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Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 05/14/2010

Forecast: Warm & muggy returns. Strong storms?

By Camden Walker

Weekend temps finally flatten out -- in the 70s

* Measuring lightning's thickness | A few words about lightning myths *
* Outside now? Radar, temps & more: Weather Wall *

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.
 
6Warm-weather fans are much happier than yesterday. But mugginess, storm chance a bit of a bummer.
 
Get tomorrow's 'Digit' on Twitter tonight

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Fairly cloudy & muggy. 40% chance of p.m. t'storms. Mid-to-upper 80s. | Tonight: Mostly cloudy. 40% chance of evening storms. Upper 50s to mid-60s. | Tomorrow: Partly sunny. Upper 70s. | Sunday: Partly sunny. Low-to-mid 70s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

A. Camden WalkerIt's been a week of temperature swings and we have one more today, this time toward the warm side and with humidity, too. What had looked like a spectacular weekend still looks pretty promising. But clouds may be more of a factor than originally expected if the cold front responsible for today's thunderstorm threat stalls closer to the area than first anticipated. Still, the weekend should provide plenty of pleasant outdoor time, with comfortable conditions on tap for tomorrow's Preakness up in Baltimore.


Radar: Latest regional radar shows movement of precipitation over past three hours. Powered by HAMweather. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Friday): Unless you were born in Miami, Houston or New Orleans, today's humidity will feel unnatural for mid-May. Or at the very least uncomfortable, especially combined with warm highs in the mid-to-upper 80s. The sun tries to peek through mostly cloudy skies at times as breezes blow around 10-15 mph from the southwest, and we run a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Any storms that do form have the potential to turn quite strong or severe, possibly with strong winds and hail. Confidence: Medium

Thundercast:
Probability: 40%
Coverage: Isolated-Scattered

Tonight: Skies likely remain mostly cloudy with evening storm chances staying around 40%. Any storm activity should hopefully die out after midnight. Lows cool to the low-to-mid 60s inside the Beltway, perhaps some upper 50s in the traditionally cooler suburbs. Drier air behind the cold front slowly filters in overnight on breezes from the west/northwest around 10 mph. Confidence: Medium

Keep reading for the forecast into next week...

Tomorrow (Saturday): Clouds may linger for a time in the morning. But the sun should shine more brightly as the the day goes on. A moderate breeze (10-15 mph) from the northwest keeps the humidity low, yet we'll still enjoy mild highs in the upper 70s. A great day for flying a kite or catching the Preakness in Baltimore, where similar conditions are expected. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow Night: Partly cloudy with comfy sleeping weather -- lows in the 50s with humidity still on the low side. Open the windows! Turn off the A/C! Confidence: High

Sunday: The forecast gets trickier Sunday mainly due to an uncertain cloud forecast -- we'll call it partly sunny for now -- but we also can't rule out an isolated afternoon or evening shower. Low-to-mid 70s for highs should be nice enough for a walk along the C&O canal or around downtown. Wear that sunscreen, though, whether it's cloudy or not. Confidence: Low-Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Partly cloudy Sunday night with a slight chance of a shower. Temperatures remain pleasant with lows mostly in the mid-50s. Confidence: Medium

What could be a juicy low-pressure system threatens to bring periods of rain late Monday & Tuesday. Both days should be mostly cloudy with highs in the 70s to upper 60s. Confidence: Low-Medium

By Camden Walker  | May 14, 2010; 11:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Meteorologists here, there and high above

Comments

@Camden: So all the wind is on Saturday, with nearly nothing on Sunday? NWS posted a Small Craft Advisory for Saturday calling for gusts to 25mph, and Sunday listed as North winds at 5mph. :-( Any chance we might do a tad better than that on Sunday?

Posted by: --sg | May 14, 2010 8:29 AM | Report abuse

Even though it is cloudy, at least the sky is a little bright, right? Doesn't that help (be less depressing)? :)

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | May 14, 2010 8:45 AM | Report abuse

You can't be too depressed if it's warm & you're planting beans & okra.
Welcome to sauna Friday. Don't forget to bring a towel.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | May 14, 2010 9:09 AM | Report abuse

Yes, better mood today thanks to sun. Or maybe it's just because it's Friday. LOL

Thanks, Camden.

Posted by: ThinkSpring | May 14, 2010 9:29 AM | Report abuse

hey --sg: I am so sorry the darn comments don't load right some days. I didn't see your comment till now. And I believe Sunday..well, I am skeptical of much of a breeze at this point. Sorry!

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | May 14, 2010 12:32 PM | Report abuse

I DO NOT like this forecast for Tuesday the 18th as I'm scheduled to have my remaining wisdom teeth extracted at 4 PM that afternoon.

As everyone knows, low pressure and bad weather make pain more painful. I scheduled the surgery for the 18th because the usual Tuesday night Clarendon Ballroom swing dance got bumped for a "private event". So what happens??? eemes the generally anti-Bombo "much needed rain" crowd picks the day of my wisdom tooth surgery for a pain-increasing "juicy low-pressure system"! Enough of this! Can't someone have the mercy to give me a pain-suppressing high-pressure system instead?

Posted by: Bombo47jea | May 14, 2010 1:08 PM | Report abuse

Excuse me...the previous post should read as corrected..."Seems the generally anti-Bombo 'much-needed rain' crowd..."

And, believe you me...I'm still FURIOUS that I can't get better weather for my major dental surgery...I think I can get to the oral surgeon OK, but, thanks to the low pressure, recuperation will be that much more painful. Would much prefer a high barometer for this type of oral surgery!

Posted by: Bombo47jea | May 14, 2010 1:18 PM | Report abuse

Bombo47, a simple 9-letter word should allay your fears Tuesday about dental pain.

N-O-V-O-C-A-I-N-E

And perhaps (?) the dentist can give you something to take home with you after the initial effects of the shot wears off...maybe a strong NSAID anti-inflammatory. Indomethacin works well on may types of imflammatory pain.

Posted by: MMCarhelp | May 14, 2010 1:40 PM | Report abuse

Looking at the radar, I see what looked a line of showers coming thru WV and basically dying. Is that a sign of things to come later today?

Posted by: ThinkSpring | May 14, 2010 2:00 PM | Report abuse

Camden, Looking at your forecast, my guess is that we're not going to see cooler daytime temps for a while (i.e. less than mid 60s). We've had some flip flops but my take is that the heat, and increasing humidity, is now here to stay. Do you think that's the case?

Posted by: Dadat39 | May 14, 2010 2:06 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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