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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 10/25/2010

Forecast: Warm & a bit showery to start week

By Jason Samenow

Several days of 70s, cooler by Friday

* Outside now? Radar, temps, clouds & more: Weather Wall *

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 

Nice'n mild all day long. Showers may spoil afternoon/evening.
 
Get the 'Digit' on Twitter

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mild with chance of mainly afternoon showers. 70-74. | Tonight: Evening showers, then partly cloudy. 55-60. | Tomorrow: Partly sunny and mild. 73-77. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Two different weather regimes define the upcoming week. We begin the week with a warm and moist regime bringing unseasonably mild air and the occasional chance of showers. Mid-to-late week, we transition to a dry and seasonable regime with cooler but sunny afternoons and clear, crisp nights. That regime may last into at least part of Sunday, though the weather pattern becomes a little more blurry by Halloween night.


Radar & lightning: Latest regional radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Monday): The day probably gets off a relatively tranquil note, with some partial sunshine and mild temps. Toward afternoon, clouds increase with a better than even (50-60%) chance of developing showers. An isolated rumble of thunder could even be heard as a wave in the atmosphere approaches. Highs reach the low-to-mid 70s. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: Shower and isolated thundershower chances continue, but diminish from west to east between about 7 p.m. and 11 p.m. With persistent flow from the south and cloud cover at times, overnight lows are mild - from 56-60 (suburbs-city). Confidence: Medium

Keep reading for the forecast through next weekend...

20101024_6476.jpg
Fall colors beginning to emerge in Cleveland Park Sunday. By CWG photographer Ian Livingston.

Tomorrow (Tuesday): It's clear that Tuesday is mild, it's just a question of how mild or even warm. Highs have little trouble reaching the low-to-mid 70s but could spring into the upper 70s or around 80 if we get enough sun. We should get a break from rain showers, though a brief, isolated shower could (20% chance) pop-up somewhere in the afternoon resulting from the tropical flow from the south. Sky conditions vary from partly to mostly cloudy. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow Night: It feels more like a summer evening than a fall one. Steady breezes from the south accompanied by a touch of humidity mean temps only slowly fall back from the 70s into the low-to-mid 60s. Toward morning, some showers are possible (35-45% chance) as a cold front approaches.Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

The cold front slowly moves through the region Wednesday, with a 40% chance of showers in both the morning and afternoon. Despite the scattered, intermittent shower chances, there may be some intervals of sunshine. And a push of warm air ahead of the cold front helps temps climb all the way up to 75-80. Winds pick up and shift from the south to out of the west. Clearing and breezy Wednesday night, with lows from the upper 40s to mid-50s (suburbs to city). Confidence: Medium

High pressure builds into the region Thursday through Saturday -- that means sunshine and a return of dry weather. Temperatures trend cooler during this stretch, with highs 70-75 Wednesday falling to 60-65 by Saturday. Overnight lows also fall, with lows in the 40s Thursday night and the mid-30s to low 40s Friday and Saturday night - when scattered frost is possible in the colder suburbs. Confidence: Medium-High

Halloween Sunday most likely remains sunny and dry for the first half of the day, but a disturbance approaching the region from the northwest could bring some clouds by afternoon and even a slight chance of showers (20%) at night. The forecast for the second half of the day is particularly fuzzy, so keep checking back. Confidence: Low-Medium

By Jason Samenow  | October 25, 2010; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Comments

Meteorologists - There are way too many 70+ degree days in your six-day outlook. Please correct these to accurately reflect what we should be experiencing this time of year.

Sincelerly,
Hater of hot temperatures

Posted by: authorofpoetry | October 25, 2010 8:25 AM | Report abuse

authorofpoetry - thank you for your letter of concern. Mother Nature is no beholden to our team to behave in a "normal" or "average" fashion, unfortunately; however, it should be noted she is only performing about 10 degrees above our average high temperature of 65 degrees. :-) but I agree, I am waiting to break out my sweaters. Yesterday I wore shorts and wasn't too happy about it, ha!

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | October 25, 2010 9:26 AM | Report abuse

Hater of hot temperatures -
You are living in the wrong place if you think 70+ degree days are hot.
Move to Seattle where it's only 70 degrees for 2 weeks out of the year.

Sincerely,
Reasonable Enjoy-er of All Temperature ranges

Posted by: Havoc737 | October 25, 2010 9:27 AM | Report abuse

Seventies are fine with me--I can postpone having to wear the long-sleeved shirts for a while--though it might be nice to get some snow on Dec. 5th.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | October 25, 2010 12:11 PM | Report abuse

Havoc - Fair point about Seattle...great music but too much rain!

Camden - I laughed out loud about the shorts comment. My daughter asked me if she could wear shorts while we were raking and I said, 'huh? You don't wear shorts when you are raking! That's like wearing a coat to the pool!' She changed anyway.

Posted by: authorofpoetry | October 25, 2010 12:33 PM | Report abuse

Shorts yesterday and today (since I'm not working) and flannels later in the week. I agree with authorofpoetry. A Dutch uncle (or CWG) needs to sit Mother Nature down and tell her like it is (or should be).

P.S. I'm assuming the SLCB is getting antsy, as well.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | October 25, 2010 12:33 PM | Report abuse

What is happening Dec 5, Bombo?

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | October 25, 2010 12:34 PM | Report abuse

Nothing much happens December 5, except that the region has received its first snowfall on that date something like 4 out of the past 5 years---or something like that.

Posted by: ShovelPlease | October 25, 2010 12:45 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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