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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 11/ 3/2010

Forecast: Thursday rain threat as cold remains

By Dan Stillman

Weekend highs only near 50. Then warmer?

* Outside now? Radar, temps, clouds & more: Weather Wall *

updated at 9:55 a.m.

Today's Daily Digit
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.


Mid-50s are only a few degrees warmer than Tuesday. Not enough, IMO, to boost the digit higher.
Get the 'Digit' on Twitter


Today: Increasing clouds. Mid-50s. | Tonight: Increasing shower chances. 40s. | Tomorrow: Rain likely. Near 50 to Low 50s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail


Admit it... Some of you thought maybe, just maybe, last year's ridiculous winter meant we'd get this winter off. Alas, only a few days into November it's become quite clear that winter will settle in sooner or later, just as it always does. In fact, highs over the next several days, especially this weekend, aren't that unlike what we'd see on the milder of winter days. The good news for those not ready to give up on fall is that, after rain chances late tonight into tomorrow and a pretty chilly weekend, a warming trend looks likely for next week.

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map powered by iMapWeather (base map by Google). Click and hold on map to pan. Double-click to zoom. Refresh page to update. See larger map on our Weather Wall.

Today (Wednesday): It's another frosty start with morning commute temperatures in the 30s (suburbs) to near 40 (downtown). Through the morning into midday, the District is the battle line between a fair amount of sun to the north and a fair amount of clouds to the south (though much of the area could temporarily turn mostly sunny sometime during the late morning into early afternoon). A light afternoon breeze from the south/southeast should help highs a little higher than yesterday -- to the mid-50s. Most everyone should become mostly cloudy as the afternoon wears on. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Skies become overcast and showers are a decent bet (60% chance), mainly after midnight, as low pressure off the N.C. coast begins to move north. The clouds and onshore flow from the southeast keep us considerably less chilly than the previous few nights with lows in the 40s. Confidence: Medium

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Fall foliage in NW D.C. By CWG photographer Ian Livingston.

Tomorrow (Thursday): Rain is likely through the morning into the early-to-mid afternoon as low pressure tracks up the coast, then rain chances gradually decrease during the mid-to-late afternoon. The rain and mostly cloudy skies put a pretty low ceiling on high temps -- probably from near 50 to the low 50s. As of now, somewhere around 0.5"-0.75" is the best guess for rain totals. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow Night: There's a chance that a trailing coastal low-pressure area tries to clip us with additional showers (30-40% chance). More likely, it stays far enough off the coast to leave us dry or mostly dry (60-70% chance) but with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Lows drop back to near 40. Confidence: Low-Medium


Friday doesn't start frigid in terms of morning lows -- around 40. But 10-15 mph breezes from the northwest chill us all day long, limiting highs to near 50 or in the low 50s with partly sunny skies and the chance of an isolated shower. Friday night lows fall to the 30s for most spots Confidence: Medium

Those chilly breezes continue Saturday with partly sunny skies and still the chance of an isolated shower. Winds should scale back a bit on Sunday as skies go mostly sunny. Both days are cold with morning lows in the 30s and afternoon highs only around 50. Confidence: Medium-High

Good news for warmer-weather fans: Next week's highs should move closer to and eventually above average, which for the second week of November is around 60.

By Dan Stillman  | November 3, 2010; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: PM Update: Election day ending on chilly note
Next: Winter 2009-2010 mid-Atlantic snowfall map


Finally fall is here! Bring on the chilly temps and appropriate weather. I lover four distinct seasons and 80F in fall is not appropriate and ruins my favorite season.

Posted by: Bainbridge | November 3, 2010 6:40 AM | Report abuse

I love Fall as well and am enjoying the weather. However, I'm attending a wedding in Baltimore this weekend and chilly temps, running around the inner harbor area in strappy sandals and evening gowns, do not mix.

Looking forward to tomorrow's long range forecast!

Posted by: Snowlover2 | November 3, 2010 6:53 AM | Report abuse

snowlover, no offense or anything, but maybe don't wear strappy sandals in November? And employ a shaw or overcoat?

Formal wear does have seasonal adjustments.

Posted by: Addilette | November 3, 2010 1:31 PM | Report abuse

Looks as though the President's post-election press conference is messing with Tom Skilling's midday weather report on WGN. Incidentally the election results may have an impact on climate policy as a number of anti-global warming righties got into the House and in a couple of cases [notably Rand Paul] the Senate. Unfortunately the election of Republicans will NOT cure our economic or climate ills which are driven largely by our insistence on private cars and limited-supply liquid fossil fuels. Next time the price of oil goes up [a near "given" as we compete with the Chinese and Indians for an increasingly finite non-renewable reserve] we will suffer the same economic "hit". Meanwhile the needed improvements in infrastructure and mass transit will suffer due to future budget-trimming incentives.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | November 3, 2010 1:44 PM | Report abuse

Does Thursday's rain look to be heavy at any particular time? Some leaves remain on the trees, but my gutters are already filled. I don't want to ladder-up this afternoon to clean them just to repeat next week--would prefer to wait and do it only once when all leaves are off the trees, if possible. I can probably relax if the forecast 0.5"-0.75" amount it spread over 12-24 showery hours...

Posted by: BeauTochs | November 3, 2010 1:45 PM | Report abuse

No offense taken! Of course I will be wearing a coat- but coats over ladies' evening wear is still not as warm as a coat over warmer clothing. As for shoes, members of a wedding party do not always have choice in the matter.

Apologize for digressing too off topic.

Posted by: Snowlover2 | November 3, 2010 2:29 PM | Report abuse

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