Forecast: Warmer today, chance of PM showers
Tricky Thanksgiving wet weather
FORECAST IN DETAIL
Changeable November weather continues to complicate our holiday weather picture. If you have travel plans west of here, you may run into weather-related delays tomorrow as a storm system affects the Midwest. That storm reaches our region by Thanksgiving in the form of a warm front (rain) and then on Black Friday in the form of a cold front (more rain). I don't think both days are complete ruinous washouts, but the pesky storm system will get in the way at times.
Today (Tuesday): Look out for patchy fog early this morning. Otherwise, today is the warmest day of the week with temperatures popping up into the middle and upper 60s (maybe a 70 in spots?), but showers muddle the mildness by later this afternoon into the evening (30% chance) as a cold front advances across the metro area. Partly cloudy skies this morning lead to mostly cloudy afternoon conditions. Winds come from the south and west at 5 to 10 mph, bringing in that milder air. Confidence: Medium
Tonight: An evening cold front keeps the shower chances around (30%), but skies start to clear as quickly as late evening, and winds shift to come from the colder northwest direction. That means low temperatures dip down to the upper 30s and low 40s. Confidence: Medium
Keep reading for the forecast through the holiday...
Tomorrow (Wednesday): High pressure accomplishes two things for tomorrow- sunnier skies and cooler air. Low-to-mid 50s are as high as we'll probably go, but dry weather prevails for the East Coast in case you're traveling north or south (rain is arriving out in the Midwest). Light winds. Confidence: Medium-High
Tomorrow Night: Clouds gradually return to the area overnight, but sufficient low-level cold air should take our low temperatures down into the 30s in most areas (maybe holding near 40 downtown). Light winds. Confidence: Medium-High
Thanksgiving looks to start cloudy with mainly showers or light rain around the area. More widespread coverage is expected in the afternoon, especially around DC and toward areas north of the city as a warm front carves a path northward. The day should start cool, but I believe the warm front could punch through by late afternoon and allow the area to push into the middle or even upper 50s by late afternoon. More showers afflict Thanksgiving night with at least mild conditions (mid-to-upper 40s or even holding near 50 in the city). Confidence: Low-Medium
Black Friday challenges the early bird shoppers from a precipitation standpoint (bring umbrellas), but the milder weather is welcome (maybe upper 40s, but possibly holding in the 50s). Temperatures quickly move up through those 50s in the morning hours, but heavier showers are possible at times toward midday as the cold front slices through the area. Steady or dropping temperatures along with remnant showers and breezy conditions in the afternoon. Confidence: Low
The final weekend of November (can you believe it?!) promises to be a colder one with highs in the 40s to around 50 and lows in the 20s and 30s. Partly to mostly sunny skies will be the consolation prize for the colder weather so you can maybe get outside and work off those "leftover" calories. However, a slight chance of showers is seen toward Sunday evening.Confidence: Medium
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