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Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 02/23/2010

Forecast: Dreary week drones onward

By Matt Rogers

Still tracking snow chance late Wed. into Thurs.

* On the edge of a major storm: Snow Lover's Crystal Ball *
* February climate facts and near feats | Weather Wall | Get There *

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.
 
4Gray weather with colder-than-normal temperatures, but mostly dry.
 
Get tomorrow's 'Digit' on Twitter tonight

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly cloudy and cool. 41-46. | Tonight: More clouds. 29-34. | Tomorrow: Cloudy and cool. 41-46. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Our overnight light rain has continued the snow cover erosion, starting to uncover whatever we hid underneath. The gradual melting trend should continue today and tomorrow, but some freezing temperatures the next few nights could create patchy black ice. The snow potential Wednesday night into Thursday still looks modest but with a strong storm developing just to our north, it's a close call.


Radar: Latest regional radar shows movement of precipitation over past three hours. Powered by HAMweather. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Tuesday): Watch out for some patchy fog and even some black ice (in the colder suburbs) this morning. We will be stuck in the remnants of last night's low pressure system all day today. That should keep the clouds around and a few rain showers can't be ruled out, especially in the morning northeast of the beltway. High temperatures will be in the low-to-mid 40s with light winds from the north and northeast. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: The clouds linger, but those winds from the north will help to bring some colder weather into the area. Lows should drop into the upper 20s to low 30s around the area (mid-30s more likely downtown). Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Wednesday): Low pressure is forecast to be over New England while a second disturbance starts to develop to the south. That second feature will keep clouds overhead with highs in the low 40s. There is a chance (30%) for light rain or snow to develop in the late afternoon or early evening. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow Night: There is a good chance of snow showers (60% likelihood) Wednesday night with lows dropping into the upper 20s and low 30s. Though not much accumulation is anticipated at the moment, a rather large storm may develop off the coast, with the potential for more significant snow in extreme northeast Maryland, southeast Pa., and New Jersey. The storm will be close enough that we will certainly watch it for any changes. See the Snow Lover's Crystal Ball for additional details Confidence: Low-Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Thursday will offer nothing different on the sky cover front with yet more cloudy skies and a continued chance of snow showers, especially in the morning. Look for colder highs only in the 30s and increasing winds from the north and northwest. Thursday night should see lows in the 20s to low 30s with yes, more clouds, and the potential for very gusty winds. Confidence: Low-Medium


Friday could see some sunshine at times, but also with scattered flurries and gusty winds as the big storm to our north continues to sit and spin. Highs should again be in the 30s to possibly around 40. Confidence: Low-Medium

The weekend is expected to see the winds gradually calm down with partly sunny skies and still colder-than-normal temperatures. Look for highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s to low 30s. This weekend will be a nice break from our unsettled week as there are hints of yet more storminess coming next week (will March come in like a lion!?!). Confidence: Low-Medium

By Matt Rogers  | February 23, 2010; 11:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: On the edge of a major storm
Next: Hurricane study unites formerly divided experts

Comments

Hope that storm next week is rain. Time to move on from winter.

Posted by: ThinkSpring | February 23, 2010 7:15 AM | Report abuse

Guys, if I am reading the latest NAM and GFS correctly, the next storm is bringing 4-8" of snow to Anne Arundle county, no?

Posted by: snowlover | February 23, 2010 7:36 AM | Report abuse

Go snow! C'mon snow!

Posted by: teezee210 | February 23, 2010 8:05 AM | Report abuse

Go snow!

Posted by: manassasmissy | February 23, 2010 8:09 AM | Report abuse

Soon as I finish my oatmeal, going outside and doing a snow dance.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 23, 2010 8:16 AM | Report abuse

fellow snow dancers,
should we synchronize our dances? do the gods monitor that? or are they more concerned about the quantity/quality/intensity of dance?

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 8:20 AM | Report abuse

Yeah!!! Winter's not over yet!!

Posted by: DaveB2 | February 23, 2010 8:23 AM | Report abuse

I was just reading that Moscow had a 25 inch snowstorm. They have 15,000 snow plows and 8,000 dump trucks to remove the snow. Of course it is a city that has 8 million people.

Posted by: MKadyman | February 23, 2010 8:50 AM | Report abuse

walter-in-falls-church, I say we sync & dance like we've never danced before!! Just in case cause ya nevah know & it can't hurt!

Posted by: wadejg | February 23, 2010 8:56 AM | Report abuse

Strong winds coming. NWS says WNW sustained at 25 mph Thursday p.m.-Friday for Harpers Ferry, which in my experience means gusts (and lots of them) to 50 mph. I hate wind storms. Especially at night.

Posted by: tinkerbelle | February 23, 2010 9:08 AM | Report abuse

Realize that the snow haters have access to satellite imagery showing your snow dancing. We also have access to drones and your computers. Dance at your own risk!

A terrible tragedy happened in Falls Church, VA a protype drone from Lockheed fired on ten individuals doing some type of ritualistic dance in a group. All perished in the missile attack. Local and Federal authorities are investigating. Lockheed officials acknowledge their signals were jammed and intercepted. (AP)

Have a great day! Rendition is way to nice for snow lovers. Although using snow instead of water for water boarding has a nice poetic ring to it.

Posted by: sheepherder | February 23, 2010 9:16 AM | Report abuse

My sister and a group of friends did their cowboy two-step snow dance in Dallas last night. They're trying to break their all-time snowfall record but it looks like they'll come up about an inch short, just like when Dallas goes to the NFC playoffs.

Since the folks down in New Orleans got their mojo working, I'd opt for a second line dance where we all hold parasols and dance in unison behind CWG and the Snow Lover's Crystal Ball. We can adapt the lyrics of "Oh, when the saints go marchin' in" to "Oh, when the snow comes fallin' down"...

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 23, 2010 9:22 AM | Report abuse

sheepherder -- not funny.

Posted by: natsncats | February 23, 2010 9:22 AM | Report abuse

wadejg, you said,
"cause ya nevah know & it can't hurt!"

ah - the snowlover's version of pascal's wager! let's all dance like crazy every hour on the hour.

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 9:23 AM | Report abuse

I'm snow dancing.
You have been warned.

Posted by: Snowlover2 | February 23, 2010 9:37 AM | Report abuse

jerry, nice.

oh when the snow...
comes fallin' down...

continuing:

....oh how i want
to be in that bullseye...
when the snow comes fallin' down!

forget the parasols, we'll hold yardsticks or snow shovels.

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 9:43 AM | Report abuse

@walter-in-falls-church, if Pat Collins covers this event for WRC, we'll definitely have the yardsticks!

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 23, 2010 9:52 AM | Report abuse

First, I want to say how much I enjoy this blog. I'm especially pleased by the comments, which are intelligent and on point, unlike comments on many other sites. Second, I want to point out that doing the snow dance is not enough. According to my kids, the sure way to get snow is to wear your pajamas inside out, place a spoon under your pillow, and flush ice cubes down the toilet.

Posted by: weatherwatcher1 | February 23, 2010 10:14 AM | Report abuse

The latest GFS run looks decent for DC.

Posted by: chetupadhyay | February 23, 2010 10:54 AM | Report abuse

What do folks make of the 12z GFS?

Posted by: mciaram1 | February 23, 2010 10:54 AM | Report abuse

The 12Z GFS is even further south now and develops the storm of Virginia coast. So it looks like DC may be getting at least so moderate affects from this storm. I do see the potential for several inches of snow and strong winds. PA is going to get absolutely crushed by this storm.

Posted by: ajmupitt | February 23, 2010 10:55 AM | Report abuse

How does it look for Richmond in this storm? I'm heading down there for about a week, starting tomorrow. I'm really hoping they don't see anything, I'm kind of tired of the snow.

Posted by: ana_b | February 23, 2010 11:01 AM | Report abuse

Throughout the season the block has pushed northern stream energy south toward "game time". Why this would be much different given the setup is unknown to me. I'd be bullish especially given trends of the last 24 hrs+. GFS verbatim is at least an advisory event across much of the area and probably more for parts.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | February 23, 2010 11:03 AM | Report abuse

This storm certainly could be similar to Feb 10 blizzard but with even strong winds. I think that the snowfall will be a sharp gradient with only a few inches south of city to over a foot up towards Baltimore and near two feet up toward PHL like we saw before. Especially if the storm forms of the Virginia coast and stalls around Delware/NJ.

Posted by: ajmupitt | February 23, 2010 11:08 AM | Report abuse

wow! the dances are working! keep going everybody. next synchronized dance at noon.

is 4" conceivable at DCA (you know, to break the one-month record)?

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 11:23 AM | Report abuse

Ian is bullish!!!

Yaayy!!!

Posted by: celestun100 | February 23, 2010 11:24 AM | Report abuse

Oh no. Friday is the emergency weekend trip to Mexico to counter the effects of the two blizzards. Snow dance all y'all want, but give me a clear runway Friday morning to get the sam hill out of here for a spell. That's all I ask.

Posted by: esmerelda123 | February 23, 2010 11:27 AM | Report abuse

im so excited guys. people on accuweather are saying the latest runs puts dc at tons of snow!!!

Posted by: lll1424 | February 23, 2010 11:29 AM | Report abuse

If I wore pajamas, they'd definitely be inside out tonight! But as soon as I get home from work, I'm popping an ice cube tray into the toilet. (I assume you have to let the ice melt before you flush??)

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 23, 2010 11:35 AM | Report abuse

I actually don't want another big storm, I admit it. I want 4 inches. Henry Margusity actually sounded worried about this storm (for farther north).

Posted by: celestun100 | February 23, 2010 11:36 AM | Report abuse

esmerelda123,
go to the the airport NOW. HURRY! it's coming!!! there'll be 10" on the ground friday am.

(disclosure: i have absolutely no qualifications to make a weather forcast...)

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 11:36 AM | Report abuse

@esmeralda 123

Hopefully it won't be snowing in Mexico. :)

Posted by: celestun100 | February 23, 2010 11:38 AM | Report abuse

Corgi puppies love snow. They are now excited and doing unique corgi version of snow dance. Walking dogs in snow is lovely. Rain not so much. Let all winter moisture be snow. Followed by spring and summer warm sun. Next models in 6 hrs - is that correct? Let the trend continue a little further south please.

Posted by: Rmjw | February 23, 2010 11:45 AM | Report abuse

Ok, anti-snow crowd, it's time to unite. Do whatever you need to do to counter this next snow threat. Wear your pajamas right side out, do a no-snow dance groove, turn your fans to the east and north to blow this storm away, candles to heat the atmosphere, etc. Any other ideas?

Whatever it takes! :)

PS: This post is all in fun, snow weenies, so don't blow a gasket over it.

Posted by: ThinkSpring | February 23, 2010 11:52 AM | Report abuse

We'll probably get at least conversational snow well into March this year due to weather pattern persistence. In order to get "real" spring, we will need a major pattern change.

This winter we have been seeing an unusual number of Rex blocks and similar upper-air patterns, leading to huges snowstorms and other extreme weather phenomena. The Russians have also been getting huge storms; there was one in St. Petersburg at the time of our December storm and a huge storm in Moscow this past weekend. Highest atmospheric pressure [1048+ mb.] is now in the Arctic north of Siberia; it had been previously centered over central Siberia/Mongolia. Lowest atmospheric pressures have persisted in the Southern Hemisphere throughout their summer; normally the lowest atmospheric pressure [other than in tropical cyclones] tends to be in the "winter" hemisphere.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | February 23, 2010 11:54 AM | Report abuse

JerryFloyd1, you said,
"If I wore pajamas, they'd definitely be inside out tonight!"

that case, perhaps you should wear your daytime clothes inside out?

re ice cubes: i think there has to be some "cubeness" to the ice for it to work.

i understand your concern for the plumbing, but those toilet waste pipes are generally 2", and should be able to handle all but the largest...um...ice cubes. also, i'm not sure it has to be a whole tray, but i suppose more is probably better.... we typically do one cube per resident (including pets).

any snowdoo experts out there know anything about this?

maybe wait a little while, but not too long, to allow some melting before you flush. also, by the time that waste pipe gets outside (or beyond/below your last waste branch) it goes to 3" or 4". i suppose flushing them down the lowest toilet in the house would minimize the clogging risk.

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 12:01 PM | Report abuse

I knew about the PJ's, but I didn't know about the ice and spoon under the pillow. My kids will be excited to try this! CWG, when can we expect a Crystal Ball update? (BTW, THANK YOU for all you do...)

Posted by: kathyb39 | February 23, 2010 12:09 PM | Report abuse

@walter-in-falls-church, OK, I'll the ice cubes melt a bit before flushing. assuming one ice cube for each of snow, a tray should do it.

Oh, and if anyone from the D.C. government is reading, what about the heavy duty piece of snow removal eqpt sitting in a lot on West Virginia Ave., unused this winter, because it's AWP (as reported on WRC)? D.C. is so sensitive about this they wouldn't allow WRC's TV cameras on the property.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 23, 2010 12:10 PM | Report abuse

ThinkSpring, you said,
"PS: This post is all in fun, snow weenies..."

ha! that's funny because i would consider YOU GUYS the "snow weenies", with your 'plaints of "ooh...i have to shovel my driveway" or "ooh it's slippery out there" or "ooh my roof will fall in".

we kid because we love....
;-)

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 12:13 PM | Report abuse

@kathyb39

We'll update on the Wed night/Thurs snow chance in our PM Update.

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | February 23, 2010 12:13 PM | Report abuse

is this looking like a monster for us, i keep hearing different things....

Posted by: lll1424 | February 23, 2010 12:14 PM | Report abuse

@Thinkspring, I know snow angels. But snow weenies? I don't think I want to know... ; ))

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 23, 2010 12:16 PM | Report abuse

Looking especially forward to the PM Update today. NAM still looking like Virginia has some kind of force field around it to keep out snow... perhaps a top secret project that ThinkSpring has been working on?

Posted by: spgass1 | February 23, 2010 12:21 PM | Report abuse

We are suppossed to leave Thurs @ 7pm for a flight. Starting to worry, should be try to schedule something earlier?

Posted by: worried2 | February 23, 2010 12:26 PM | Report abuse

worried2...I'd say wait until sometime between 3 and 4 this afternoon, when the National Weather Service and CWG will have new model info. If, at that point in time, the forecast shows even more confidence in a snowfall for DC then I'd say make the call...but I'd wait until then at least...

Posted by: BH99 | February 23, 2010 12:31 PM | Report abuse

just a dusting to an inch with the NAM, but the GFS is looking pretty good for the DC area. 4" Fairfax, 6" DC, and 8" Baltimore.
But a sharp gradient...will be interesting to see what happens...

Posted by: BH99 | February 23, 2010 12:39 PM | Report abuse

@Thinkspring- you and I have opposite feelings about snow, but your comments are generally in good fun and never mean spirited which I appreciate!!! There have been some commenters this season that have gotten a little nasty (on both GW issues and snow hating/loving) but thankfully they seem few and far between.

Posted by: Snowlover2 | February 23, 2010 1:02 PM | Report abuse

Oh, and you can bet I'll be pulling out all the stops to get snow- dances, ice cubes, sacrifice- you name it!

Posted by: Snowlover2 | February 23, 2010 1:03 PM | Report abuse

worried2 - there could be some delays that evening, so if you do have the resources, do try to schedule the flight earlier

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | February 23, 2010 1:04 PM | Report abuse

@snowlover2, what do you plan to sacrifice?

I'm willing to forego my gelato stock-up at Dolcezza, which I should have done before Snowmageddon/Snoway, or whatever that second Feb. storm was called.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 23, 2010 1:12 PM | Report abuse

you guys are saying the NAM's no good for wed/thur but GFS looks promising (and is "drifting" in the right direction).

which has been more accurate lately? as i recall, they were mostly in agreement for those great early feb storms that "came through", right?

whatever happens, it's got to cool down if we want anything to stick!

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 1:14 PM | Report abuse

Champagne. I am willing to sacrifice champagne to the Snow Gods.

Posted by: Snowlover2 | February 23, 2010 1:19 PM | Report abuse

ThinkSpring -- I'm on it.

Cueing up warm weather music such as "Hot Fun In The Summer Time", "Here Comes The Sun", etc...

Posted by: natsncats | February 23, 2010 1:25 PM | Report abuse

while we're waiting for the next models and the pm update, maybe someone could answer this. i posed this question on an earlier thread but didn't hear back.

some (nearly all, i suppose) of the snow-i'm-fed-up-with-iters were complaining during the wonderful jan 30 - feb 10 period about all the snow.

does anyone know what kind of flooding, erosion etc...issues that we AVOIDED by having that as snow instead of rain? how would that period (especially feb 5-10) compare to notable local flooding events had it been all rain?

is it possible that deaths/damage etc...were less because it was snow?

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 1:29 PM | Report abuse

@walter-in-fallschurch

In a somewhat similar situation during the approach of Snoverkill, GFS was snowier than NAM and ended up verifying better. One difference, though, is at least in that case NAM was still showing some significant precip, just not as much as GFS. At the moment, we have GFS showing the potential for 4" or ore more and NAM only around a trace. So we're keenly interested in whether the afternoon nam run will show even a hint toward a snowier scenario.

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | February 23, 2010 1:37 PM | Report abuse

Just wanted to let everyone know I am

wearing my inside out pj's dancing to the
toilet to drop ice cubes in it while singing
"O WHEN THE SNOW.... COMES FALLIN' DOWN....
WHEN THE SNOW COMES FALLIN' DOWN...

EVERYONE.......

"how i want
to be in that bullseye...
when the snow comes fallin' down!"

I HOPE IT WORKS!!!

Posted by: akamrspris | February 23, 2010 1:53 PM | Report abuse

Ice cubes definitely in cube form, but we don't use the entire tray! I'm actually hoping for a bit of snow. I'm tired of looking at the mud in my yard.

Posted by: weatherwatcher1 | February 23, 2010 1:59 PM | Report abuse

CWG,
thanks guys! really appreciate the feedback/interaction from the pros as well as the regular knowledgeable posters.

any thoughts about feb 5-10 rain vs snow impact?

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 1:59 PM | Report abuse

@akamrspris, keep it going!

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 23, 2010 1:59 PM | Report abuse

@JerryFloyd1....

I am looking for a snow hangover!!! Guess that would be better known as a "SNOVER"
SNOW...SNOW...SNOW...(to the melody of CHUG CHUG CHUG) BA HA HAA crack myself up...

Posted by: akamrspris | February 23, 2010 2:07 PM | Report abuse

When will this snow start on Thursday? I have a mid-day flight out of DCA.

Posted by: DrederickTatum | February 23, 2010 2:30 PM | Report abuse

cross posting this from the SLCB thread as this seems to be the more up to date place:

uhh, crap... what are my chances of not having delays at BWI on thursday morning for an 8:15am flight. i have two layovers (houston and mexico city) before my final destination in southern mexico late thursday night. this isn't just a normal trip... it's my BROTHER'S WEDDING!!!! i *have* to get to mexico city by 4pm thursday... sigh. stupid winter.

Posted by: dotjeffdot | February 23, 2010 2:33 PM | Report abuse

@JerryFloyd - It's a term I've heard many times and it simply refers to people who "worship" snow.

@walter - yes, it's all in good fun. But, I really don't need to see another blizzard. I've got roof damage from the last one and I've missed more than enough work time for this month. So, I prefer calmer weather for a spell.

Posted by: ThinkSpring | February 23, 2010 2:36 PM | Report abuse

"Mad Man" Henry Margusity from AccuWeather has the entire states of MD, PA & NY in a potential blizzard on his latest post.....
http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.asp?partner=accuweather&blog=meteomadness

Posted by: kathyb39 | February 23, 2010 3:02 PM | Report abuse

ThinkSpring,
well, i don't think even the most optimistic snow-loving model-reader is thinking this wed/thur thing will be a blizzard for DC.

(though i did see a GFS with some beautiful colors about 200 miles to our northeast....)

...o how i want
to be in that bullseye
when the snow
comes fallin' down....

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 3:05 PM | Report abuse

@kathyb39 - I've not heard of that blog before - is he pretty reliable?

Posted by: nolagirl67 | February 23, 2010 3:08 PM | Report abuse

i said,
"i don't think even the most optimistic snow-loving model-reader is thinking this wed/thur thing will be a blizzard for DC."

ah..."mad man"....well, maybe i stand corrected....

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 3:17 PM | Report abuse

@walter in falls church

I can tell you that we had a lot of fun sledding on the day that it snowed and didn't rain.

@kathyb39 Henry Margusity at accuweather is
pretty cool. He loves the weather. I don't think he's been calling himself "Mad Man" this year. He seems lower-key. Has anyone else noticed that?

Posted by: celestun100 | February 23, 2010 3:20 PM | Report abuse

Fairfax County:

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
EVENING...THEN SNOW LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND
AN INCH POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. BRISK WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW.
BLUSTERY WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY. HIG

Posted by: oriolesfan23 | February 23, 2010 3:20 PM | Report abuse

NWS- says 60% chance now for SNOW on Thursday....are odds are increasing!!!

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Alexandria&state=VA&site=LWX&textField1=38.821&textField2=-77.0862

Posted by: artteach | February 23, 2010 3:22 PM | Report abuse

Could "MAD MAN please move the blue blizzard color a lil more south?!?!

I am however, NOT looking forward to these winds......

Posted by: akamrspris | February 23, 2010 3:25 PM | Report abuse

Who wants to predict how full the grocery stores will be tonight? tomorrow? tomorrow night??

Where can I get that second shovel?

Posted by: celestun100 | February 23, 2010 3:27 PM | Report abuse

it's all well and good that "mad man" is having this storm "blow up" close to us, but i'm reserving judgement 'til i hear from the "sane men" at CWG.

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 23, 2010 3:28 PM | Report abuse

Posted by: DOG3521 | February 23, 2010 3:29 PM | Report abuse

whatever we get is melting quick, mid-40s from Saturday to Tues, with avg IAD high hitting 50 on Monday...and hours of sunlight approaching 11.5 per day by next week - can't wait to watch that high sun burn through the snow like it has the last few days - love the sound of my tires driving the patches of water created by all that melting snow

look forward to gloating about 90 degree heat soon with all you snow geeks who actually like this white sh, I mean stuff

Posted by: TGT11 | February 23, 2010 3:31 PM | Report abuse

@walter
don't reserve judgement- get excited- you may not get another chance this winter-well, at least that is how I am looking at this.

3.2
3.2
3.2

Posted by: celestun100 | February 23, 2010 3:32 PM | Report abuse

Looks like latest NAM is starting to trend towards the GFS solution, meaning snow baby!!

Posted by: snowlover | February 23, 2010 3:42 PM | Report abuse

sometimes I don't like those huge models of precipitation coming towards us...

Posted by: celestun100 | February 23, 2010 3:44 PM | Report abuse

@nolagirl67 - Henry has been fairly reliable this winter, and I agree with celestun100 that he has toned it down a bit. He used to be a hype machine but lately he is a little more realistic.
@walter - I agree, I rely far more on the sane CWG than any other source...just threw Henry out as conversation.

Posted by: kathyb39 | February 23, 2010 3:45 PM | Report abuse

WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE... SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS... POTENTIAL FOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 OR MORE INCHES.

* TIMING... A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WEDNESDAY EVENING WILL BECOME ALL SNOW BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES... LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S THURSDAY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S THURSDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS... NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

Posted by: snowlover | February 23, 2010 3:51 PM | Report abuse

Ominous silence from CWG. Where's our 3:30 update? What are we getting?

Posted by: lilymama | February 23, 2010 3:51 PM | Report abuse

Winter storm watch for parts of MD:

MDZ004>007-010-011-014-018-240430-
/O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0007.100225T0500Z-100226T1100Z/
FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-HOWARD-
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-ANNE ARUNDEL-CALVERT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...COLUMBIA...
BALTIMORE...ANNAPOLIS
319 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2010

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...POTENTIAL FOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 OR MORE
INCHES.

* TIMING...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WEDNESDAY EVENING WILL BECOME
ALL SNOW BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S THURSDAY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S THURSDAY
NIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT.


Posted by: kathyb39 | February 23, 2010 3:52 PM | Report abuse

The suspense is killing me.

Where is the next update?

(my daughter just did the snowdance, which has brought record snow to the area recently)

Posted by: celestun100 | February 23, 2010 3:54 PM | Report abuse

Sorry the post above is for the following counties:

FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-HOWARD-
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-ANNE ARUNDEL-CALVERT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...COLUMBIA...
BALTIMORE...ANNAPOLIS
319 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2010

Posted by: snowlover | February 23, 2010 3:55 PM | Report abuse

NWS just put out a "Hazardous Weather Outlook" for my area...WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?????

Posted by: akamrspris | February 23, 2010 4:08 PM | Report abuse

Sounds like a non-event for DC!! Anything showing DC getting anything worthy of panic.

Posted by: schrute | February 23, 2010 4:28 PM | Report abuse

Capital weather gang could you tell us how much snow could accumulate in Centreville VA at this point are is it to early?

Posted by: snowlover31 | February 23, 2010 5:07 PM | Report abuse

I live out around Winchester, VA. What could we expect out towards the mountains?

Posted by: kylef1 | February 23, 2010 5:43 PM | Report abuse

Im under wintr storm watch and i live in centreville!!!!!!!!!

IM doing the snow dance!!!!!!!!!!!!

OH WHEN THE SNOW COMES MARCHING IN

Posted by: snowlover31 | February 23, 2010 6:29 PM | Report abuse

Gang do you have any idea of accumulations in fairfax county

Posted by: snowlover31 | February 23, 2010 10:10 PM | Report abuse

My dogs, cat, and I have all been doing our snow dance at fever pitch! I even strapped on my snowshoes and did a little extra boogie in the snow with them for added effect.

I do hope that the winds die down somewhat by Saturday though, because that's my planned ski day. I'm not certain that sustained 30 MPH-60 MPH winds will be favorable for ski-lift rides lol.

Also, we hope to finally get our new washing machine delivered by Friday (We've been waiting for it since Snowmageddon!), and I want to get my VP2 ISS set-up by the end of this weekend. I need a nice day or two to get the mount built and put in place, and to properly calibrate everything as well. I haven't designed or built a heating element for the rain gauge either, so if it snows after I set it up, I'll have to figure out a way to maintain liquid measurements (If the amount isn't large enough to spill out of the containment bucket, I guess I can wait for daytime melting, and then I'll simply have a delayed but fairly accurate reading).

Posted by: TheAnalyst | February 23, 2010 11:52 PM | Report abuse

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