Not much has changed regarding the potential for snow on Tuesday. Chances remain fairly good that we'll see at least some accumulating snow in the D.C. area, while at the same time chances of a big-time storm remain fairly low.
For those who were awake, the snow this morning put on quite a show. A narrow, but intense squall line raced through the metro region between about 7 and 10:00 a.m., dropping anywhere from 0.25-0.75".
Morning snow showers have ended with accumulations ranging from a dusting to about 1". The rest of today is variably cloudy and cold, with temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s. If today's snow isn't enough, we're also tracking a threat for Tuesday.
Today ended up pretty cloudy and cold. If you're a snow lover who missed the Friday morning snow showers, fear not! Additional snow shower activity looks likely late night and into Saturday morning. We're not expecting a lot of snow, but some spots could pick up as much as about 1". Then, if you haven't heard, there's a potential bigger threat on Tuesday.
Chances for accumulating snow Tuesday are increasing (relative to yesterday). The models have converged toward a solution that would give the Washington area at least some snow. Therefore, our assessment for the probability of getting over an inch or snow is in the 40 to 50% range, a high number given that the storm is not expected until Tuesday.
A small, but potent upper level disturbance will pivot through the metro region late tonight into tomorrow likely generating intermittent bands of snow.
To celebrate the 15 year anniversary of the Blizzard of '96, I have assembled a few photos to showcase the amazing storm. In comparison to Snowmageddon, the snow from the Blizzard of '96 was not quite as deep or dense in the immediate Washington area, but the drifting was much more extensive. The Blizzard of '96 had a prolonged dry slot during the middle of the storm while Snowmageddon had continuous snow.
After a dusting or so in some spots this morning, another shot of light snow is likely late tonight into early tomorrow. This time even more spots could see a dusting if not up to around an inch. Tuesday could get interesting as we may be dealing with a potentially snowier system.
Weather has mostly been ruled out as the cause of the massive bird kill in central Arkansas (now suspected to be fireworks), but chances are good it was behind the death of more than two million fish in the Chesapeake Bay this past week.
For the fourth consecutive day, afternoon highs climbed into the low 40s, exactly average for this time of year. But it's downhill from here as cold air from the northwest streams southeastward. We probably won't escape the 30s tomorrow and for many days thereafter. As the cold air dives south, some light snow may fall along the way.
Like the previous significant snow chances we've had this season, the one we're tracking for Tuesday may have us on the edge of our seats until the very end.
What a memorable year 2010 was for weather in Washington, D.C. Before the dust of 2010 settles, I thought I'd showcase a series of images that helps tell the story of 2010's incredible weather in Washington.
We hang on to the 40s for one more day and then the Arctic muscles in for the weekend. A few snowflakes to mark the leading edge of the cold push Friday morning may not even accomplish a dusting. The problem is that this cold spell may be measured in weeks rather than days...
It's still cold, but that's not very unusual for this time of year. In fact, Wednesday's highs were about normal. There's not much weather excitement in the coming 24 hours to think about, though by late Thursday we'll be watching for an area of light snow headed toward the region into the overnight.
Do your politics impact your view of climate change science? Do gloom and doom predictions alter your opinions? Some recent articles in the LA Times and Nature explore these fascinating questions.
Want to know why neither I, nor any meteorologist I know, assign any legitimacy to the Farmer's Almanac weather predictions? Whatever it predicted in December, the opposite occurred....
As the year, and the decade* have drawn to a close, many are looking back at the stand-out stories that have captured our attention. Instead, I've chosen to look ahead. But regardless of which side of the (political) fence you're on, take my little futuristic journey with a grain of salt. The various projections and assumptions are drawn from a variety of sources and are quite controversial, to say the least. Flash forward to December 2076, America's tercentennial (sometimes called tricentennial) year.
We have a ways to go, but this winter is fast becoming our second rather chilly one in a row. Our January thaw was frustratingly brief, and it may be at least a week or two until our next chance at 50, with some days struggling to reach 40. Will there be any snow to show for our cold?
On our new weather page launched last month, you can now get international forecasts for hundreds of city, country combinations around the world.
The weather is about as uneventful as it gets in early January. Skies are mostly clear, winds are light and high temperatures, in the low-to-mid 40s are just about average. That's the story through tomorrow as we await the chance of a little light snow to close out this otherwise pedestrian week weatherwise.
It's looking increasingly like that at least the first half of January temperatures will average below normal and the 8-14 day forecast suggests that precipitation will be normal to a little below normal. The models continue to hint that there could be a minor snow threat Friday from a clipper and maybe a more significant threat early next week.
A satellite video of the coast-to-coast evolution of the December 26, 2010 Boxing Day Blizzard that produced more than a foot of snow in coastal areas from Virginia Beach to eastern Maine.
No matter how you crunch the data, 2010 is certain to go down in history as one of the warmest - if not the warmest - years since the beginning of instrumental records in the late 19th century. This is despite the recent cold and snowy weather in much of the U.S. and across Europe. All three widely cited surface temperature datasets show that 2010 will most likely rank near the very top of the list - a remarkable feat considering that two factors that tend to cause cooler-than-average conditions were present for all or part of the year - a La Nina event and a "quiet" sun.
Fairly quiet weather continues over the next few days as a modified Canadian air mass moves through. While seasonally cold, we should do the best we can to enjoy it as a chance of snow showers comes Friday followed by colder weather and annoying winds this weekend.
As the investigation continues as to the cause of the sudden death of up to 5,000 blackbirds that rained from the central Arkansas skies, fingers are starting to point at the weather.
Our first work day of 2011 brought plenty of sunshine but also the return of below average temperatures. We're looking at a short warm-up for Tuesday before seasonable, or slightly below normal, temperatures return for the rest of the week. No weather worries for now, though!
While most of our New Year's Day was cloudy and damp, the photos in this post show that at least we had a clear, bright sunrise to kick off the New Year in Washington.
Clearly, the record snow and heat emerge as the top 2010 weather stories locally. Was the snow or the heat more remarkable, memorable, and impactful? Vote in a poll.
2010 was a year for the record books in Washington and the surrounding region. The year kicked off with big snow, then months of big heat, before a sometimes stormy fall and cold December.
It's a New Year and a new month, but the cold, relatively dry pattern that characterized December persists. High temperatures through late in the work week are in the chilly 40s before an Arctic front drops us down into the 30s for the weekend. During the transition, we could see some snow and/or rain showers late Thursday into Friday.
While the gray skies and maybe a few showers not thrill you today, conditions improve as we head into the work week, as dry weather and cooler but seasonable temperatures make for a fairly pleasant start to the new year.