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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 11/27/2010

Forecast: A taste of winter in late November

By Ian Livingston

Still cool tomorrow, but less wind; temporary warming after

* SkinsCast | Thanksgiving ice coats western Maryland *
* Outside now? Radar, temps, clouds & more: Weather Wall *

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 

Chilly temperatures mixed with wind makes it feel more like a winter day. Still, plenty of sun!
 
Get the 'Digit' on Twitter

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly sunny, chilly and breezy. 44-48. | Tonight: Clear and cold. 24-32. | Tomorrow: Sunny, less wind. 45-49. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Even though our average temperatures have been getting cooler for some time, and we're just days off the start of meteorological winter, this is our first powerful Arctic air mass of the season. Thankfully, our normal (of late) pattern featuring dry weekends continues today and tomorrow. After we get through this evening, winds lessen and we see at least a brief warming trend into early next week. Oh, there's some rain on the horizon too.

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map powered by iMapWeather (base map by Google). Click and hold on map to pan. Double-click to zoom. Refresh page to update. See larger map on our Weather Wall.

Today (Saturday): It's a nice looking day, though you might not enjoy how it feels when stepping out into the chill. Temperatures slowly rise off cold morning lows toward highs mainly in the mid-40s for highs, or about 5 to 8 degrees below normal. Winds blow from the west around 15 mph sustained, with gusts to 30 mph. A bit of a wind chill factor should be present. Confidence: High

Tonight: Mainly clear and cold. Temperatures dipping back into the 30s during the evening head for lows in the mid-20s in the chilliest suburbs to nearer freezing downtown. Winds die off as the evening progresses, and they should be fairly light overnight. Confidence: High

Do we lose this below average temperature regime anytime soon? Keep on reading...

Tomorrow (Sunday): The forecast looks a lot like that for Saturday. The exceptions are less wind and perhaps slightly warmer temperatures. Under sunny skies, afternoon highs should reach the mid-and-upper 40s. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow Night: Like the daytime forecast, this is a near repeat of the previous night, but with lighter winds. Lows dip into the mid-20s in the suburbs to nearer freezing in the warmest locations downtown. Confidence: Medium-High

A LOOK AHEAD

Monday continues the string of mostly sunny days. Temperatures moderate a bit compared to the weekend and highs are likely to reach near 50 or into the lower 50s. Winds should remain a non factor. There may be some cloud increase late day before we head mostly cloudy overnight. Lows drop to the mid-and-upper 30s in the suburbs to near 40 downtown. Confidence: Medium

On Tuesday, another cold front approaches from the west and we're pretty cloudy with increasing odds of rain as the day wears on. By afternoon and evening, showers become likely (60-70%), though the heaviest rain may hold off till the overnight. There could be some thunderstorms by then as well! Highs rise into the upper 50s and lower 60s as warm air shoots north ahead of the front. Don't get used to it though... Confidence: Medium

By Ian Livingston  | November 27, 2010; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Forecast: Bright but chilly, without the wind

Comments

Another sunny weekend!

What's the all-time record?

Posted by: jaybird926 | November 27, 2010 7:37 AM | Report abuse

Jason's forecast of 33 for DCA last night was exact.

Posted by: eric654 | November 27, 2010 9:39 AM | Report abuse

DCA should get the freeze tonight I think, but maybe just barely.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | November 27, 2010 10:15 AM | Report abuse

To me this is typical late November weather, albeit a bit below average and actually would have not been inappropriate a couple of weeks ago.

Real winter = flakes, and the sooner they start to fly, seriously fly, not
a twink snow flurry or snow shower, the better.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | November 27, 2010 12:57 PM | Report abuse

We've got some wind in the NW boondocks. So far, Leesburg has a slight lead over Martinsburg/Shepherdstown, Winchester, and Hagerstown with winds W at 22 gusting to 36 in the noon hour.

Posted by: tinkerbelle | November 27, 2010 1:14 PM | Report abuse

It was pretty nice and comfortable when I was out for my run earlier in the morning. Not so comfortable now that the wind has picked up. Good day for some football watching.

Posted by: marathoner | November 27, 2010 1:34 PM | Report abuse

This reminds me... I often wish that the main Post weather page -

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/weather/index.html?nav=hptop

would list expected wind speed (or even something qualitative like "light, moderate, heavy", etc.) below the icons for the six day forecasts. Obviously it can make a world of difference in the feel. I wonder if those projections are just much less reliable, hence the decision not to list it? Or maybe it would make a nice update to the page.

(Would also be nice if when you hovered over the weather pictograph icon for each day if a short standard caption - e.g., "partly cloudy with some showers" would appear. Occasionally I can't confidently make out what the icon is supposed to mean.)

Posted by: B2O2 | November 27, 2010 1:45 PM | Report abuse

the wind today was strong enough to topple the alexandria xmas tree, just lit last night!

Posted by: pvogel88 | November 27, 2010 10:12 PM | Report abuse

Jerry, you might be right though I was thinking AVG temps, which today was more like Dec and then wind chill on top. On a side note, some clouds are holding temps up a bit so far for the freezeless chase.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | November 27, 2010 10:22 PM | Report abuse

Any of the CWG care to take a guess at NEXT weeks (Dec 5-8) storm?... Im hearing snow, snow to rain, rain to snow, OTS and/or a complete miss.

Some of the local forecasters, especially WUSA9 crew are calling for snow around the 5th. What do you guys think at this point?

Posted by: KRUZ | November 28, 2010 3:49 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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