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Posted at 6:30 PM ET, 06/ 9/2010

PM Update: Clouds and showers plan their exit

By Ian Livingston

Sunshine and warmer temperatures return tomorrow

* Unmasking disinformation | Kammerer new chief met at NBC-4 *
* Outside now? Radar & more: Weather Wall | NatCast *

It's a damp and dreary day out there, but not terribly rainy overall. Showers, and perhaps a rumble of thunder, continue to push through the area this afternoon and the risk should persist into the evening hours. Temperatures have been held back by the clouds and occasional rain, with highs ranging from the low-to-mid 70s. If you're already sick of the clouds, they are not hanging around for long, so just wait for tomorrow.


Radar: Latest D.C. area radar loop shows movement of precipitation over past three hours. Powered by HAMweather. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Through Tonight: We stick with clouds and a shower risk through the evening, but both will dwindle as the night wears on. By morning, skies should be partly-to-mostly clear as lows reach near 60 in the suburbs to the mid-60s downtown.

Tomorrow (Thursday): The sun returns tomorrow and a downsloping wind coming off the mountains should help it be rather warm. Highs should reach the mid-80s most spots.

See Jason Samenow's full forecast through the weekend. And if you haven't already, join us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.

Sunday storms: NWS Sterling recently posted a report on a large thunderstorm cell which passed through parts of the area, including Stafford County Va., on Sunday. While the storm did exhibit rotation both on radar and from the ground, the survey team found the damage to be consistent with straight line winds to around 80 mph.

By Ian Livingston  | June 9, 2010; 6:30 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Comments

What are the chances of actually getting a decent day (not a lot of cloud cover) out of Sunday? A lot of other outlets don't seem to have the percentage chance of t-storms as high as you guys. (most are around 30%-40%). I'm planning a big boating outing and some sun would be nice.

Posted by: capsnumber1 | June 9, 2010 3:21 PM | Report abuse

You say Tomorrow (Wednesday). For a minute, I thought I loaded the wrong page. Please fix it and tell me we're not repeating Wednesday, because Thursday's weather looks so nice.

Posted by: DrMeglet | June 9, 2010 4:25 PM | Report abuse

^^ Oops, that's the problem with re-using a template!

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | June 9, 2010 4:51 PM | Report abuse

Once again, totally ripped off in the rain department. Only .06" at both National and Dulles so far this afternoon.

Whatever happened to the "0.5-1" as forecast this morning by CWG?

Unless we are lucky enough to get a thunderstorm (which does not look likely based on current radar), you guys flubbed this forecast!

While we may not (yet) be in an official drought designation, a rainfall deficit of almost 5" at National is certainly troublesome!

Posted by: TominMichiganParkDC | June 9, 2010 4:54 PM | Report abuse

Centreville VA Got about a quarter inch of rain here.
Nice weather for the garden after last week's brutal baking......no complaints!

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | June 9, 2010 5:53 PM | Report abuse

Yes, while we're not in drought (or even super close), the short-term indicators are on the dry side especially eastern areas. I would not be surprised to see it come up this summer if things progress how they have lately.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | June 9, 2010 6:36 PM | Report abuse

@TominMichiganParkDC

Yes, I blew the rainfall amount forecast today. I bought into yesterday afternoon's models which showed a lot more than we got when my gut -- not to mention Ian -- said otherwise.

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | June 9, 2010 6:47 PM | Report abuse

The only people who don't "bust" from time to time are those who don't forecast! The system as a whole seemed to underperform except for a small portion of southern New England.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | June 9, 2010 7:23 PM | Report abuse

Wonder why my earlier comment was removed?
Don't think there was anything too out of line.

Posted by: LoudounGeek | June 9, 2010 8:49 PM | Report abuse

@loudoungeek

No comment was removed.

Posted by: Jason-CapitalWeatherGang | June 9, 2010 9:47 PM | Report abuse

Another rather overrated rain forecast...Campbell Elementary School [likely the closest WeatherBug site to me] had 0.07 inch of rain...the early model guidance & "much-needed rain" forecasts were predicting a soggy day today with more like 0.7 inch expected...now I'm beginning to understand how we can get a dry summer even though "much-needed rain" keeps threatening my dance nights and meeting appointments with washouts so much of the time.

My hunch: If the meteorologists and model ensembles took our local microclimate into consideration, we would have fewer precipitation disappointments when forecasts verify or fail to do so. It seems as though promising "juicy" rain systems tend to pass to our north and west as they seek the main storm tracks up the Great Lakes and into the St. Lawrence Valley...we generally catch the southern fringe of these systems, the bulk of the rain falling to our north and west.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | June 10, 2010 12:21 AM | Report abuse

BTW it will be interesting how much rain and possible severe weather we get over the weekend. There should be at least one significant thunderstorm during the period.

Also a severe thunderstorm warning was issued for a portion of the Yukon Valley in Alaska...that doesn't happen too often, but rather large hail could be a threat. Would be interesting if that part of interior Alaska has ever recorded any tornadoes...it once hit 100 degrees in Tanana if I recall correctly. On the other side of the Bering Sea, Verkhoyansk and Oymyakon have risen into the nineties during the rather short Siberian summer.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | June 10, 2010 12:32 AM | Report abuse

It's been pouring for the last 15 minutes or so in Lake Ridge...no thunder or lightning, just heavy rain.

Posted by: meta2 | June 10, 2010 4:16 AM | Report abuse

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