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Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 03/ 5/2010

Forecast: Warming trend hits stride this weekend

By Camden Walker

Breezes diminish day-by-day as highs warm past 50

* D.C.'s is a climate to relish | Snow season over? | CWG T-Shirts! *
* Clouds & more: Weather Wall | 1 month 'til Opening Day NatCast *

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.
 
5Too breezy & cloudy. 40s will feel chilly. But at least a warmer & sunnier weekend awaits.
 
Get tomorrow's 'Digit' on Twitter tonight

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly cloudy & breezy. Clearing late. Mid-40s. | Tonight: Clearing skies. Upper 20s to mid-30s. | Tomorrow: Mostly sunny. Upper 40s to low 50s. | Sunday: Sunny again. Chance of increasing clouds late. Mid-to-upper 50s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

After yesterday's morning sun and highs in the mid-to-upper 40s, today's clouds and breezy mid-40s may feel like a small step back. But if you can just hold out for one more day, the weekend is poised to treat us with sunshine and increasingly warmer air, well into the 50s by Sunday. No storms on the maps through early next week. So, enjoy the weekend, and know that the nice weather will still be around when you head back to work on Monday.

Webcam: Latest view of D.C. from the Netherlands Carillon at Arlington National Cemetery. Courtesy National Park Service. Refresh page to update. See this image bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Friday): High pressure centered over the Great Lakes won't be close enough to start clearing out our cloud cover until late afternoon or evening. Until then, skies should remain mostly cloudy, helping to limit highs to the mid-40s for most of us, And not a mild-feeling mid-40s, with 10-20 mph breezes out of the north/northwest, gusting to near 25 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Partly cloudy skies this evening turn mostly clear overnight or toward morning. A persistent 10-15 mph breeze from the north/northwest means temperatures won't drop too far. Lows in the upper 20s to mid-30s (suburbs to city). Confidence: Medium-High

When will the breezes die down? Keep reading for the forecast into early next week...

Tomorrow (Saturday): Breezes relent a little, 10-15 mph from the northwest. And other than the chance of a few lingering early-morning clouds, bright sun will likely dominate the day. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s will still be a little below average. But it's a step in the right direction. Confidence: High

Tomorrow Night: A clear and calm night. First night in what seems like quite some time without much of a breeze -- around 5-10 mph. Look for lows around the freezing mark downtown, perhaps in the upper 20s outside the Beltway and even mid-20s in the typically coldest outlying spots. Confidence: Medium-High

Sunday: Sunny again with a nice blue sky and light winds. Maybe increasing clouds late in the day. Temperatures warm even further, to highs in the mid-to-upper 50s! A great day to forget about those winter blues. Confidence: Medium-High

A LOOK AHEAD

Partly cloudy and a little warmer Sunday night than Saturday night with lows in the 30s. Confidence: Medium-High

Partly sunny skies accompany highs well into the 50s again on Monday before a cold front, aiming to come through late Monday, drops Tuesday highs to the upper 40s to low 50s. Confidence: Medium

By Camden Walker  | March 5, 2010; 11:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Tracking the South Pole's 'puzzling' temperatures

Comments

Will that Greenland blocking ever leave? We have been below average for temps for so long I don't even remember what normal temps feel like.

Posted by: rwalker66 | March 5, 2010 6:15 AM | Report abuse

We haven't had an above-normal high temperature since January 28, when it was 54.

Posted by: HenryFPotter | March 5, 2010 7:10 AM | Report abuse

Hey Camden,

Mayflies will be hatching soon on the North Fork Thornton, Piney and other brook trout streams up here in the Blue Ridge, near Sperryville, thank goodness.

Posted by: NorthFork1 | March 5, 2010 7:11 AM | Report abuse

My spring blooming witch hazel just began to bloom a few days ago, a sure sign of Spring. However, this is the latest the witch hazel has bloomed in the 12 years I've had it planted on the northside of my house. Usually, I have blooms by late January or early February.

Posted by: griffin1108 | March 5, 2010 7:18 AM | Report abuse

BRING SPRING!

Posted by: waterfrontproperty | March 5, 2010 8:03 AM | Report abuse

A spring sign-there were quite a few little birdies chirping outside my window this morning. Loud little suckers wakening me up at the crack of dawn.

Posted by: Snowlover2 | March 5, 2010 8:24 AM | Report abuse

northfork1 (or anybody.) Do you know if Skyline Drive is open?

Posted by: jimfergusonj | March 5, 2010 8:53 AM | Report abuse

Our bird feeder has been crazy busy since the first storm. Yesterday my son took a photo of a yellow-bellied sapsucker nearby. So in the past month we've had almost the full complement of woodpeckers-the red-belled, the flicker, the downy and the hairy all feeding in our yard.

Posted by: manassasmissy | March 5, 2010 8:54 AM | Report abuse

Yeah, the boids will soon be driving us all nuts at 5:00 a.m. But that's part of the pleasure of living among so many trees.

As for pollen, IT'S HERE!

Pretty soon, people will be kvetching about the "yellow snow" on their cars. And after a rough winter, the pollen could accumulate so thickly this year we'll need to bring back plows to clear it away. Ahhh-choo!!

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | March 5, 2010 9:25 AM | Report abuse

Looks like Skyline Dr is closed...

Posted by: spgass1 | March 5, 2010 9:43 AM | Report abuse

OH HAPPY DAY!! It's finally time to do the Happy Spring Nekkid Dance this weekend! YAY!

Posted by: joann20657 | March 5, 2010 9:55 AM | Report abuse

thanks spyglass. last time I checked that page it didn't have that information. should have thought to re-check

Posted by: jimfergusonj | March 5, 2010 10:02 AM | Report abuse

Does Walter in Falls Church have relatives in New Jersey?
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8551528.stm

Posted by: wiredog | March 5, 2010 10:03 AM | Report abuse

Break out the kites.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | March 5, 2010 10:24 AM | Report abuse

@JerryFloyd1:

Yellow snow on the cars? Will CWG be breaking out the YSLCB (Yellow Snow Lovers Crystal Ball) to tell us what accumulations they expect?

Posted by: rwalker66 | March 5, 2010 10:27 AM | Report abuse

Even this winter weather lover is looking forward to the daffodils and the warming sun. Bring on Spring.

Posted by: JJones-CapitalWeatherGang | March 5, 2010 10:32 AM | Report abuse

@walker66, re: the yellow snow lovers crystal ball, I ain't going there. ; ))

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | March 5, 2010 10:33 AM | Report abuse

Don't eat the yellow snow!

Posted by: rwalker66 | March 5, 2010 11:07 AM | Report abuse

This will be the first chance for me to climb a ladder to take down the Christmas lights. Too much snow until now in front of our shaded, north-facing house in the woods. We turned the lights back on during the blizzards and the neighbors loved it. It pays to be a slacker!

Posted by: curtmccormick | March 5, 2010 11:29 AM | Report abuse

Snow is probably gone except for two possibilities:

1. Common: Afternoon flurries or snow showers in cold northwesterly airstreams behind low pressure systems/cold fronts. Conversational, or generally so.

2. Rare: Accumulating snow in near-freezing or below-freezing northeasterly flow after dark as a coastal system passes. We could still wake up to a snow cover, even in late March, or [rarely] in April. Occasionally we have snowflakes and cherry petals in the air at the same time.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | March 5, 2010 12:47 PM | Report abuse

Once the birds are chirping, the kites are airborne, etc. it will be interesting to see the impact of this year's totals on the annual averages.

If 30-year averages are used, DCA should rise from about 15.2" to 16.4" and DCA will increase by about 1.74".

I don't know if the numbers are adjusted annually, every 10 years or what system is used. I've seen the DCA figure drop from 18" in the mid-1960s to the current anemic average.

I'd guess we won't hear anything official about this 'til after June 30 when the meteorological year is over but DCA, IAD, BWI, Wilmington, Del., Philadelphia and other places should see their annual averages increase, if the nos. are readjusted this year.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | March 5, 2010 12:52 PM | Report abuse

Once again, wind = no striper fishing, better luck next week. As far as above average temps, Feb 19, 21, 23 & 24 were above. For the winter Dulles ened up -.06 & Reagan -1.7, so while this winter was snowy, it wasn't all that cold.

Posted by: VaTechBob | March 5, 2010 1:30 PM | Report abuse

Don't rule out a spring snow surprise like the famed April Fool's Day snow squall of 1901. (TIC)

Posted by: Axel2 | March 5, 2010 1:50 PM | Report abuse

The warm-up is on -- highs already overperforming today, near 50, with warmer stuff to come over the weekend.

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | March 5, 2010 2:05 PM | Report abuse

So much nicer today with the sun and near normal temps! Great way to start the weekend.

Posted by: ThinkSpring | March 5, 2010 2:19 PM | Report abuse

Chipmunks running. Geese migrating. Crocus on the south side of my lawn. I detect the signs of the advance.

Posted by: Hyperlocal | March 5, 2010 2:49 PM | Report abuse

A couple of reactions from wearing from Snowmageddon tee today to office/credit union:

"Where did you get that cool shirt?"

"Oh, you only got the one with the lettering on the front? I got one with lettering on both sides."

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | March 5, 2010 3:14 PM | Report abuse

@jfergusonj,

Just checked the SNP/Skyline Drive road status link again, and it's saying that the stretch between Thornton Gap/Rt. 211 (MP31) and Swift Run Gap/Rt. 33 (MP 65) is open. As you probably know, that's a pretty nice stretch.

Posted by: NorthFork1 | March 5, 2010 4:13 PM | Report abuse

Hyperlocal - nice observations of Spring! Pollen is what I detect as well. ugh! :)

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | March 5, 2010 4:20 PM | Report abuse

The analysis of weather needs to take in to account the topography of the land below, which seem to often be omitted from reading weather maps. Map Reading skills should be just as important as others as the contours of the water and land mass have a great effect. A great map reading resource is http://www.special-forces-adventure-training.co.uk/special_forces_map_reading_navigation_compass_skills_cd-rom.htm

May be these core skills should be enforced for better accuracy of prediction?

Kind Regards

SFAT

Posted by: map_reading | March 7, 2010 9:03 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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