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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 10/12/2010

Forecast: Summery today, fall-like tomorrow

By Matt Rogers

Big wet storm heading our way for Thursday

* Golf ball marks from heaven & hail | Temps & more: Weather Wall *
* U.S. lags other nations in global weather prediction *

Today's Daily Digit
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.


A few more clouds and a slight storm chance, but still a very warm summery treat.
Get the 'Digit' on Twitter


Today: Partly sunny, still warm - chance of p.m. storms. 80-84 | Tonight: Mostly clear. 47-52. | Tomorrow: Increasing p.m. clouds, cooler. 65-69. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail


The balance of this week is a perfect example of transition season volatility. Our soaring temperature story comes to a close today, but not before we reach up to the lower 80s in most areas once again. A cold front turns the winds this afternoon and sets the stage for a cooler (actually, more seasonal) midweek before a vigorous storm system arrives on Thursday and Friday with chilly conditions. The good news is that the weekend is poised to be a significant improvement - an all-around nice autumn weather situation.

Radar & lightning: Latest regional radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Tuesday): Partly to mostly sunny weather should prevail despite an afternoon cold front passage. Winds shift to come from the west and northwest by especially afternoon, but that should do little to stop temperatures from surging again into the upper 70s to low 80s. I honestly wouldn't be surprised to break out a mid-80s reading or two. A chance of a widely scattered afternoon shower or thunderstorm (20-30% chance) should be mentioned. Any storm that forms could produce gusty winds and small hail. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: Partly cloudy and cooler with lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Light winds from the north at 5 to 10 mph. Confidence: Medium

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Wednesday): The forecast is getting trickier as the incoming Thursday storm may begin to set up early enough to send in the clouds by afternoon or at least toward evening. Cooler winds from the east and northeast should keep temperatures down in the mid-to-upper 60s. Confidence: Low-Medium

Tomorrow Night: Cloudy and cool with winds from the east again. Lows should primarily be in the 50s, but some outlying spots could sneak down into the upper 40s. Light rain is possible (30% chance) by late night or early morning. Confidence: Low-Medium


Thursday is the worst day of the week with heavy overcast, rain, breezy (especially by afternoon), and very cool conditions. Temperatures should struggle to get out of the 50s as winds from the east offer a raw feeling (well, the rain won't help either). As much as .5 to 1" of rain could fall with a chance of showers lingering into Thursday night. Lows Thursday night should be in the upper 40s to 50s. Winds may pick up as high as 10-20 mph from the east and northeast. Confidence: Medium

Friday is favored to see some scattered morning showers with variable sky conditions and breezy to gusty winds from the north and northwest. The best chance to see the sun is in the afternoon as highs reach up to the low-to-mid 60s. Still breezy Friday night with lows in the 40s in most areas. Confidence: Low-Medium

The weekend weather is still forecast to be fantastic with comfortable highs in the 60s (maybe we could hit 70?), mostly sunny skies and cool nights (40s to 50s). The only downside could be some lingering breezy conditions Saturday morning (bit of a wind chill) and some partly cloudy skies on Sunday afternoon. Otherwise, we are looking very nice compared to the end-of-work-week storminess. Confidence: Low-Medium

By Matt Rogers  | October 12, 2010; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: "Hail" mageddon in Brooklyn, New York


Seems we've had a lot of 80 degree days this year. Didn't I hear mention of some other record broken before we hit Hell Monthâ„¢ in July?

Posted by: AdmiralX | October 12, 2010 7:16 AM | Report abuse

Wasn't there talk of some sort of 80 degree days record being in danger before we hit Hell Monthâ„¢ in July?

Posted by: AdmiralX | October 12, 2010 7:20 AM | Report abuse

On a contrasting note (but maybe not too much so) I know we broke a record in March (really, February) for the earliest date for our last frost.

So... what's the record latest date for our first frost? (I googled it, I couldn't find it that way...)

Posted by: MKoehl | October 12, 2010 10:29 AM | Report abuse

AdmiralX, we had passed the number of 80+ days during a summer (June-Aug) for all seasons. I would have to look back again at the whole year.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | October 12, 2010 11:09 AM | Report abuse

Now that it's Oct. 12, we should be clear of the risk of more 90-degree days...but this is 2010, year of extremes.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | October 12, 2010 12:36 PM | Report abuse

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