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Posted at 4:55 PM ET, 10/ 2/2010

Forecast: Welcome Saturday serenity

By Jason Samenow

Chance of more soaking rain Sunday & Monday

* Rain review: Took time to get right | Record rain for D.C., Balt. *
* Tornado confirmed in Anne Arundel co & NWS tornado report *
* Outside now? Temps, clouds & more: Weather Wall *

updated at 4:55 p.m.; originally posted at 5 a.m.

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 

After a rank weather work week, this beautiful day is right on time.
 
Get the 'Digit' on Twitter

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Partly to mostly sunny. Near 70. | Tonight: Increasing high clouds late. 44-52. | Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy - chance of a light rain in the p.m. Near 60 to low 60s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

How about, instead of searing heat or flooding rain, we have some tranquil and enjoyable fall weather? Today, at least, delivers that to us. Sunday is less serene as clouds increase and some light rain potentially breaks out by the afternoon. Sunday night into Monday looks like another washout, but nothing like what we experienced Thursday. Unsettled, cool weather may persist through Tuesday.

Today (Saturday): If only every day of fall could be like this. Sunshine fills the delightfully crisp autumn air with just some scattered pop up clouds in the afternoon. Highs reach right around 70 with winds from the north at 5-10 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Skies are clear early, allowing temperatures to take a quick tumble. Later at night, some high clouds may move in, slowing the mercury's descent. Still, lows are chilly -- ranging from the low-to-mid 40s in the cooler suburbs to the low 50s downtown. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast into early next week...

Tomorrow (Sunday): As low pressure develops off the North Carolina coast, a wind from the northeast blows in and clouds increase. By afternoon, mainly from mid-afternoon onward, there's a 50-60% chance of light rain. The clouds and possible rain hold down temps, with cool highs only near 60 to the low 60s. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow Night: Rain is likely (60-70% chance) overnight as low pressure slowly moves north. Lows are near 50. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Rain continues through at least part of Monday as the coastal low pressure system slowly treks northward. By afternoon or evening rain may taper off from southwest to northeast. Highs are chilly, in the mid-50s to near 60. Variably cloudy and cool Monday night with a chance of a lingering shower and lows 45 to 50. It's early to be projecting rainfall totals, but there's potential for another 1" or so of rain. Confidence: Low-Medium

Though the main storm pushes well north of the region by Tuesday, a stubborn upper level low pressure area probably keep it mostly cloudy, breezy, and cool with highs in the low 60s. Confidence: Low-Medium

By Jason Samenow  | October 2, 2010; 4:55 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: PM Update: Quiet and cool Friday night
Next: Forecast: More rain on the way

Comments

I am stuck inside all day at class in a room without windows, so of course it is a beautiful day out. You are all welcome. Tomorrow is my day to spend outdoors at Waterford. I apologize in advance for the rain I'm sure will come.

Posted by: Snowlover2 | October 2, 2010 6:33 AM | Report abuse

One inch, a drop in the bucket ;-)

Posted by: jaybird926 | October 2, 2010 6:34 AM | Report abuse

What are the chances that the rain starts before 11:00am on Sunday morning in the DC metro area?

Posted by: snowlover | October 2, 2010 6:35 AM | Report abuse

I'm hoping TS Otto heads our way.

Posted by: bdeco | October 2, 2010 7:58 AM | Report abuse

@snowlover

I'd say about 30% of light rain before that time. Chances increase through the day.

Posted by: Jason-CapitalWeatherGang | October 2, 2010 8:29 AM | Report abuse

With a low of 52 at DCA this a.m., today should see our first Heating Degree Days of the meteorological year. Finally, it's starting to cool down for real.

Another inch of rain early next week will help recharge ground water levels. Will mean more than an inch of rain a month ago when the ground was still so dry and there were weeks of dry weather to come.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | October 2, 2010 9:16 AM | Report abuse

bdeco - now, now, Invest 97 isn't Otto yet ;) but even current models keep it away from us. Will keep an eye on it for ya tho, you tropical weather lover, eh?

Jerry - yeah, I think youre right because with a 52F low temp, the high temp would have to reach 78F to average to the baseline 65F -- am I right?

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | October 2, 2010 10:15 AM | Report abuse

Camden, yes it would need to be 78 to even out. So depending on how "warm" it gets today, we could see c.a. 3 HDDs. Gotta' start somewhere.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | October 2, 2010 11:38 AM | Report abuse

Yeah, I missed Isabel and am still waiting for another one to come this way.

Posted by: bdeco | October 2, 2010 12:18 PM | Report abuse

Also, soon-to-be Otto does seem to be getting better organized today (closed circulation?) and, while the model agreement isn't great, some do have approaching and then turning up the east coast. Regardless, it should be fun to track over the next several days.

Posted by: bdeco | October 2, 2010 12:24 PM | Report abuse

Gorgeous for the Del Ray Arts Festival!


Posted by: jaybird926 | October 2, 2010 3:15 PM | Report abuse

Now THIS is heaven. Can we have every day like this?

Posted by: rwalker66 | October 2, 2010 3:47 PM | Report abuse

just an awesome, early fall day. happy.

Posted by: kudzu13 | October 2, 2010 9:38 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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