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Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 03/29/2010

Forecast: Awful start, awesome end to week

By Jason Samenow

80 possible by the weekend

* CWG T-Shirts | Radar, temps and more: Weather Wall | Get There *

Today's Daily Digit
A somewhat subjective rating of the day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.
3Damp and dreary, but not too cold.
Get tomorrow's 'Digit' on Twitter tonight


Today: Rain or drizzle at times. Near 60. | Tonight: Periods of rain or drizzle. Mid-40s. | Tomorrow: Rain diminishing. Mid-50s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail


A dose of cruel reality: the next two days will be pretty lousy -- unless you happen to enjoy 50s and rain. But beginning Wednesday, the weather will get better and better. We enter a dry stretch and the warmest air of 2010 will eventually arrive. By Easter weekend, 80 degrees will be a legitimate possibility.

Radar: Latest regional radar shows movement of precipitation over past three hours. Powered by HAMweather. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Monday): The area of low pressure that brought last night's rain will re-develop off the Carolina coast. The rain may diminish for a brief time in the morning -- especially in the western suburbs -- but may (30-40%) redevelop in the afternoon as the low heads north. Rainfall potential will be around 0.25" with highs reaching around 60. Winds will become from the north in the afternoon at around 10 mph. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: Low pressure advances from around Virginia Beach to off the Jersey shore overnight. This situation will result in continuing periods of rain -- especially late at night and east of town -- with another 0.5" of rain possible. Lows will be in the mid-40s. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast through the week...

Tomorrow (Tuesday): Our pesky coastal low pressure system will only very slowly drift northeastward off the coast of New Jersey. So it will probably continue to throw back clouds and rain over the region, especially in the morning. By afternoon, the rain should be ending but skies will most likely remain cloudy. It will be a little raw, with highs only in the mid-50s and winds from the north at 15-20 mph. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow Night: Cloudiness will slowly decrease overnight as the low finally pulls away. Lows will be chilly ranging from the upper 30s (cooler suburbs) to low 40s (downtown). Winds from the north will diminish from 15-20 mph to 5-10 mph by morning. Confidence: Medium


Wednesday brings increasing sunshine and milder temperatures as high pressure settles over the region. Highs should range from 60-65 -- right around where they should be this time of the year. Clear and cool overnight with lows from the mid-30s to low 40s (suburbs to city). Confidence: Medium-High

Thursday and Friday will likely be delightful. Both days should be mostly sunny, with highs in the low-to-mid 70s on Thursday and in the mid-to-upper 70s on Friday. Overnight lows will be in the 40s (suburbs) to near 50 (downtown). Confidence: Medium-High

All signs point to a taste of summer for Easter weekend. Warm high pressure poised just to our south will give us a continuation of mostly sunny skies. Light winds from the southwest coupled with sunshine will send high temperatures towards 80 or even higher. Confidence: Medium

By Jason Samenow  | March 29, 2010; 11:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Thanks for the forecast, Jason!

Posted by: krosseel | March 29, 2010 5:32 AM | Report abuse

Very nice that the four peak cherry blossom days are Thursday to Sunday and will see great weather.

Take a bow, CWG!!

Posted by: jaybird926 | March 29, 2010 6:13 AM | Report abuse

We've already received over 2" of rain with more to come.

Posted by: david_in_stafford | March 29, 2010 6:21 AM | Report abuse

Jason, I'm going to pretend that the reference to "this situation" in the same context as "Jersey Shore" was not some sort of intentional homage to bad television.
Nice weather forecast for later this week!

Posted by: wanker16 | March 29, 2010 7:38 AM | Report abuse

jaybird926 - i found the Bloom Watch website for officially tracking the blossoms! so far we are still on track for April 1-2! enjoy :-)

wanker16 - hm, from what I've heard he is called "The" Situation. right?? ;)

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | March 29, 2010 7:49 AM | Report abuse

oh, david_in_stafford - it looks like my neighborhood in DC only got 0.16" since midnight. A lot lighter than I expected...and much less than your 2".. wow! (I wonder if this rain gauge is erroneous!)

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | March 29, 2010 7:50 AM | Report abuse

Okay now...slow down with the 80's talk! Let's not go too far okay? Look at the GFS or the NAM or whatever you weather people look at but please fix it so that we don't have 80's in early April.

Posted by: authorofpoetry | March 29, 2010 8:51 AM | Report abuse


I couldn't resist :) I wondered if anyone would pick up on it. Nice job... Jason, CWG

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | March 29, 2010 8:58 AM | Report abuse

When you speak of east or west of I-95, what does that mean exactly? I-95 takes a pretty long jog east-west along the south side of the Beltway, which I doubt weather patterns follow.

So is the dividing line I-95 south out of the Mixing Bowl, or is it I-95 north from the Beltway to Baltimore?

Posted by: mhardy1 | March 29, 2010 10:25 AM | Report abuse

Long distance runner here - this weather is AWESOME

Posted by: hohandy1 | March 29, 2010 11:03 AM | Report abuse


Though we don't use I-95 as a reference point in the above post, when we do -- it's intended to provide a broad, generalized dividing line. We sometimes don't have the space or precision to provide a lot more detail than that and it seems to work out pretty well when we use it in the DC metro region. We use it to delineate areas from just north of Fredericksburg to just south of Baltimore. Yes, the beltway takes I-95 for a curve, so you're right that it might more sense to ignore the beltway branch of 95, and instead think of it continuing northeast through DC rather than around it.

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | March 29, 2010 11:04 AM | Report abuse

Much of the rain is now to our east...There's a small low just south of the Grand Strand in South Carolina which has formed on the cold front. This wave is what's expected to bring us the "coastal" weather overmight. Not sure of the impact on this evening's DJ dance at Chevy Chase Ballroom. At any rate, Metro is also featuring higher security in connection with the events on the Moscow subway. This Metro security is not related to the scheduled safety-response drills also being held on Metro.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | March 29, 2010 12:22 PM | Report abuse

Can't wait for the first Nats and United Casts!

Posted by: Kev29 | March 29, 2010 12:55 PM | Report abuse

1.9" just outside of Sperryville...and the gauge is accurate.

Posted by: NorthFork1 | March 29, 2010 1:04 PM | Report abuse

80? 80?!? say it ain't so! heat is still on in my building and i live on the top floor! ARGH.

Posted by: dinergirl1 | March 29, 2010 1:45 PM | Report abuse

I made a bet with myself that there'd still be snow left when it got to 80. We'll see if I'm right - the Goddard and Strathmore piles were both still around as of Friday.

Posted by: kevinwparker | March 29, 2010 2:46 PM | Report abuse

I'd be happy if it didn't hit 80 until sometime in July. 50's and low 60's are my kind of temps.

Still a couple piles of snow on the UMCP campus, though I think they'll be gone within the week.

Posted by: eventual_eventer | March 29, 2010 3:14 PM | Report abuse

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