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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 11/19/2010

Forecast: Cool and sunny today, warmer coming

By Camden Walker

Chilly beginnings, but sunny through weekend

* Historic hurricane season | Shopping weather | Cold Thanksgiving? *
* Tornado touched down in Baltimore Tues. night *
* Outside now? Radar, temps, clouds & more: Weather Wall *

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 

Lots of sunshine, but it starts off chilly and only warms into the 50s (wish it were 60s). Happy Friday!
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly sunny, cool. 50-54. | Tonight: Mainly clear. 30s to near 40. | Tomorrow: Sunny, a bit breezy. Around 60. | Sunday: Partly sunny. Mid-50s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

We should have a beautiful Friday and weekend -- albeit chilly from time to time. Temperatures and breezes notwithstanding, looks like a good opportunity to enjoy some sunshine, go for a run, or any myriad of outdoor activities. Just be sure to dress in layers, especially early or late, because the sun will be the main factor keeping you warm. By early next week, our slow upward trend in temperatures shows results. However, clouds become an issue on Monday, and by Tuesday we may end our fair weather completely.

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map powered by iMapWeather (base map by Google). Click and hold on map to pan. Double-click to zoom. Refresh page to update. See larger map on our Weather Wall.

Today (Friday): Sunshine is the definite plus, but chilly temperatures are the minus. Temperatures start in the 30s for most of the region, and take their time getting to mid-afternoon high temperatures near 50 and into the lower 50s. Winds are light from the west. A decent Friday, no? Confidence: High

Tonight: Clear but a bit breezy. Downtown could maintain temperatures right near 40, while the coldest suburbs drop toward the lower 30s. There could be a light frost as well, with dewpoints hovering around the freezing mark by sunrise. Confidence: Medium-High

How long does sun stick around, and what about milder weather? Keep reading for the forecast into next week...

Tomorrow (Saturday): High pressure continues its excellent, sunny influence. Few, if any clouds, will dot the sky. Along with a stronger breeze from the west, this facilitates slightly warmer temperatures around 60 degrees. Breezes do increase a bit, around 10 mph sustained. Get out and about! Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow Night: Clear and acceptably worry-free for going out on the town. Temperatures should be about the same or slightly milder than Friday night, with low temperatures bottoming near 40 downtown, and perhaps the low-or-mid-30s outside of the Beltway. Confidence: Medium

Sunday: This may look like the same mostly sunny day as Saturday, but we pick up a northerly breeze at least for a time. Temperatures are cooler, though still acceptable I suppose, probably mid-50s. It won't feel quite as warm as Saturday. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Sunday night may see a few more clouds move into the area. Temperatures drop a bit, but are not quite as variable or cool, because of the clouds. I foresee a range mainly in the upper 30s and lower 40s throughout the region. Confidence: Low-Medium

Monday remains dry despite cloudier skies. The sun still puts up a fight though, so partly cloudy is the story. High temperatures should be warmer, like the low-to-mid 60s.

By Tuesday, we see even more clouds as a cold front approaches and slows down. Shower chances go up to about 30-40% by afternoon. However, highs heading for the mid-to-upper 60s are warm for this time of year, thanks winds from the south ahead of a storm in the Midwest. Unsettled conditions may then persist later into the week. Confidence: Low

By Camden Walker  | November 19, 2010; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Waiting for the first official D.C. freeze...

Comments

yeah, yeah yeah... highs in the 50s/60s lows in the 30s/40s for the next 5/6 days.... booooring.

how are temps NEXT friday/weekend looking? or do i have to wait 'til the quasi-annual december 5/6 snowstorm?

the best i can gather from the NWS link on the upper left "at-a-glance" thing is 45 degrees at 8 pm on thursday the 25th - w/o ever having dropped below freezing - and the dew point stays lower than the temp, so...to my untrained eye that means no precip, white or otherwise, for thurdsay...

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?w0=t&w1=td&w2=wc&w3=sfcwind&w3u=1&w4=sky&w5=pop&w6=rh&w7=thunder&w8=rain&w9=snow&w10=fzg&w11=sleet&AheadHour=107&Submit=Submit&FcstType=graphical&textField1=38.89500&textField2=-77.03730&site=lwx&unit=0&dd=0&bw=0

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | November 19, 2010 9:25 AM | Report abuse

Walter, sorry to report boring weather for the time being. Just potential cold air after Thanksgiving!

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | November 19, 2010 10:30 AM | Report abuse

camden,
harumph... but thanks.

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | November 19, 2010 10:49 AM | Report abuse

:) and, you know most of the weather modelling done after day 6 or day 7 is heavily chaotic and uncertain (low confidence) right? I just don't want you looking too far ahead and believe what you see ;)

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | November 19, 2010 10:58 AM | Report abuse

You're definitely my favorite poster, Camden. Here's why:
1) I know where you live (near the convention center) unlike the other bloggers.
2) You seem like the kind of guy who knows how to do bar tricks.
3) Camden is an unusual name (props to the guy with the last name Junker, too).
4) You respond to everyone (fingers crossed).
5) You probably are a descendant of Chuck Norris.

BUT....One comment though about today's Forecast in Detail, isn't the sun always the "main" factor keeping us warm? I'm just worried lest there is another star stealing our fair Sun's glory. If so, let Chuck Norris (or one of his descendants) know so he/they can put things back in their celestial order.

Posted by: bloodynose | November 19, 2010 11:14 AM | Report abuse

bloodynose, thank you for your feedback! ha! Ok, so today's forecast eh? I see where you are going with regards to sun warmth... but it was meant to emphasize once the sun is gone, our bodies will perceive it to be much colder. I was trying to avoid being too verbose. "If it weren't for the bright sunshine, it would feel much cooler today" (is that better? maybe I was trying to be too succinct; rather than mention cooler, dryer airmass... and windchill factor.)

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | November 19, 2010 11:22 AM | Report abuse

camden,
i understand models/predictions etc...that far out are to be taken with a shaker of salt. of course that goes both ways: despite your realism/pessimism, i'm still harboring hope that we'll have snow next week or weekend....

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | November 19, 2010 11:45 AM | Report abuse

totally understand, walter. I wish for you many a Snow Lovers Crystal Ball! May you see one soon, for your satisfaction

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | November 19, 2010 12:30 PM | Report abuse

As I recall, the models and ensembles last winter did a pretty good job at "calling" Snowpocalypse, Snowmageddon and Snoverkill as much as seven to ten days in advance...in fact the more rational folks posting to the weather board were warning people to take the forecasts with a grain of salt--they were several days in advance.

The Snowmageddon call was particularly interesting, since some early totals were calling for historic amounts at DCA [Reagan] greater than even the Knickerbocker and Washington-Jefferson totals. I believe one such ten day outlook was mentioning "three to four FEET at Reagan" for the entire storm! I may be referring to Joe Bastardi and his AccuWeather cohorts, but, as things turned out, the Snowmageddon/Snoverkill totals weren't quite that far off the mark.

Of course, things are quite different this fall with La Nina and a Southeast ridge apparently in charge, but we may yet see some real excitement this winter...I suspect the Presidents' Day period in mid-February holds a surprise or two in store, as it has done several of the past few years.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | November 19, 2010 2:53 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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