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Posted at 10:30 AM ET, 10/26/2010

Forecast: Very warm through tomorrow

By Matt Rogers

Chance of gusty storms late tonight/tomorrow

* Ice loss = severe winter? | Richard's troubled journey | Tornado video *
* Outside now? Radar, temps, clouds & more: Weather Wall *

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 

Let's enjoy this mild-to-warm weather while we can.
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Very warm and variably cloudy. 76-80 | Tonight: Risk of thunderstorms late. Very mild. 60-65. | Tomorrow: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Quite mild. 74-78. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

Originally posted at 5:00 a.m., updated at 10:30 a.m.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Yesterday's breezy weather, tormented sky, and flying leaves were a sure reminder that autumn is all about change. And seemingly like politics, change is a constant this time of year. The weather today into tomorrow yields more of the same unsettled feel with frequently re-arranged sky conditions, and warm breezes. Late tonight into tomorrow, gusty showers and even strong thunderstorms increase in likelihood as a potent cold front approaches. Behind the front, a more late autumn atmosphere arrives with much cooler and drier weather to end the week.


Radar & lightning: Latest regional radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Tuesday): Today finds us inside of a very large warm air mass that envelops the eastern half of the nation. Winds from the south pump in the mild conditions pushing our high temperatures higher than yesterday. Look for mid-to-upper 70s and perhaps even a few 80-degree readings. The sky conditions are variable like yesterday with a chance of morning fog, and then intervals of sun. So bring those sunglasses as you may occasionally need them. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: Showers and even a strong thunderstorm is possible, especially late at night (50-60% chance) as the remnants of squall line from the Ohio Valley heads into the region. Warm winds coupled with the mostly cloudy skies bolster low temperatures. Amazingly, temperatures should not get below the low-to-mid 60s. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast through the Halloween weekend...

Tomorrow (Wednesday): Showers and even some thunderstorms arrive as a major cold front pushes through the area. A final push of warm air ahead of the front boosts highs well into the 70s despite clouds covering most of the sky most of the day. Winds from the south shift to arriving from the west by afternoon, perhaps getting gusty toward evening. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow Night: Evening showers are possible (30% chance). Breezy conditions kick in as a new flow from the west and then northwest return a cooler air mass to our region. Lows should drop into the cooler 50s. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

20101024_6496.jpg
Falls colors express themselves in Cleveland Park Sunday. By CWG photographer Ian Livingston.

Thursday could see some lingering morning clouds before partly to mostly sunny skies arrive in the afternoon. While turning cooler, the core of the cooler Canadian air mass is not fully in place yet. Therefore, we should be able to enjoy highs in the low 70s with breezy conditions from the west and northwest. You'll probably notice the change in weather more by Thursday night when lows drop into the 40s in the city with upper 30s possible in the outer suburbs under partly cloudy skies. Confidence: Medium

Friday plays the opposite of today with high temperatures probably cooler than Wednesday's lows! That means highs in the upper 50s in the suburbs and probably low 60s in the city. The good news is that we should at least have lots of sunshine around to offset the much cooler air mass. This cool air mass means business Friday night under partly cloudy to clear skies and calming winds. Lows could dip into the 30s in many areas with scattered suburban frost potential. Confidence: Medium

The Halloween weekend feels more like late autumn with highs in the 60s and lows in the 30s and 40s. Partly to mostly sunny skies are favored to dominate so you can see the colorful foliage. Halloween late afternoon and evening looks like good weather right now. We still see a slight risk of a disturbance that could offer some light showers, but the thinking right now is that we'll remain on the dry and pleasant side. The kids could get cool though, so dress them up in warmer costumes (i.e. probably not Lady Gaga). Confidence: Low-Medium

By Matt Rogers  | October 26, 2010; 10:30 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Comments

First comment is spam.

Any way to put a "report spam" button on comments?

Posted by: wiredog | October 26, 2010 7:45 AM | Report abuse

uh oh wiredog, now yours is the "first comment" (unless they delete yours too. Uh oh).

CWG, I have heard no discussion of this, but is today's big storm in MN being fed from the Great Lakes?

Posted by: eric654 | October 26, 2010 8:44 AM | Report abuse

@eric654 While the lakes will do their part to add some moisture to the mix, this storm system already has plenty of moisture wrapped into it from the strong southerly flow that has been in place for several days and has pulled Gulf moisture up. It will be interesting to see how much snow North Dakota ends up with and even more interesting to see how deep the wind whipped drifts get!

Posted by: davidstreit1 | October 26, 2010 9:13 AM | Report abuse

I am loving this weather. No AC, open windows, pretty fall colors, don't have to scrape frost (yet) off the car every morning, still enjoying a little fresh produce & herbs from the garden.
It'll all come crashing down in a few days so we might as well savor the mild temps. November is usually a chilly, dark & dreary month and I am not looking forward to it.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | October 26, 2010 10:03 AM | Report abuse

FIREDRAGON47 - I am savoring too. I was unhappy yesterday how muggy it was, but then I am seeing how we may not have anything quite this nice again before next year!

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | October 26, 2010 10:31 AM | Report abuse

I know it's still a few days out, but how is Sunday morning for the Marine Corps Marathon looking?

Posted by: boggspuckett | October 26, 2010 10:35 AM | Report abuse

@boggspuckett

Weather looks great Marine Corps Marathon. Early morning temps in the mid-to-upper 40s rise to near 60 by noon. Skies look to be mostly sunny.

Posted by: Jason-CapitalWeatherGang | October 26, 2010 10:42 AM | Report abuse

Forecast was updated to indicate a chance of strong storms very late tonight into tomorrow. Separate post on this coming later...

Posted by: Jason-CapitalWeatherGang | October 26, 2010 10:52 AM | Report abuse

I wouldn't mind seeing one more decent 2010 t-storm.
This fab weather should end with a bang not just a windy whimper.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | October 26, 2010 11:24 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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