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Posted at 5:00 PM ET, 09/ 2/2010

Hurricane Earl headed north off East Coast

By Capital Weather Gang

Core of storm still expected to pass east of North Carolina

* Cooler weather coming: D.C. area forecast | BeachCast *
* Hurricane Tracking Center | Warmest summer on record *
* Earl Q&As for Mid-Atlantic & Northeast | Chat transcript *

Next Earl update at 11 p.m.

Visible satellite image of Hurricane Earl at 4:30 p.m. today as it heads north toward a position east the Outer Banks of North Carolina later tonight. Image courtesy: NASA.

Hurricane Earl continues to weaken as it moves northward from a position east of the S.C./N.C. coastal border while rainbands associated with the storm move closer to shore (see radar loop). As of 5 p.m. the center of Hurricane Earl was about 185 miles south of Cape Hatteras, N.C. and the storm was moving north at 18 mph. With winds sustained at 115 mph, Earl is still a Category 3 storm but it is now nearing the lower end of that scale (111-130 mph).

Over the next few hours, the northward movement should begin to shift slightly east of due north as impacts from an approaching cold front are felt. Given its current position, the center is still likely to pass quite close to the Outer Banks but should remain offshore. By early afternoon tomorrow, the storm should be just about due east of this area while accelerating to the northeast.

In this area, we're not expecting much other than some clouds and a wind shift or two. See our PM Update for more on local weather.

By Capital Weather Gang  | September 2, 2010; 5:00 PM ET
Categories:  Tropical Weather  
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Next: Weakening Earl to remain offshore North Carolina


So far no reports that I could find of Tropical Storm force winds. And Earl appears to be "behaving" by not coming too far westward toward the coast... as of now... so far... *fingers crossed*

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | September 2, 2010 6:08 PM | Report abuse

I left DC for Manteo NC this morning and I am in Manteo now. Cloudy, 5 mile per hour breeze. Some sprinkles earlier. People here are for the most part taking it all in stride.

Posted by: eor11 | September 2, 2010 6:37 PM | Report abuse

8 p.m. NHS advisory posted; Earl still chugging northward. The NE jog hasn't yet happened. Although the storm continues to weaken, it looks like a rough night for OBX, although it still appears the eye will probably pass just east of Hatteras.

Right now the big question is: when is the storm going to take the forecast NE turn?

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | September 2, 2010 8:05 PM | Report abuse

My wife and I live in the Vienna/Oakton area, but we have a second home in Sussex County (about 25 minutes from Rehobeth Beach, DE.

WBOC, which is the primary TV channel located in Salisbury, MD has been posting Tropical Storm Warnings and Hurricane Watches all evening. Yet they have also been showing potential storm tracks which show Earl moving N/Ne - well away from the Delmarva area. In fact, is predicting rain with winds not exceeding 25 MPH.

At the moment, we are at our Sussex County house. There seems to be a disconnect between the local TV rhetoric and the storm track projections which so far have been very consistent.

It appears that the media love to play up disaster scenarios, regardless of the size of the viewing audience.

Posted by: MillPond2 | September 2, 2010 8:36 PM | Report abuse

Nice bunch of outflow upper level clouds at sunset here in the dc area Looks like the drought will continue...

Posted by: pvogel88 | September 2, 2010 9:30 PM | Report abuse

Lovely sunset. Cirrus clouds moving in. Barometer still predicting rain.
Saw pix of the Outer Banks, and, true to every hurricane I have lived through, the weather the day BEFORE the hurricane is spectacular. Beautiful blue skies, gorgeous surf.

Posted by: weathergrrl | September 2, 2010 9:45 PM | Report abuse

Next Earl update at 11 p.m.

Posted by: Jason-CapitalWeatherGang | September 2, 2010 10:24 PM | Report abuse

Aren't there any stormwatchers up yet? I thought you guys would be up all night reporting on this!

Posted by: SusanMarie2 | September 3, 2010 6:36 AM | Report abuse

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