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Posted at 9:00 AM ET, 11/ 5/2010

Forecast: Variably cloudy & chilly end to week

By Camden Walker

Saturday still windy; sun & warmth to gradually return

* Winter outlook: Details | Methodology | FAQS | Related links *
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* Outside now? Radar, temps, clouds & more: Weather Wall *

originally posted at 5 a.m., updated at noon.

Today's Daily Digit
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.


Chilly & gray at times with an isolated shower, but at least it's Friday. Is this too generous?
Get the 'Digit' on Twitter


Today: Shower possible mainly early. Partly to mostly cloudy & breezy. Mid-50s. | Tonight: Variably cloudy & breezy. Mid-30s to near 40. | Tomorrow: Partly sunny. Near 50 to low 50s. | Sunday: Mostly sunny. Low-to-mid 50s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail


Blustery, chilly and gray at times. Eesh! Through Saturday we'll be stuck with a wind chill courtesy a breeze from the northwest. Clouds crack here and there today, but even Saturday shouldn't be perfectly bright. The fairly winter-like pattern we've stumbled into will keep us, for the most part, in the 50s for highs, and 30s for lows. As we approach the winter solstice (in 6 weeks!), I want you to mentally prepare for shorter days, cooler temperatures, more wind chills, and clouds. But also keep in mind there may be something of a warming trend next week.

Clouds: Latest mid-Atlantic infrared satellite loop, courtesy Unisys. Click here to expand. Refresh page to update. See more maps on our Weather Wall

Today (Friday): Skies are cloudy at times today as upper-level low pressure spins overhead. The sunniest period may be mid-morning to mid-afternoon. It stays chilly and a shower is possible (20-30% chance) early and then again in the late afternoon. High temperatures are slightly below average, mainly in the mid-50s. They may struggle to get there, too. So bundle up! 50s still feels a bit nippy to our un-acclimatized bodies. Winds from the northwest pick up to around 10-15 mph, adding to the chill. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Northwest winds calm to 5-10 mph (or less) as evening temperatures drop into and through the 40s. With mostly cloudy skies, temperatures slowly drop to near 40 downtown and to the mid-30s in the suburbs. Clouds and a breeze keep lows up a little. Everyone should escape a freeze tonight. Confidence: Medium

Want to know more about the milder weather on the horizon? Keep reading for the forecast into next week...

Tomorrow (Saturday): Skies fluctuate between partly and mostly cloudy. There could be an isolated (20%) shower, but it's mainly dry. Highs struggle to near or just above 50, fighting a sometimes gusty 10-15 mph northwest wind. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow Night: Daylight Saving Time! If you depend on any clock besides an automated one, be sure at 2 a.m. EDT to switch back to 1 a.m. EST. Outside, look for partly cloudy skies and low temperatures a bit cooler than Friday night. More freezes are likely outside of the Beltway, though downtown may stay as "warm" as the mid-to-upper 30s. Confidence: Medium

Sunday: About the same temperature as past two days, but hopefully less chilly feeling, since winds finally diminish! Highs should find their way to the low 50s, and some spots -- especially south of town -- could hit the mid-50s. Sunshine is also good news. We have our best shot of the weekend at seeing a pleasantly sunny day. I encourage you to get outside and appreciate the milder conditions while we still can! Confidence: Medium


Sunday night, looks clear but cool, so dress in layers if staying out late. Lows likely range from near 30 to the mid-30s (suburbs to city) by sunrise. Confidence: Medium

We hopefully can enjoy increased sunshine Monday and Tuesday with highs in the mid-and-upper 50s Monday, potentially nearing the mid-60s on Tuesday. I guess Mother Nature may actually give us some compensation for our recent chilled rainfall? Confidence: Low-Medium

By Camden Walker  | November 5, 2010; 9:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: PM Update: Raw rains to gradually diminish
Next: Winter arrives in western Maryland, W. Va.


Today (Friday): Skies are considerably cloudy today....

They are? Sunny blue skies out there in Fairfax.

Posted by: rwalker66 | November 5, 2010 8:03 AM | Report abuse

NWS posted winter weather advisory for along and west of Allegany front beginning at 6:00 a.m. Using their new standard, I'd guess the area is in for some significant snow. Glad it's not Jefferson County!

Posted by: tinkerbelle | November 5, 2010 8:40 AM | Report abuse


Looks like skies are clearing from west to east. Still gray east of town. Some more clouds will probably pop up later, but we've adapted the forecast to indicate this window of emergent sunshine.

Posted by: Jason-CapitalWeatherGang | November 5, 2010 9:03 AM | Report abuse

tinkerbelle - you're right, the new standard for those few counties would leave DC somewhat paralyzed under the same accumulation of snow ;) Do you live in that part of WV?

Skies are clearing here in Metro Center but all the tree leaves have apparently blown away. Winter suddenly here! ack. Anyone else notice leaves are just.. gone?! :)

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | November 5, 2010 9:56 AM | Report abuse

The forests are looking very bare when I drive through Manassas battlefield. Rain & wind have stripped the autumnal color from the trees.
However my backyard garden has some pockets of sheltered microclimate where huge impatiens are still blooming like crazy.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | November 5, 2010 10:55 AM | Report abuse

FIREDRAGON47 - wish I had a backyard, but alas I chose to live downtown. Sounds very great that you have one last bastion of autumn left. Sad to hear outside the Beltway also has barren trees. Drat.

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | November 5, 2010 10:59 AM | Report abuse

early forecast for next weekend?

Posted by: sheepherder | November 5, 2010 11:09 AM | Report abuse

Out in the Blue Ridge, the tulip poplars appear to have lost most of their leaves. Hickories are turning from yellow to amber/golden brown. There are still some red leaves on the maples. A few pics here of this season's fall color.

Posted by: spgass1 | November 5, 2010 11:12 AM | Report abuse

oof, sheepherder, that far more climatology rather than meteorology ;) but, ok, 58/39 is pretty much average, and so far it looks like our next trough of low pressure will hold off until next Sunday. But timing and preip are highly uncertain. I would venture to say temperatures Fri&Sat will be above average. Sunday may see showers and head back toward average temps.

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | November 5, 2010 11:15 AM | Report abuse

spgass1 - great photos. I like the slight fog in "Fall Color" and how the Black Gum tree just irradiates color upwards! Not to mention the Dogwood in Fall Watercolor.. very nice. hope you can get out this weekend and see just a bit more of the color that's still left, perhaps! thanks again for the link to your photoblog.

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | November 5, 2010 11:42 AM | Report abuse

Not much chance of rain for a week--and considerably warmer by next weekend [high, 65 to low 70's].

Posted by: Bombo47jea | November 5, 2010 12:38 PM | Report abuse

Bombo47jea - I think the storm in Canada may be strong enough to push a cold front through our region next weekend. Timing, while uncertain, could prevent it from warming too much beyond 70 degrees. It is so far out! :)

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | November 5, 2010 1:12 PM | Report abuse

spgass1-- Your "More Fall Color" photo looks a lot like my southern view, except I've got a horse farm over to the right on the near ridge. Nice pix!

Posted by: tinkerbelle | November 5, 2010 3:37 PM | Report abuse

spgass1-- Your "More Fall Color" photo looks a lot like my southern view, except I've got a horse farm over to the right on the near ridge. Nice pix!

Posted by: tinkerbelle | November 5, 2010 4:06 PM | Report abuse

Tinkerbelle and Camden, thanks for the kind words. Sounds like you've got a real nice place Tinkerbelle. The view's not from my place but I get to pass by it frequently.

By the way, I like the new Capital Weather Gang title font.

Posted by: spgass1 | November 5, 2010 4:59 PM | Report abuse

Ooops, sorry for the double-posting earlier. Hmmm....I'm sure I didn't hit the button twice...

Posted by: tinkerbelle | November 5, 2010 8:54 PM | Report abuse

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