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Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 02/14/2010

Forecast: More snow a day away

By Brian Jackson

A few inches possible; major storm unlikely

* Late afternoon today: Snow update & accumulation map *
* Must-see photos/videos | Snow stats | Best of storm comments *
* News, traffic & storm coverage: Local home page | Get There *

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.
 
6Love is in the air, along with continued chill.
 
Get tomorrow's 'Digit' on Twitter tonight

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Partly to mostly sunny and breezy. 35-40. | Tonight: Mostly clear. Increasing clouds late. Teens to near 20. | Tomorrow: Snow or wintry mix develops. 32-37. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Tranquil weather today leads into another bout with snow tomorrow. Lucky for us, this storm will not be nearly as strong and will not have the same amount of moisture with it as our twin storms last week did. Still, a few inches are possible before the snow tapers and calm conditions return in time for back-to-work (back-to-school?) Tuesday.

Clouds: Latest mid-Atlantic infrared satellite loop, courtesy Unisys. Click here to expand. Refresh page to update. See more maps on our Weather Wall

Today (Valentine's Day): Mother Nature must have a valentine because she's been in a good mood this weekend, for a change. Pleasant, albeit cool, weather continues today with partly to mostly sunny skies and highs around 35-40. Not terribly cold, but a brisk breeze from the west at about 10-15 mph (with higher gusts) puts a bit of a bite into the air. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Mostly clear skies through much of the night and light winds allow overnight lows to dip to the teens in the suburbs to near 20 downtown. Increasing clouds should arrive by morning as Monday's storm draws closer. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast through midweek....

Tomorrow (President's Day): Morning skies become overcast as an Alberta Clipper moves in from the west. Light-to-moderate snow should start between late morning and early afternoon -- possibly mixing with some rain and sleet, primarily from the District toward points south and east -- and may continue into the evening. Highs in the mid-30s fall back to around freezing once the precipitation gets going. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow Night: Snow tapers during the evening or overnight. Lows drop to the mid-to-upper 20s with an increasing breeze from the west. Confidence: Medium

Accumulations: At the moment we expect total snow accumulations in the range of 1 to 4 inches, with the highest amounts north and west of D.C. and lowest amounts south and east. So far we don't see much potential for a storm the likes of our last two. Check back with us late this afternoon for a snow update and accumulation map. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

A reinforcing shot of cold moves in for Tuesday. Highs only in the low-to-mid 30s will be chilled by winds around 15-25 mph and gusts to near 35 mph. Clouds gradually decrease during the afternoon. Partly cloudy overnight as lows fall to near 20. Confidence: Medium-High

Less windy Wednesday but only a little warmer. Mostly sunny skies accompany highs in the upper 30s. Confidence: Medium-High

By Brian Jackson  | February 14, 2010; 11:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Snowmageddon: Must-see photos and videos
Next: Expert: Blizzards "consistent with" climate change

Comments

I'm glad to know it's not a major storm this time.... Still eager for the slow melt to continue.

Posted by: krosseel | February 14, 2010 7:17 AM | Report abuse

Me too, krosseel, me too.

Posted by: Murre | February 14, 2010 7:31 AM | Report abuse

I think I have to agree too.

Posted by: nolagirl67 | February 14, 2010 7:33 AM | Report abuse

Gotta wonder if this is going to be mainly a rain event, briefly turning over to snow before ending Monday evening.

Posted by: Curmudgeon4 | February 14, 2010 7:57 AM | Report abuse

We live in Spotsyltucky, off a hilly dirt road, in house on three acres in the forest. In times like these we park up on the nearest paved road and hike oer' the dales and through the woods to our 4wd trucks. Our looming problem now is that the Propane Gas Truck can't get through to fill our tank and we're hovering at 30%. No gas means no stove, hot water or showers! We need the big melt soon!

Posted by: mandaylen7 | February 14, 2010 8:15 AM | Report abuse

Question~
We've been our using our telescope (on the clear nights) and have been able to see pretty well. Why is it that in the winter (colder weather) the sky seems crisper/clearer (vs warmer weather)? Or am I imagining it (maybe because of the sangria in the summer!)

Had a great time watching the 2 bald eagles just south of Old Town. Thought they had left town...does anyone know more about them?
Thanks!

Posted by: motherrunner | February 14, 2010 8:42 AM | Report abuse

We're waiting for the remaining ice on our roof to melt so the roofer can replace the slates, metal snow birds, and pieces of gutter that were ripped away when the first half slid off (note to self: not smart to use a heater in the finished attic during a blizzard). I'm ready for spring!

Posted by: LCFC | February 14, 2010 8:43 AM | Report abuse

Astronomical viewing is better in the winter due to a couple of reasons. Air mass right now is from Canada and free from pollutants. Air is drier.

Posted by: Curmudgeon4 | February 14, 2010 8:46 AM | Report abuse

Not at all familiar with driving the Bay Bridge and need to be in Annapolis 1-3pm on Monday (coming from Rockville) - how bad are driving conditions likely to be on the trip? I am comfortable in snow, but ice/high winds on the Bay Bridge make me nervous.....

Posted by: ilovemoco | February 14, 2010 8:48 AM | Report abuse

ilovemoco - Coming from Rockville you reach Annapolis before you reach the Bay Bridge, so you don't have to cross it.

Posted by: rollingphone | February 14, 2010 8:57 AM | Report abuse

@ilovemoco Rockville -> Annapolis doesn't use the bridge, unless you mean something else. Bay Bridge would be to/from Eastern Shore.

Posted by: leesweet | February 14, 2010 8:59 AM | Report abuse

Red face here - thanks for correcting my geography - I've only been to Annapolis twice and both times were part of a trip to the shore, so I got confused... I am deathly afraid of bridges, so was just freaking out in general - needlessly!

Posted by: ilovemoco | February 14, 2010 9:03 AM | Report abuse

there has been talk by other weather man about another major storm coming to us a week from today. is this correct?

Posted by: jjsoccer1125 | February 14, 2010 9:06 AM | Report abuse

@ilovemoco Better a red face than freaking out on the way! :)

Posted by: leesweet | February 14, 2010 9:08 AM | Report abuse

It's a little early to worry about a storm a week from now. Models are not very reliable that far out.

Posted by: Curmudgeon4 | February 14, 2010 9:09 AM | Report abuse

Motherrunner, the winter air doesn't have the haze and humidity which hangs in the air during stagnant summer nights. In addition, the winter constellations are comprised of some of the brightest stars like Sirius (the brightest star in the night sky), Capella, Procyon, and Betelgeuse. Last, the planet Mars just passed its brightest point at the end of January and is a very bright, star-like object in the eastern sky after sunset. All these things combined make for great winter stargazing.

FYI, We are actually looking towards the center of our Milky Way during summer nights and away from it during winter nights.

Posted by: david_in_stafford | February 14, 2010 9:16 AM | Report abuse

@Curmudgeon4, the models were calling the december strom and snowmageddon about a week out.

Posted by: samdman95 | February 14, 2010 9:22 AM | Report abuse

Had a great time watching the 2 bald eagles just south of Old Town. Thought they had left town...does anyone know more about them?
Thanks!

Posted by: motherrunner | February 14, 2010 8:42 AM
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

I'm not a bald eagle expert by any means; but when we were having our house built 4 1/2 years ago, our building time was restricted. Since we are within 1000 feet of a bald eagles' nest, there was to be no exterior construction from Dec. 15 - June 15 so the eagles wouldn't be disturbed (nesting time, I suppose). It was no problem for us because our construction was scheduled to start the beginning of July, and we got our U&O right before Thanksgiving. We don't see much of them during the off months, but sure do see them in late winter and spring.

They are magnificent birds! After all this time, we still stop what we're doing and marvel when they fly over our house headed to the Potomac at mealtime. And we look for them in their nest when we're coming home. We had one fly over yesterday afternoon. Really awesome!

Posted by: waterfrontproperty | February 14, 2010 9:32 AM | Report abuse

Well Sandman, even if the models were dead on, what's the use of worrying about it now?
The timing will still change, and I haven't seen a storm yet where you can start shoveling until the snow falls.

Me, I'm gonna enjoy the sunshine today and not worry about next weekend.

Posted by: Curmudgeon4 | February 14, 2010 9:50 AM | Report abuse

Hey Walter, nice pix in the Post today....you are famous

Posted by: tbva | February 14, 2010 9:53 AM | Report abuse

Based on the forecast, how long should it take for the snow to melt to a reasonable level? Reasonable is a couple of inches on the ground, and completely clear streets.

Posted by: dhlunar | February 14, 2010 10:03 AM | Report abuse

Nice to see your pic in the WP, Walter! Cute article with it :)

Posted by: Snowlover2 | February 14, 2010 10:06 AM | Report abuse

@dhlunar -


August.

Posted by: waterfrontproperty | February 14, 2010 10:06 AM | Report abuse

I am interested in hearing more about the potential for a storm next weekend. It was touched upon in comments towards the end of the day yesterday and I do have plans to go out of town and cross the Bay Bridge next weekend.

Posted by: DCcola | February 14, 2010 10:08 AM | Report abuse

@waterfrontproperty -- lol! Given the size of the snow piles, you may not be far off the mark. I expect to see snow on the ground in the shady areas for quite a while.

Posted by: natsncats | February 14, 2010 10:09 AM | Report abuse

@motherrunner

Try an experiment: drink Irish coffee while stargazing this winter to correct for any possible impact of sangria in the summer. :)

Posted by: AlexBike | February 14, 2010 10:11 AM | Report abuse

Hey CWG... Where's the SLCB?

Posted by: teezee210 | February 14, 2010 10:23 AM | Report abuse

tbva, Snowlover2,
thanks. my daughter is just beside herself to have had her pic in the paper (i think it's pretty cool too....).

tbva,
did you say earlier that you drive by and see them in person? you must live close by.

they've been furiously plowing the street in front of my house this morning (we're across from a school) to try to get schools open tomorrow.

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 14, 2010 10:35 AM | Report abuse

The SLCB has disappeared - is CWG getting conflicting readings about our future snowcast?

By the way Walter, wonderful snow-creatures over the years (I've seen your other photos posted on-line) and nice article in WAPO.

Posted by: Frida7 | February 14, 2010 10:47 AM | Report abuse

Within 24-36 hrs or something of the event no more SLCB. From the FAQ:
"The Snow Lover's Crystal Ball appears when the potential exists for accumulating snow beyond 24 to 36 hours. It includes the predicted timing, probability and potential impact of the snow, as well as commentary that examines the various scenarios that might occur."

So the event should be starting tomorrow. Looking forward to the pm update.

Posted by: johnslau | February 14, 2010 10:59 AM | Report abuse

Much as I hate to admit two-timing CWG, other forecasters are saying tomorrow's event is trending north and the D.C. area is in for light snow and rain/mix.

All due respect to the Xtreme Snow Fetishists, that's good news to me. I've been out of town and need to not be delayed getting back tomorrow.

Posted by: mhardy1 | February 14, 2010 11:11 AM | Report abuse

I have not had a chance to drive by but I do live nearby....every time it snows I can only clear so much of the driveway...now it's skinny so my racecar is kinda land locked in the back. The big Chevy truck works just fine but hubby does not like me to drive it...can't say as I blame him. I have a track record with vehicles....if anything can go wrong, it will when I am behind the wheel :)
No one I know went through 4 motors in two months.

Posted by: tbva | February 14, 2010 11:12 AM | Report abuse

@walter-in-fallschurch. Great shark photo at WaPo site. Finally I know what everyone's been talking about!

Clever of y'all to have thought of that beast. Forts and snowmen pretty much exhaust my creativity, and yeah I stick a carrot on for the guy's nose. *Hopeless.*

Posted by: tinkerbelle | February 14, 2010 11:24 AM | Report abuse

I've developed snow-tire envy. My rural mail carrier has this miserable beater of a car that never heard of 4WD, but he's put faaabulous new snows on it. Deep sharp treads and STUDS!! I want I want I want.

Posted by: tinkerbelle | February 14, 2010 11:28 AM | Report abuse

re: SLCB--

We're inside the 24-36 hour window beyond which we run that, but we're going to have an update late this afternoon in which we give our latest thoughts. Some parts of the region should get some snow, but it may mix with rain in spots and there is the dry slot issue with low passing over us or just to our west.

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | February 14, 2010 11:29 AM | Report abuse

Back to astronomy for a moment. Current weather conditions--clear, breezy, cold--actually often are bad because the air is turbulent. Hazy calm warm summer nights are better for bright objects like planets because they are so bright that the haze doesn't matter and the air is stable. As astronomers say, the seeing is good often in the summer.

Posted by: doubtingdavid | February 14, 2010 11:32 AM | Report abuse

11th Annual NE.Wx Snowfall Forecast Contest
Snow Storm #6 - Call for Forecasts

Northern stream short-wave forecast to intensify as it swings onto the
east coast from the Upper Plains.

Surface LOW expected to follow a
familiar path through BWI and along coastal SNE where NWP models
suggest it may linger in the Gulf of Maine...blocked by strong HIGH
pressure over Greenland.

-----
Deadline: 10:30 PM EST SUN...14-FEB-10

Forecast element: storm-total snowfall
Verification begins: 12:01 AM EST MON...15-FEB-10
Verification ends: 11:59 PM EST WED...17-FEB-10

Enter your forecast at the Contest web site
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

Follow the link from 'Enter Storm
Forecast.'


As always...there/s no cost...or fee...or annoying requests for
personal information to enter. Just a fun exercise to see who can make
the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.

If you are issuing your first forecast this year...or you entered the
'season-total' forecast contest...you/ll need to create an account
(user name / password / valid e-mail...if you want a copy of your
forecast sent to your Inbox).

NEWxSFC home page:
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

Web log:
http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/

Posted by: toweringqs | February 14, 2010 12:04 PM | Report abuse

Please don't forget that private-sector employees will likely be at work tomorrow.

Posted by: chunche | February 14, 2010 12:22 PM | Report abuse

Where are Fedcast and Schoolcast? If that info is not consistently displayed and easily found on CWG, I suspect you will lose many of your recently acquired new visitors, IMHO.
Thanks.

Posted by: luckydad1 | February 14, 2010 12:43 PM | Report abuse

re: snow tires.
I was remembering the annual ritual of switching to snow tires. I had a 67 Camaro and I bought a set of new fangled studded snows for it....extra cool when you sparked 'em on dry pavement. As I recall, they were pretty much outlawed since they tore up the roads but you could go in the snow. I don't think the Camaro had a posi rear. The 63 Pontiac I had before the Camaro had a posi but it was so light all it did was spin.

Posted by: tbva | February 14, 2010 12:45 PM | Report abuse

FFX Schools is closed Monday, teachers must report to work

Posted by: artteach | February 14, 2010 1:00 PM | Report abuse

artteach, where do you see that? The County's website doesn't say they're closed tomorrow.

Posted by: natsncats | February 14, 2010 1:12 PM | Report abuse

Bald Eagles in this area geneally breed around the end of Feb - March. Eaglets fledge in June, don't develop the white head & tail until their 4-5 yrs old. I c them regularly when fishing the Potomac. I catch one on the Occoquan Res. in March of 1974. It was unable 2 fly & was flopping on the shoreline. It was taken 2 Nat. Zoo, but was unable 2 be saved. Apparently died from pesticide poisoning. I also transported 1 from A.P. Hill in 2002 to the rehibilation center in Waynesboro, unforunetly it was injuried 2 badly 2 survive.
Fyi, Ben Franklin wanted the turkey 2 b the National Bird.
Hokies 61-Hoo's 55.

Posted by: VaTechBob | February 14, 2010 1:18 PM | Report abuse

@motherrunner,

The comments in regard to your initial question on astronomy are quite accurate. The winter sky usually has less moisture in the air thus the transparancy is often better than on those humid and hazy nights during the summer. The summer nights usually have better seeing (less shimmering) in the atmosphere due to the ground and lower atmosphere being relatively close in temperature where as the winter nights have cold air and heat radiating off the ground and buildings, etc. that will create that "looking through water" effect.

Where south of Old Town were you seeing the Eagles? I know they abandon the nest on the Parkway just south of Old Town last year. I have seen them near the nest recently but not in the nest or even bringing sticks to the nest which would suggest new breeding activity. We see more Eagles along the Potomac during the winter when they are not on breeding territory. Most will move on soon to their breeding grounds, if they already haven't.

Posted by: pjdunn1 | February 14, 2010 1:21 PM | Report abuse

The current storm is trending more northward, and the threat of a weekend storm is diminishing, according to Sterling's update...they are supposed to clarify further in their afternoon report.

Looks as though we're going into a settled, cool pattern...I have a big dance Friday night.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | February 14, 2010 1:21 PM | Report abuse

Doubtingdavid, to add to your comments, a turbulent atmosphere negatively impacts affects seeing details of the planets and moon through a telescope. This is experienced mostly after the passage of a cold front.

Deep sky objects like galaxies, star clusters, and nebulae are not impacted by poor seeing as much as lunar and planetary objects. A transparent, clear sky, like that experienced during the winter after cold front passage, is most beneficial for deep sky objects through a telescope.

Posted by: david_in_stafford | February 14, 2010 1:34 PM | Report abuse

FFX closing was emailed to staff from Jack Dale, superintendent...it isn't on the website yet but I am not sure why

Posted by: artteach | February 14, 2010 1:42 PM | Report abuse

FCPS closing info is up now on fcps.edu

Posted by: mamory1975 | February 14, 2010 1:48 PM | Report abuse

Re: sky viewing. Did anyone else see a REALLY close meteorite or comet (or whatever) Jan. 18 in SE sky in early evening? I saw it in the countryside north of Harpers Ferry. It was phenomenal; so much closer than the usual. It looked basketball-sized with a sort of elongated halo around it and stretched out behind. Must've taken it two full seconds to disappear. I just stared. (If this double-posts, my apologies.)

Posted by: tinkerbelle | February 14, 2010 2:04 PM | Report abuse

Can confirm what Bombo47jea said... Monday's storm is trending north, meaning less snow for us. Heard a dusting to an inch now, but can't wait for CWG's forecast this afternoon. Everything else is hearsay to me until that time. :)

Posted by: skbm1 | February 14, 2010 2:08 PM | Report abuse

There was a good bit of discussion last week about the former D.C. weather bureau at 24th & M Streets, N>W.

There's a photo of the facility on page C3 of the 2/14/10 WAPO, and online at

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/02/13/AR2010021303481.html

This would have been adjacent to Columbia Hospital for Women, which is now a condo complex.

The photo reference above illustrates "John Kelly's Washington" column.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 14, 2010 2:11 PM | Report abuse

There are several snow Fairfax shark pics online at http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/story/2010/02/10/ST2010021003553.html?sid=ST2010021003553

@walter-in-fallschurch, who is Mark Crain, whose name appears in the caption for one of the photos. Your son?

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 14, 2010 2:19 PM | Report abuse

Safest bet for snow accumulation for DCA for tomorrow and tomorrow night: 0. We do not, repeat do NOT, get snow accumulations from clippers that pass to our north or our west (at least I've never seen it happen in 27 years here), and almost all clippers do pass to our north and west, with only very rare exceptions.

Posted by: doubtingdavid | February 14, 2010 2:22 PM | Report abuse

well, JerryFloyd1,
that would be just a mistake. i don't know where "mark" came from. it's weird because they got my name right in the other captions.... good thing this is just s "fluff" article and not real, serious news....

btw, thanks for pointing that out. i hadn't noticed that there was a slide show up now.

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 14, 2010 3:09 PM | Report abuse

i'm getting a little nervous about this "clipper" coming through here. sounds like it's drifting...in a bad way. i would much rather have nothing than have rain....

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 14, 2010 3:13 PM | Report abuse

@walter-in-fallschurch, ah, those kinds of mistakes happen all too often and fortunately we can't see all of you in the mis-captioned photo. So most readers won't notice.

Re: clippers, those rascals are particularly difficult to predict. 25-40 miles in the track can make a big difference. They often pass to the north of here and as noted elsewhere in this thread we don't even get a close shave.

The dry slot could be a problem. Or, who knows the clipper may pass to our south, strenghten as it reaches the coast, and we get a few inches, and your snow shark gets fed.

C'est la niege!

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 14, 2010 4:06 PM | Report abuse

Tinkerbelle, if you haven't heard, the meteorite you saw on Jan. 18 impacted a medical office building in Lorton. The last I read, the meteorite was at the Smithsonian in DC, but the Lorton building landlords were seeking ownership of the meteorite.

Posted by: david_in_stafford | February 14, 2010 4:29 PM | Report abuse

FYI, here is a link to a recent article on the Lorton meteorite:

http://www.eveningsun.com/ci_14323254

Posted by: david_in_stafford | February 14, 2010 4:35 PM | Report abuse

@david_in_stafford. Wonderful! Thank you so much for the info. I checked the Internet for a day or two afterward and asked my neighbors, but nobody seemed to have seen it. It was a sight, man.

Posted by: tinkerbelle | February 14, 2010 6:01 PM | Report abuse

@tinkerbelle, you're very welcome. As an amateur astronomer, I wish I too had seen that meteor shooting across the sky on January 18!

Posted by: david_in_stafford | February 14, 2010 7:41 PM | Report abuse

Thanks everyone for your responses-re : astronomy

pjdunn1- Just shy of OT on the Parkway (before Belleview). There was a nest there from before. These we saw sitting in the tree on either side of the nest. Did not see them in the nest...just people watching I guess. Every time I see them I am amazed by their size! Actually saw one flying over Old Town yesterday.

Posted by: motherrunner | February 14, 2010 9:39 PM | Report abuse

If I were a member of the Capital Weather Gang, and this point I'd be hiding from mobs who would like nothing better than for me to meet guillotine.

Wasn't it the Incas who actually institutionalized the practice of killing the bearers of bad news?

Posted by: douglaslbarber | February 15, 2010 12:40 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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