PM Update: Continued cold; A few Wed. flakes?
Increasing clouds tonight; slow warming through week
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After just a few hit-and-miss snow showers early this morning, we've been "treated" to another below-average day on the temperature front as highs rise mainly to the mid-30s. Adding in winds gusting past 35 mph at times, and plentiful snow still on the ground, there's no mistaking that this historic winter is not eager to give up its grip just yet.
Through tonight: Clouds increase overnight, leaving us mostly cloudy by sunrise. Lows drop to near 20 in the usually cold spots and the mid-20s downtown. Winds weaken a bit overnight but continue around 10 mph with higher gusts.
Tomorrow (Wednesday): A small upper-level impulse swings through from the west. While it could touch off a few flurries or a snow shower through midday or afternoon, most of the activity will have trouble crossing the mountains. Otherwise, we're mostly cloudy through the day with highs in the mid-30s to near 40. Winds will be up again, mainly in the afternoon, with gusts past 30 mph possible.
See Matt Rogers' full forecast through the weekend. And if you haven't already, join us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.
Snow update: With yesterday's more "typical" D.C. area snowstorm, which dropped a dusting to about .5" across the area, seasonal (and all-time record) totals saw a slight bump at the three major reporting stations. National now stands at 56.0", Dulles is up to 73.2", and Baltimore-Washington has hit an astounding 80.0". Snow depth at all locations still ranges from 1' to 1.5'!
By
Ian Livingston
| February 16, 2010; 3:15 PM ET
Categories:
Forecasts
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Posted by: ah___ | February 16, 2010 3:24 PM | Report abuse
The WV highlands have now topped 200" on the year. Thats more than anywhere in New England and more than the CO Front Range. Pretty remarkable!
Posted by: Peter_L_inmclean | February 16, 2010 3:35 PM | Report abuse
PWC is on a 2 hour delay the rest of the week:
Posted by: weatherdudeVA | February 16, 2010 4:36 PM | Report abuse
Heads up?
Late Friday/Sat hipres builds into the region and northwest winds lessen as
pressure gradient relaxes. Upper flow for the weekend becomes zonal. Models
diverge in solutions for evolution of shortwave/S Sat night through Monday night.
There is potential for significant storm to affect the area drng
this time...although spatial and temporal uncertainties are such
that for now an extended period of only chance probability of precipitation seems warranted.
Posted by: Tom8 | February 16, 2010 4:45 PM | Report abuse
From what direction can we expect these winds tonight and tomorrow?
Posted by: hawknt | February 16, 2010 4:53 PM | Report abuse
hawknt, mainly from the west with some northwest likely mixed in.
Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | February 16, 2010 4:59 PM | Report abuse
About 5 years ago, I went sailing on the Potomac River on President's Day. The water was still cold, but the sun was warm, and the calm, steady winter winds made for an enjoyable afternoon scooting between DCA and the WW bridge.
That was back when I used to think we had calm, steady winter winds that were perfect for sailing small boats.
Posted by: --sg | February 16, 2010 5:14 PM | Report abuse
my shark has a "companion". pics later tonight.
Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 16, 2010 5:52 PM | Report abuse
A companion??? Tell us more!! Better yet, pics NOW!
Posted by: manassasmissy | February 16, 2010 6:12 PM | Report abuse
i won't have a chance 'til after dinner etc....probably 10 or 11...
Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 16, 2010 6:21 PM | Report abuse
Walter, Can't wait to see your latest creation! The shark was amazing. Great job!
Posted by: dprats21 | February 16, 2010 6:48 PM | Report abuse
Peter_L_inmclean - that is astounding. wow. What is your closest reporting station? (MD or WV?)
Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | February 16, 2010 7:32 PM | Report abuse
Any thoughts on the next potential storm? I want another big one!
LWX discussion:
MODELS DIVERGE IN SOLNS FOR EVOLUTION OF SHORTWAVE/S SAT NGT THRU MON NGT. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA DRNG THIS TIME...
Posted by: oriolesfan23 | February 16, 2010 7:32 PM | Report abuse
...Waiting to see Walter's next creation.
And why is "At a Glance" blank for the next six days??? [Another "snow job" in the works??? This will really get ThinkSpring thinking...hope it doesn't spring a "surprise blizzard" for Friday night's big dance!]
Posted by: Bombo47jea | February 16, 2010 7:33 PM | Report abuse
With all this snow, attention now needs to shift from roofs to basements and other low-lying spots.
Snow core samples taken yesterday by cocorahs trained volunteers reveal that exisiting snow from several storms is loaded with moisture. Several reports include:
Total Snow Liquid Equiv Location
41.0" 4.54" Balto City, MD
26.0" 4.16" Marriottsville, MD
21.5" 5.39" Takoma Park, MD
18.0" 3.82" Alexandria, VA
Hopefully the current slow-paced thaw will allow for a gradual melting. But a mild and moist storm-event could cause the release of significant moisture.
Posted by: mtpeaks | February 16, 2010 7:33 PM | Report abuse
@tom8
Where did you find this information? Thanks.
Posted by: aaf314 | February 16, 2010 7:59 PM | Report abuse
@Peter_L_inmclean and @Camden, Bob Ryan mentioned tonight at about 6:20 p.m. that one of the folks who regularly sends him photos from the Davis/Thomas area of WV, just north of Canaan Valley, reports more than 200" of snow this season, including 15 new inches.
Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 16, 2010 8:00 PM | Report abuse
@Walter in falls church
I as well can't wait for the newest creature that you have made. Just be sure to mention us the next time your work is on TV (I thought for a minute you had left us for brighter lights)...
@bombo
The 6 day is currently down, our provider is in the middle of an outage, we hope to have it back later tonight or first thing in the morning. Until then, just know it's going to be cold ;)
Posted by: JJones-CapitalWeatherGang | February 16, 2010 8:07 PM | Report abuse
Any thoughts on the HPC outlook found here at: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg.gif
showing what appears to be a northern stream impulse, possibly phased with southern stream energy on days 6-7, creating another potentially blockbuster snowstorm here? While I don't see the cold high pressure to the north/northwest since climo has been way below for the past 60-90 days, can we assume snow? Will this storm (if it happens) be called "snow-way" or "snow-more"?
Posted by: wthrwtchr | February 16, 2010 8:32 PM | Report abuse
Walter, count me as among those waiting for the shark's companion! You just couldn't take all that snow out there, eh? LOL
Posted by: --sg | February 16, 2010 9:08 PM | Report abuse
CWG, any chance the wind dies down by Thurs., would love 2 fish 301 Bridge this week. Haven't been there since Feb 1., & its really driving me crazy.
Posted by: VaTechBob | February 16, 2010 9:08 PM | Report abuse
@wthrwtchr, if it's a serious storm: snowverdose
Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 16, 2010 9:29 PM | Report abuse
Actually, a couple of the National Weather Service forecast offices around here are hinting around about a storm early next week. In addition to the quote from the forecast discussion out of Sterling, in State College they are saying "A potent storm system could potentially threaten the East Coast with significant snow or mixed precipitation late Sunday through early next week." Mount Holly, N.J., meanwhile, isn't as interested in something Monday, but says something could be brewing up that way Tuesday and Wednesday. Should I be out getting more bread and milk already?
Posted by: ValleyCaps | February 16, 2010 9:33 PM | Report abuse
Gaaaahhhh!! Please, no more big storms...
*pounding fists on floor and kicking feet like a 3 year old having a tantrum*
Posted by: natsncats | February 16, 2010 9:43 PM | Report abuse
I am flying out of BWI next......just kidding!!!!
Posted by: stinkerflat1 | February 16, 2010 10:11 PM | Report abuse
a shark's gotta eat!
http://www.flickr.com/photos/58171957@N00/
Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 16, 2010 10:39 PM | Report abuse
Walter, that's wonderful!!
Posted by: Murre | February 16, 2010 10:42 PM | Report abuse
Walter, fantastic work once again! I like the sense of movement with the seal.
Posted by: natsncats | February 16, 2010 11:04 PM | Report abuse
Great job, Walter!!!!!
Posted by: Snowlover2 | February 16, 2010 11:06 PM | Report abuse
JJones, you said,
"I as well can't wait for the newest creature that you have made. Just be sure to mention us the next time your work is on TV (I thought for a minute you had left us for brighter lights)..."
you guys (CWG, and the posters) will always be my brightest light....
Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 16, 2010 11:08 PM | Report abuse
walter-I like the concerned look on the seal's face, too!
Posted by: manassasmissy | February 16, 2010 11:11 PM | Report abuse
thanks guys!
Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 16, 2010 11:17 PM | Report abuse
@walter, That seals it. Now I'm really hungry.
Sherman
Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 17, 2010 12:23 AM | Report abuse
BEAUTIFUL WORK, Walter!
Snoverkill it will be! Shopping early. OK if Olympics persists, but really tired of this!!!
Posted by: EllenBedlington | February 17, 2010 4:14 AM | Report abuse
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We still have 18" or more in the shady parts of our yard in Wesley Heights. Don't mind it sticking around, except on the roof--that can feel free to melt ASAP.