.: SLCB | Radar & more: Weather Wall | Traffic *

Today's Daily Digit
A somewhat subjective rating of the day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.
7Sun & 40s are a preview of nice weekend weather, though pesky breezes remain.
Get tomorrow's 'Digit' on Twitter tonight


Today: Sunny & breezy. Low-to-mid 40s. | Tonight: Mostly clear. Mid-20s to near 30. | Tomorrow: Partly to mostly sunny & less breezy. Low-to-mid 40s. | Sunday: Partly sunny. Mid-40s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail


Not since Jan. 9-10 have we made it through a weekend without precipitation (asssuming you count the President's Day wintry mix as part of the weekend). We may finally break that streak this weekend, as the next few days will bring a continued break from active weather and increasingly noticeable melting. The precipitation-free stretch probably comes to an end late Sunday night or early Monday. What kind of precipitation will it be?

A frozen Reflecting Pool and snow-covered steps of the Lincoln Memorial. Captured Feb. 15 by CWG photographer Kevin Ambrose.

Today (Friday): Winds won't be as blustery as yesterday's gusts that reached near and over 40 mph at times, but breezes will still blow from the west/northwest around 15 mph, with occasional gusts over 30 mph. Highs should get to at least the low 40s, helped by mostly sunny skies, and could make a run at 45 or so. Finally enough melting for surer footing on sidewalks still not totally cleared of snow. Confidence: High

Tonight: Skies stay clear, except for the possibility of increasing clouds toward morning. Temperatures fall to lows in the mid-20s for most spots outside the Beltway to near 30 downtown. We'll keep a breeze around 10-15 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

What does the Monday storm have in store? Keep reading for the forecast into early next week...

Tomorrow (Saturday): Skies should be partly to mostly sunny and winds a little less breezy -- closer to 10 mph from the west/northwest. Highs aim for the low-to-mid-40s again. Not too shabby, right? Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow Night: Partly cloudy with lows in the 20s in the burbs to near 30 downtown. Confidence: Medium-High

Sunday: We remain dry with partly sunny skies and highs in the mid-40s. Confidence: Medium-High


Conditions cloud over Sunday night with lows in the upper 20s to low 30s and snow or a wintry mix possible by morning. Confidence: Low

A mish-mash of wintry precipitation is possible Monday morning. The thinking is that, with low pressure expected to pass to our west, precipitation will eventually change to mostly or all rain for parts or all of the metro area. But we're still a few days away so stay tuned, both for a Snow Lover's Crystal Ball later this morning and updates through the weekend. The overall chance of precipitation is around 60-70% with highs expected in the 30s. Confidence: Low

Rain chances could linger into early Tuesday before slow clearing with highs in the 30s to near 40. Confidence: Low-Medium

By Camden Walker  | February 19, 2010; 10:10 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: PM Update: Snow-melting weather persists
Next: Monday storm trending less snowy, more rainy


...I like that low confidence for Monday's forecast....bring on the snow!! :)

Posted by: kolya02 | February 19, 2010 6:12 AM | Report abuse

...I like that low confidence for Monday's forecast....bring on the rain!! :)

Posted by: rwalker66 | February 19, 2010 6:14 AM | Report abuse

I'm getting tired of this constant howling gale and skies being overcast every morning. When will I get to see the sunrise?

Posted by: HenryFPotter | February 19, 2010 6:47 AM | Report abuse

is there any way i can return this forcast, and request a new one?

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 19, 2010 7:02 AM | Report abuse

I'm with walter.

I want sunny and 50's. :)

Posted by: ThinkSpring | February 19, 2010 7:37 AM | Report abuse

What is remarkable is that we have not reached the normal/average high temp all month at DCA. The average high temp this time of the month is 50 degrees. That would seem like a heat-wave the way things have been going.

Posted by: Tom8 | February 19, 2010 7:40 AM | Report abuse

I'm with ThinkSpring! Enough already.

Posted by: Goddess5 | February 19, 2010 7:48 AM | Report abuse

@Tom8: Nature has a way of balancing things out. We are now due a month of temperatures all above normal. Hopefully not a summer month.

Posted by: rwalker66 | February 19, 2010 7:56 AM | Report abuse

Agree that Monday looks like mostly rain, as the storm center will be west of us. No worries snow lovers; there's another storm behind this one that's even more interesting. But I'm happy to enjoy a little melting this weekend; we all need a break.

Posted by: curtmccormick | February 19, 2010 7:59 AM | Report abuse

i was hoping to add one more character to the shark/seal scene. the shark has some serious tooth decay, the seal's arm fell off....

with these awful sunny skies and high temps not sure if it's possible...timing will be key...

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 19, 2010 8:12 AM | Report abuse

curtmccormick, others,
even though CWG's confidence is "low", i'm coming to terms with the unbearable idea of rain on monday. will it be light rain? what kind of qpf are we talking about?

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 19, 2010 8:16 AM | Report abuse

when is the RLCB coming out?

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 19, 2010 8:49 AM | Report abuse

after reading this. was expecting accuweather to post something about a "cripping" light drizzle event, and they've actually got a "THREAT of significant snow" for the entire northeast and mid-Atlantic extending as far south as Leesburg and Baltimore

as it usually is, expect their hype will be wrong, but wouldn't mind if Boston and NYC shared more of our pain

Posted by: TGT11 | February 19, 2010 9:02 AM | Report abuse

Melt baby melt!

Posted by: steske | February 19, 2010 9:17 AM | Report abuse

I was finally able to chip off some of the ice dam on my gutter (not all of it though.) There's still a drip inside the house, but I suppose I'm stuck with that until all the snow's gone from the roof. At least the meltoff over the next few days can get to the gutter now.

Posted by: mhardy1 | February 19, 2010 10:00 AM | Report abuse

Gusty winds kept overnight lows across the area from dropping below freezing (well above all forecasts) for a second straight night last night.

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | February 19, 2010 10:04 AM | Report abuse

according to this
temps here won't go below freezing until midnight tonight?! is that your take on it too? (he askes mysteriously...)

you have my permission to give mhardy1 my email address if he wants to discuss contact me. thanks.

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 19, 2010 10:08 AM | Report abuse

What about next Thursday-Friday? The GFS seems to suggest the development of a costal low. The 850MB looks very cold. The NWS service expects an "unsettled period" after Wednesday but does not elaborate. Any thoughts?

Posted by: ntrlsol | February 19, 2010 12:12 PM | Report abuse

ntrlsol, regarding the potential for a storm in apprx 7 days, CWG is vigilant and watching the data. However it is much too early. Once there is any small amount of confidence (and not mathematical theory as is the case in weather models over 6 days out) we will report back to you all here! Stay tuned :)

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | February 19, 2010 1:07 PM | Report abuse

camden, CWG,
what about the idea that it won't go below freezing at my house in falls church until midnight?

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 19, 2010 1:24 PM | Report abuse

Just got in from an inspection of my garden--many rare and/or unusual plants are broken or severely damaged--others are still buried and I have no idea what they will look like when the snow finally melts. Some can be replaced, but are expensive--no sure about others. Not a good winter for gardeners...

Posted by: steske | February 19, 2010 1:32 PM | Report abuse

Seems like the Sunday-Monday storm for DC is still a mathematical theory. (LOL)

Posted by: ntrlsol | February 19, 2010 2:21 PM | Report abuse

Lol @Walter, I like your thinking re: a new forecast. Sorry about your display though, that's a bummer.

@CWG, last night it hit 30 Deg. F. out here in Reston, VA. However, it went back up to 33/34 Deg. F. around 0500 HRS EST.

I'm so sad about my precious snow, but I'm really holding out on a nice late season topping-off sometime between now and mid-March (PLEEEEASE!!!).

Posted by: TheAnalyst | February 19, 2010 7:47 PM | Report abuse

Snow No More. The city cannot afford it. Whether we love it or not. Unless, of course, the snow lovers will pay the increased taxes that will come to cover the budget deficit.

Posted by: concernedaboutdc | February 20, 2010 11:16 AM | Report abuse

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