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Capital Weather Gang: August 15, 2010 - August 21, 2010

Forecast: Cooler for Sunday, with some showers?

Yes, we probably tack on another 90+ degree day today but after that I honestly don't see another in the foreseeable future. The hot pattern is losing its grip. Before some potentially awesome weather arrives for the second half of next week, we'll have to get through an unsettled transition period tomorrow through Monday or Tuesday. Showers and storms are possible in that span but it's all up hill after that...

By Jason Samenow  | August 21, 2010; 8:50 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (17)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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SkinsCast: Summery and a little sticky

* Our Full Forecast | Weather Wall | Redskins Insider * Redskins vs. Ravens (Preseason)Friday Aug. 21, 7:00 p.m., FedEx Field Kickoff2-Min WarningWeatherChance of Precip.Mid-80sNear 80Partly cloudy5%A bit muggy for the pre-season showdown between these local teams. Temps will be mostly in the 80s with some humidity. We shouldn't have...

By Jason Samenow  | August 21, 2010; 11:15 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  SkinsCast  
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PM Update: Warm but pleasant start to weekend

Day 54 of 90+ temperatures in D.C. is in the records, and we're now only 5 away from tying for the second most all time. But we're now getting some good distance from the hottest time of the year and if guidance for the coming period is any real indication, we might not be adding a lot more 90s to the tally. 90s aside, this is looking like a pretty solid start to the weekend this evening and tonight, so get out and enjoy!

By Ian Livingston  | August 20, 2010; 3:15 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (7)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Fun Friday video: 2nd chance for bad weatherman

Here's a recently posted and pretty hilarious video, in which Comedy Central's Daniel Tosh gives the world's worst weatherman a second chance, a few years after a video of his horrible college weathercast went viral.

By Capital Weather Gang  | August 20, 2010; 1:45 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Humor, Media  
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Good fishing weather... for turtles

The hot, steamy weather on Monday afternoon was not great for catching fish at Capon Springs, W.V., but it seemed to be just fine for hooking a jumbo-sized snapping turtle.

By Kevin Ambrose  | August 20, 2010; 10:45 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (3)
Categories:  Photography  
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Forecast: Typical summer heat, humidity moderate

Have we transitioned from "oppressive" heat to "tolerable" heat? Well, it's progress and I think we've acclimated to whatever summer 2010 throws at us pretty well by now! We will get to dry out a bit, and maybe sweat a little less in the next couple days. But even so, the sun will still beat down on us at times and it will be quite warm until shower & storm potentially creep back by Sunday and Monday afternoons (and even a remote chance Saturday). But any rain we get should not be anything like Wednesday's deluge.

By Camden Walker  | August 20, 2010; 5:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (21)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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PM Update: Heat makes another D.C. visit

Yesterday's rain is just a memory as we pick up yet another taste of summer. Today is the start of a several day warm stretch, but it's not so bad right now and even the hottest part won't be too bad compared to what we've already been through. Temperatures headed for the upper 80s most spots today are likely to climb past 90 tomorrow and maybe into the first part of the weekend.

By Ian Livingston  | August 19, 2010; 3:20 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (6)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Forecasting hurricanes: Part 1

This is the first of a two-part series on hurricane forecasting. Part 1 details how reliable forecasts are expected to be when (and if?) the 2010 tropical season finally picks up steam. Part 2, to appear next week, will look at ongoing research into the development of tropical systems and the prospects for improved forecasts.

By Steve Tracton  | August 19, 2010; 11:35 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (6)
Categories:  Latest, Tracton, Tropical Weather  
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Yesterday's rainfall totals

* Drying out, more 90+ days on the way: Full Forecast * Some impressive rainfall totals have come in from yesterday's deluge that caused flooding in many locations. Thought I'd highlight some amounts which varied substantially (highest amounts from northern Fairfax county through northwest D.C. and into central/southern Montgomery county):...

By Jason Samenow  | August 19, 2010; 10:45 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (9)
Categories:  Floods  
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Forecast: Sun and warmth to return

We gradually dry out today and the sun reigns supreme for Friday and Saturday. However, with the sun comes the threat of more 90+ days over the next several days. Did you know we have had 53 this year? 14 more to go to the record of 67 from 1980. Fortunately, the normals are finally starting to slip into the mid-80s so maybe we can avoid that record this year. We won't be able to avoid the the threat of rain in this forecast - with the next legitimate chance on Sunday when another slow moving front approaches.

By David Streit  | August 19, 2010; 5:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (15)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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PM Update: More rain possible into the night

Headed back warm for a few days starting tomorrow * A.M. rain totals | Storm impacts: PostLocal.com | Share storm photos * * Weather & war throughout history | How many 90s? Play to win * * Outside now? Radar, lightning, temps & more: Weather Wall * After an exciting...

By Ian Livingston  | August 18, 2010; 3:15 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (6)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Forecast: Heavy rain briefly interrupts summer

Summer is interrupted for the second time this week. After an overcast and showery Sunday with highs only near 80, it's an even rainier and cooler day today. It's all part of a shift in weather pattern that has us facing no intense heat in the foreseeable future, but rather a return to warm and moderately humid conditions starting tomorrow. Shower and storm chances threaten a comeback this weekend, though only in the low-to-moderate range for now.

By Dan Stillman  | August 18, 2010; 12:15 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (14)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Rain totals mounting, heaviest moving northeast

Flood warnings extended through 12:15 p.m. * Warning map | Full Forecast thru weekend | Storm impacts: PostLocal * * Outside now? Radar & more: Weather Wall | Share storm photos * Radar & lightning: Latest D.C. area radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours....

By Jason Samenow  | August 18, 2010; 10:50 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (16)
Categories:  Floods, Updates  
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Flood warnings for much of D.C. area this morning

* Warning map | Full Forecast thru weekend | Storm impacts: PostLocal * * Outside now? Radar & more: Weather Wall | Share storm photos * updated at 10:50 a.m.; originally posted at 6:38 a.m. Flood warnings remain in effect for much of the area until 12:15 p.m. after what...

By Mike McPhate  | August 18, 2010; 8:40 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (18)
Categories:  Floods  | Tags:  flood warning, washington  
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PM Update: Rain arrives tonight; Heavy tomorrow?

We've tacked on another 90+ day here in D.C., and we're down to 6 left to put us tied for number two all time. It looks like we won't be getting there right away though, as we drop back in temperatures for the next day or two. While it's been another warm to hot one today, humidity levels were a bit more bearable as some drier air filters in behind the cold front that moved through yesterday. Humidity should be back on the rise soon, and rain -- potentially a significant amount -- wont be far behind.

By Ian Livingston  | August 17, 2010; 3:10 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (19)
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Weather and war throughout history

Few need to be reminded, especially those in the military, how important the weather factor is during combat operations. Foul weather, of course, has hindered, delayed, and prevented some battles and surprisingly, even enabled others.

By Don Lipman  | August 17, 2010; 11:30 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (9)
Categories:  Education, Lipman  
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Predict number of 90+ days, win prize

* Will we hit 90 today? Full Forecast | Talking climate-weather links * From yesterday's edition of Lori's A.M. Buzz in the Breaking News Blog: How good are your weather predicting powers? Because weather has been on most everyone's mind so much this year, we thought we'd launch a contest...

By Jason Samenow  | August 17, 2010; 10:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (17)
Categories:  Capital Weather Gang  
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Forecast: Nicer today; rain tomorrow

Our region is caught between two weather zones currently- a cool upper level trough pattern in the Midwest and a hot and humid ridge pattern in the Atlantic and Southeast. Being stuck on the fence like this can usually make our forecasting job more difficult as a slight shift in these patterns can change our weather situation dramatically. And things are certainly shifting. After a hot, humid day yesterday, we are looking at a hot and dry day today (with much less humidity). But that won't last as a disturbance pulls a front back toward us tomorrow with higher humidity, lower temperatures, and heavy rain potential.

By Matt Rogers  | August 17, 2010; 5:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (17)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Storm threat dwindles

We're back to summer conditions today, and as of late that means both heat and thunderstorm chances. Isolated to scattered storms are continuing to develop across the western parts of the area and this line will advance east into the early evening. Until storms fire up more, it is difficult to say if this will end up packing a major punch, and it is possible that storms could remain rather scattered. However, the ingredients are there for a few powerful storms with potential for damaging winds if they come together right.

By Ian Livingston  | August 16, 2010; 8:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (9)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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A new work week, another severe t'storm watch

The National Weather Service has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the D.C. area, in effect until 10 p.m.

By Capital Weather Gang  | August 16, 2010; 2:15 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (9)
Categories:  Alerts  
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TWC's Stu Ostro talks weather-climate links

In an email interview during the weekend, Ostro shared his thoughts on climate change and extreme events, and what has convinced him that climate change is now manifesting itself in daily weather patterns.

By Andrew Freedman  | August 16, 2010; 11:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (41)
Categories:  Climate Change, Extreme Heat, Freedman, International Weather  
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Forecast: Sticky, stormy, unsettled week

Thick cloud cover has been our friend for the last several days, holding afternoon temps below average. To start this week, we'll continue to have our share of clouds, but we should have enough sun and tropical air flow to push temperatures back towards 90. While it heats back up, a cold front approaches the region and then stalls - serving as focusing mechanism for abundant tropical moisture surging northward. This means we'll have to contend with shower and thunderstorm chances almost daily.

By Jason Samenow  | August 16, 2010; 5:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (6)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Forecast: Clouds usher in rain chances

Well, the overbearing heat has broken, so that's good. We've had two straight days with cooler than average afternoon temps. But today, showers threaten what would otherwise be a fairly pleasant summer day. These showers as well as thunderstorm chances stay with us through midweek as a lingering front takes up residence in our area, with plenty of clouds and humid air as well.

By Brian Jackson  | August 15, 2010; 5:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (28)
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NatCast: Clouds overhead, light showers threaten

* Our Full Forecast | Weather Wall | Nationals Journal * Nationals vs. DiamonbacksSunday, August 15, 1:35 p.m., Nationals Park First Pitch9th InningWeatherChance of RainNear 80Lower 80sMostly cloudy, chance for light showers50%A gray day at the park to be sure, but any showers that move through should be light enough...

By Brian Jackson  | August 15, 2010; 5:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  NatCast  
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