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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 12/ 6/2010

Forecast: Biting breeze remains

By Brian Jackson

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 

The penguins at the zoo should feel right at home. For the rest of us, the cold & wind can't leave soon enough.
 
Get the 'Digit' on Twitter

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Variably cloudy & very windy. Chance of flurries. Mid-30s to near 40. | Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy & breezy. Mid-to-upper 20s. | Tomorrow: Partly sunny, still windy. Mid-to-upper 30s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Unless you're a cold miser, you probably won't like today's weather any more than yesterday's. If anything, the winds are slightly stronger today and temperatures just as cold. Whipping winds continue tomorrow before easing a bit Wednesday and more so Thursday. Late in the week we see the slightest of warm-ups before iffy precipitation chances toward and/or during the weekend.

Snow Potential Index: 2 (→) - Slim chance of anything more than flurries until Sunday-ish, which too far out to put much stock in.

 
The SPI is a daily assessment of the potential for accumulating snow for the next week on a 0-10 scale. Get the 'SPI' on Twitter
 

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map powered by iMapWeather (base map by Google). Click and hold on map to pan. Double-click to zoom. Refresh page to update. See larger map on our Weather Wall.

Today (Monday): A near carbon copy of yesterday is in the cards for us as cold and windy conditions won't relent. Skies range from partly sunny to mostly cloudy with the chance of a flurry. Temperatures are pretty much unchanged, with highs in the mid-30s to near 40. And winds are possibly a touch stronger than yesterday, increasing to 20-30 mph by late morning with some gusts as high as about 40 mph. Wind chills stall out in the 20s. Confidence: High

Tonight: After dark, winds weaken some, to around 15 mph but still with higher gusts. Skies are partly to mostly cloudy as we dip to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 20s. Confidence: High

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Tuesday): Our time in the sun increases a bit on Tuesday. Despite skies that should be at least partly sunny, we could still see a flurry around. The main story continues to be those winds, still brisk from the west around 15-25 mph with higher gusts. Our highs only reach the mid-to-upper 30s. Confidence: High

Tomorrow Night: Skies go mostly clear and winds let up enough for temperatures to dive lower than tonight. Some outer locales may get down to the upper teens overnight. For the rest of us, expect low-to-mid 20s with still a bit of a breeze. Confidence: Medium-High

A LOOK AHEAD

Wednesday and Thursday continue our wintry chill that we've come to know (and love?), but with decreasing winds - around 10-20 mph on Wednesday and less gusty than today and tomorrow, and about 10 mph or less on Thursday. The weaker winds combined with partly to mostly sunny skies won't make you break out the t-shirts, but it's a small improvement with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s and overnight lows in the 20s. Confidence: Medium-High

On Friday, clouds could increase as low pressure looks to track well to our north. Flow from the south sends temperatures creeping upward, with highs likely in the 40s. As of now, just a small chance of afternoon showers is possible as well. Any chance for showers wanes as we head into Saturday, when highs aim for the 40s again. Confidence: Medium

Models have shown some consistency in the potential for a storm system to affect the East Coast on Sunday or Sunday into Monday. At this range, though, details in track (and thus precipitation type) are sketchy and overall forecast confidence is low. Sunday highs will depend greatly on those details and whether there is even a storm in the first place. So, a wide range for now - upper 30s to near 50. Confidence: Low

By Brian Jackson  | December 6, 2010; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Any truth to rumors of a Sunday-Monday storm?

Comments

NWS State College PA says "...THE OPERATIONAL GFS/ECMWF BOTH PORTENDING MAJOR EAST COAST CYCLOGENESIS TO START NEXT WEEK. GEFS AND ECMWF SHIFT THE GREENLAND BLOCK EAST TO SCANDINAVIA WHILE CARVING OUT A DEEP TROF OVER THE EASTERN US. AT THIS STAGE THE OPERATIONAL GFS/ECMWF INDICATE ENOUGH WARM AIR OVER THE REGION TO POSE MAINLY A RAIN EVENT THREAT...BUT THEY DON`T MAKE IT A SLAM DUNK. AGAIN...THIS IS ALL A WEEK AWAY SO DETAILS WILL NO DOUBT BOUNCE AROUND SEVERAL TIMES IN THE UPCOMING DAYS. SNOW LOVERS WILL WANT TO STAY TUNED."

NWS Blacksburg says "FOR THE WEEKEND...OUR ATTENTION TURNS TO THE GULF COAST. GUIDANCE...WHILE IN DISAGREEMENT WITH TIMING AND TRACK...SUGGEST A LOW WILL DEVELOP AND HEAD NORTHEAST ALONG THE EAST COAST...ALL WHILE A DEEP UPPER LOW DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE INTERACTION OF THE TWO LOWS MAY HELP PROMPT OUR NEXT WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT FOR THE REGION. FOR NOW...AM KEEPING THINGS SIMPLE WITH A GENERAL CHANCE POP FORECAST FOR RAIN/SNOW ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY."

Posted by: eric654 | December 6, 2010 6:25 AM | Report abuse

Guy, I know it is early, but I am traveling to Frostburg next weekend and wanted to know if the weekend event will most likely be snow? If so, should I plan for a fairly major event, say 8"+?

Posted by: snowlover | December 6, 2010 7:13 AM | Report abuse

Guys, I know it is early, but I am traveling to Frostburg next weekend and wanted to know if the weekend event will most likely be snow? If so, should I plan for a fairly major event, say 8"+?

Posted by: snowlover | December 6, 2010 7:13 AM | Report abuse

Chance of furries? Does that mean it will be raining cats and dogs?

Posted by: mmcgeary | December 6, 2010 7:43 AM | Report abuse

Brrrrrrrrrrrrrr.
In an effort to find something positive to say about this frigid snowless weather I will post that at least it is a sun-shiney morning.
After that I got nothing.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | December 6, 2010 8:39 AM | Report abuse

The potential does exisit for 8+ inches - howevva - as the regulars here know, its all about track...its just like a hurricane that hasnt even formed yet; if youre in the cone a week out, youre probably all clear. Regardless, the GFS is consistently showing "Something" out there. We need a near perfect track for it to come together - especially this time of year. Climatologically speaking, its early to mid-Dec and this is not a favored time of year for a blockbuster...

Posted by: DullesARC | December 6, 2010 9:11 AM | Report abuse

I hope it doesn't turn out to be just a mess of cold rain and sleet and E wind. Yuck.

Posted by: tinkerbelle | December 6, 2010 9:18 AM | Report abuse

Hey everyone, too early to even plan arond any potential precipitation next Sunday/Monday... I will repeat some of Brian's good language within his forecast: Models have shown some consistency in the potential for a storm system to affect the East Coast on Sunday or Sunday into Monday. At this range, though, details in track (and thus precipitation type) are sketchy and overall forecast confidence is low.

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | December 6, 2010 10:41 AM | Report abuse

Fingers crossed for big snow instead of rain. Love snow! However, I have Pepco, so I'm off to Giant on lunch to stock up on staple foods (was going shopping on Friday anyway, but would like to avoid the bread/milk rush), cat litter, and ice melt. Always have cat litter in the car in snow/ice. A shovel helps too :)

Posted by: HappyArmyWife | December 6, 2010 11:14 AM | Report abuse

HappyArmyWife - good luck at the store. And if you have to shovel anything, make sure to take it easy and shovel slowly with many breaks. (this by no means equates to my thinking snow will accumulate--I remain neutral until we get closer to this weekend and the numerical global weather models come into more agreement!)

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | December 6, 2010 11:27 AM | Report abuse

Why, thank you Camden. My husband left the day before the Feb. storms for 6 months of training, so I got plenty of shovel time in. (and lost a few pounds)It was work, but I'll take it for the white stuff!

Posted by: HappyArmyWife | December 6, 2010 11:54 AM | Report abuse

You are quite the hardcore snow lover!

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | December 6, 2010 12:03 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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