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Posted at 9:30 AM ET, 01/ 8/2011

Forecast: Snow ends. More Tuesday?

By Ian Livingston

posted at 5:00 a.m., updated at 7:00 a.m. & 9:30 a.m.

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 

Cold and increasingly windy. But any snow is welcome for a snow lover!
 
Get the 'Digit' on Twitter

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Morning snow showers. Mostly cloudy. Near 30 to mid-30s. | Tonight: Clearing skies, breezy. Teens to low 20s. | Tomorrow: Partly cloudy, breezy. Near 30 to mid-30s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

If you're among the snow-starved snow lovers in this post 2009-10 world, the morning snow might be a treat. Snow should wind down earlier in the day the farther west you go, ending mid-to-late morning in the east. Whitened ground, and then some, is a good bet for the entire area. After the snow, it's cold and breezy as we await the next chance of flakes Tuesday.

Snow Potential Index: 6 (↑) - Some folks across the area could get about 1" today, maybe more northeast. The Tuesday snow threat is looking solid as well..

 
The SPI is a daily assessment of snow potential for the next week on a 0-10 scale. Get the 'SPI' on Twitter
 

Today (Saturday): A few snow showers overnight dusted the ground, and a band of intense snow moving across the area between 7 a.m. and 9 a.m. seals the deal. Those who get into snow should receive at least a dusting, but more like .5-1" from D.C. and southwest and the possibility of a bit more to the northeast. After the snow, it's variably cloudy with steady temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s. Winds start to whip late, and gusts near 30 mph are possible. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: Clouds of early deteriorate as the night wears on. But, winds that kicked up during the day continue and help make it a really cold night. Actual temperatures dipping to the teens in the suburbs and lower 20s downtown may feel more like single digits at times thanks to winds still gusting to near 25 mph. Confidence: Medium

What about Tuesday's snow risk? Keep on reading!

Tomorrow (Sunday): Sunshine returns on Sunday, probably partly-to-mostly sunny during the day. We don't get much relief on the temperature side, with highs in the low-to-mid 30s. Winds stay up, with more gusts to near 30 mph possible, but they should diminish heading into the night. Confidence: High

Tomorrow Night: It's mostly clear but still quite chilly. Winds are in winding down mode, though lows again falling to the upper teens and lower 20s are quite cold even without the extra chill. Confidence: High

A LOOK AHEAD

Monday is looking sunny to start with some clouds working in as the day progresses. These clouds are associated with the potential snow maker for Tuesday. It's a little warmer and winds are lighter, but it's still cold as highs reach the mid-to-upper 30s. Light snow could approach the area overnight into Tuesday morning. Confidence: Medium

Tuesday is still up in the air, but the odds of at least a little snow (50-60%) are decent for this range. It's not currently looking like a major snowstorm, and there is still a risk (shrinking) the storm misses us. But the best guess is some snow falling, with accumulation potential of a few inches. Highs should be near freezing. Confidence: Low-Medium

By Ian Livingston  | January 8, 2011; 9:30 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Winter weather advisory N and E of D.C.
Next: Snow ends, drops quick half inch or so

Comments

Flurries with a dusting on the deck in Laytonsville, MD. Very small flakes, but an awful lot of them.

Posted by: dprats21 | January 8, 2011 5:30 AM | Report abuse

Light snow south of Alexandria!!

Posted by: jaybird926 | January 8, 2011 5:42 AM | Report abuse

Snowing moderately SW of Front Royal, but it looks like a quick hit on radar. It is an interesting mix of very tiny flakes all the way up to big globs.

Posted by: eric654 | January 8, 2011 5:48 AM | Report abuse

No snow in southern Silver Spring.

Posted by: Murre | January 8, 2011 5:54 AM | Report abuse

About 1" in Centreville, MD (Eastern Shore)at 6:30 a.m....Still coming down moderately....

Posted by: boboz | January 8, 2011 6:31 AM | Report abuse

This band moving in looks like it means business. Quick hitting but it's going to drop some fast accumulation .5-1" in 30 min?

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | January 8, 2011 7:01 AM | Report abuse

Just began in South Riding (SE Loudoun) as heavy showers. On the radar, the band sure doesn't look that wide!

Posted by: BoaterVA | January 8, 2011 7:05 AM | Report abuse

Dusting of snow overnight in Lake Ridge. Band of snow closing in on central Prince William.

Posted by: ZmanVA | January 8, 2011 7:14 AM | Report abuse

Yep, that band just came through Leesburg in the last hour. Moderate to, at times, heavy snow but the serious stuff only lasted 15-20 minutes. I'd estimate we have 0.75"

Posted by: AsymptoticUnlimited | January 8, 2011 7:14 AM | Report abuse

Have some snow coming down at a good clip in Oakton.

Posted by: paige_va | January 8, 2011 7:22 AM | Report abuse

Line is really flying! Already on D.C.'s doorstep. Let us know how much you pick up.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | January 8, 2011 7:26 AM | Report abuse

Snow band has arrived in Lake Ridge.

Posted by: ZmanVA | January 8, 2011 7:31 AM | Report abuse

This is pretty cool to watch. Like a thunderstorm squall line...

Posted by: Jason-CapitalWeatherGang | January 8, 2011 7:32 AM | Report abuse

That is some band...

Posted by: bdeco | January 8, 2011 7:33 AM | Report abuse

Very nice snowfall in the City of Manassas. It's coming down pretty hard with everything having a nice white covering. Estimate about a .25 to .5 inch.

Posted by: jbernard703 | January 8, 2011 7:36 AM | Report abuse

The band is now starting in Tenleytown...

Posted by: Langway4Eva | January 8, 2011 7:39 AM | Report abuse

Snow started here in Cleveland Park.. short walk time! ;)

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | January 8, 2011 7:41 AM | Report abuse

Moderate to heavy snow now in Laytonsville. Roads still fine, just a little snow sticking on the shoulders.

Posted by: dprats21 | January 8, 2011 7:43 AM | Report abuse

First band arrived just before 5 a.m. Second batch was winding down between 7 a.m. and now. We got a scant .25 inch, but it's beautiful nonetheless!

Posted by: weathergrrl | January 8, 2011 7:45 AM | Report abuse

Just woke up... here in Sterling, a strong band just passed through and left us with about 0.75" to 1". I guess this is it???

I'm gonna go check out the latest models... If I see something interesting, I'll post it here.

Posted by: BobMiller2 | January 8, 2011 7:45 AM | Report abuse

It just started snowing lightly in Silver Spring.

Posted by: Murre | January 8, 2011 7:46 AM | Report abuse

Woke up to a lovely dusting here in Annandale but, alas, nothing falling now except me, having checked the forecast, back to sleep...

Posted by: jhbyer | January 8, 2011 7:47 AM | Report abuse

Light to moderate snow here in Montgomery Village. It's sticking but cars on the roads still seem to be up to speed.

Any word on the timing of the potential Tuesday storm start/end?

Posted by: soleil2000 | January 8, 2011 7:49 AM | Report abuse

Merrifield VA is getting POUNDED! Lots of small flakes coming down fast! I woke up at 7:00am, it was clear, bare and dry....had one cup of tea, looked out the window and we've already got a dusting sticking to everything. Call it a quarter inch, I'm not going out to measure until after another cup of tea.

Posted by: --sg | January 8, 2011 7:50 AM | Report abuse

Snow is decent, but not intense in Tenleytown. Definitely not an inch per hour rate.

Posted by: Langway4Eva | January 8, 2011 7:50 AM | Report abuse

Snow is decent, but not intense in Tenleytown. Definitely not an inch per hour rate.

Posted by: Langway4Eva | January 8, 2011 7:50 AM | Report abuse

Centreville VA What a beautiful morning.
We have about a tenth of an inch here, no wind (yay!) with a few very widely scattered flakes still coming down.
This is broom snow. The new snow shovel continues to gather dust.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | January 8, 2011 7:52 AM | Report abuse

This band hit Falls Church about 7:30. Big flakes at a steady rate but only sticking to the grass. Our streets were treated heavily in the Thur overnight hours for the snow that never arrived yesterday. I suspect the chemicals are doing the work now. Snow = cinnamon rolls...time to get baking

Posted by: tbva | January 8, 2011 7:54 AM | Report abuse

Oops - Annandale again. While I was posting it started snowing!!

Posted by: jhbyer | January 8, 2011 7:55 AM | Report abuse

Snow looks heaviest south and west of DC, not north and east. Snowing moderately now in Stafford.

Posted by: david_in_stafford | January 8, 2011 8:00 AM | Report abuse

Snow started at 6:45 in Rockville. Been falling steadily since, at times moderately. Just measured a little over one inch. Starting to taper off as I type this.

Posted by: Rkvinthehizzy | January 8, 2011 8:03 AM | Report abuse

This band hit Falls Church about 7:30. Big flakes at a steady rate but only sticking to the grass. Our streets were treated heavily in the Thur overnight hours for the snow that never arrived yesterday. I suspect the chemicals are doing the work now. Snow = cinnamon rolls...time to get baking
Posted by: tbva | January 8, 2011 7:54 AM | Report abuse
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
tbva,

Don't worry - - it should start sticking to the roads better soon. Here in Sterling, our street is completely snow covered.

The cinnamon rolls part sounds good too... I think I'm gonna go make some right now!

Posted by: BobMiller2 | January 8, 2011 8:05 AM | Report abuse

About a quarter inch in Vienna. Snow has almost stopped, but was moderate-to-heavy from 7:30 - 7:55.

Posted by: HenryFPotter | January 8, 2011 8:06 AM | Report abuse

I guess there won't be any more bands, despite the travelers' advisory remaining up until 1 p.m.?

Posted by: HenryFPotter | January 8, 2011 8:08 AM | Report abuse

fun big flakes falling in clarendon

Posted by: novajeffc | January 8, 2011 8:11 AM | Report abuse

Snow just ended in Laytonsville. Dusting with clear, wet roads. On with the day.

Posted by: dprats21 | January 8, 2011 8:12 AM | Report abuse

I woke up at 6:30 in McLean to no snow. Grumbled, went back to sleep. Woke back up at 8 and snow was coming down fast. Leaped out of bed, pressed my nose to the window and did a little happy dance. Fifteen minutes later and it's stopped snowing. Time to move on with my day.

Posted by: HokieTerp | January 8, 2011 8:15 AM | Report abuse

WWA is a joke...

Posted by: bbirnbau | January 8, 2011 8:17 AM | Report abuse

Snowing heavily here now. More than an inch on the ground.

Posted by: david_in_stafford | January 8, 2011 8:22 AM | Report abuse

All over now in Tenleytown. We good a good coating.

Posted by: Langway4Eva | January 8, 2011 8:23 AM | Report abuse

Now, my fellow snow lovers, we turn our attention to the Tuesday storm!

Posted by: BobMiller2 | January 8, 2011 8:28 AM | Report abuse

Here's a vid from my "front porch" at the end of the band.. about 1/2" here in Cleveland Park give or take.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | January 8, 2011 8:28 AM | Report abuse

Almost nothing here on the Western shore of the Bay. To call this a dusting would be an exaggeration. Hoping for more Tuesday.

Posted by: SubRosa2 | January 8, 2011 8:32 AM | Report abuse

Wow, what nice little snow storm we had.. LOL... I guess this is just a preview on what is to come on Tuesday??..... I've been hearing some or most of the model is an agreement today for Tuesday Storm, can we say we will have our First True Winter Storm on Tuesday... I've see a lot of Watches, Advisory, Warnings have been posted for the Rockies and deep South..... Anyone knows if the Model runs looks good for the snow lovers in this area??

Posted by: MNguyen6551 | January 8, 2011 8:36 AM | Report abuse

It's almost over here in southern Silver Spring. We had no more than about half an inch. The cup of hot chocolate has prevented me from going to measure it.

Posted by: Murre | January 8, 2011 8:40 AM | Report abuse

All over in Annandale, too. The fat snowman has sung.

Posted by: jhbyer | January 8, 2011 8:45 AM | Report abuse

Just woke up and my after looking outside, my tag for this "event": Snowhat?

Barely enough to cover the ground in Glover Park, with blades of grass stick sticking up through the snow.

Maybe it'll be a different tune on Tuesday.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | January 8, 2011 8:48 AM | Report abuse

MNguyen6551, right now, as per usual for this winter, the models are in disagreement. The latest Euro and the runs of the Canadian up to this point have given us a solid storm, but the gfs is still not really giving us more than 2 or 3 inches or so. I wouldn't get your hopes up for a "winter storm" per say, but it could definitely be our first significant snowfall of the year. I'd say right now it looks like a 2-4 inch storm, but I'm sure the gang will give a great analysis today to verify the probabilities on what should happen.

Posted by: bbirnbau | January 8, 2011 8:50 AM | Report abuse

Snowing like crazy at the 301 Bridge for the past 15 minutes. And some nice big flakes for a change.

Posted by: waterfrontproperty | January 8, 2011 8:50 AM | Report abuse

Thanks for video Ian. Great for those of us who were still under warm covers while the blizzard raged outside.
And thank U gang for very accurate morning forecast.
Too soon think about Tuesday.
Will not think about Tuesday.
Please post an update soon about Tuesday.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | January 8, 2011 8:54 AM | Report abuse

Looks like us up north got shafted this time. Not but another dusting, anything measurable down metro way?

Posted by: Brian-CapitalWeatherGang | January 8, 2011 8:55 AM | Report abuse

Still snowing-- 15mins ago we saw fat flakes. Now it is just snowdrizzling. Covered a lot of grass, tops of cars, fences. Roads are too warm for anything to stick on. I would say there is at least half an inch of accumulation in Trinidad, NE DC.

Posted by: SanDieganLostinDC | January 8, 2011 8:55 AM | Report abuse

That snow-band really rocked it here in North Stafford. Looked outside earlier this morning, just a bit of dust on the ground. I looked again ~20-30 minutes later and everything was white and covered with about an inch of snow. I'm ready for some more. Bring it!

Posted by: SpeedLimit186000 | January 8, 2011 8:58 AM | Report abuse

It was a "snow-n-run" this morning. I was awake at 7:20 (no snow) and laid back down for 20 minutes. When I got up at 7:40, there was a nice white covering on the ground. Kinda cool.

Loved your tweet, CWG!

Posted by: kygurl94 | January 8, 2011 9:00 AM | Report abuse

@Firedragon, no question Ian has a knack with the camera. But we need some serious snow to shoot. Snowfail (Dec 26), today's Snowhat?... Hoping Tuesday is Snowlotto!

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | January 8, 2011 9:03 AM | Report abuse

We have about half an inch in the Fort Hunt area, with big fat flakes still falling.

Posted by: littles1 | January 8, 2011 9:03 AM | Report abuse

The euro is looking pretty good but the GFS still isn't on board.

CWG: Can we expect an analysis of the Tuesday storm to be posted later today? If you could do that, I know that my fellow snow lovers and I would be very happy! :)

Posted by: BobMiller2 | January 8, 2011 9:15 AM | Report abuse

The coating that fell here in Brambleton this morning is now beginning to melt. It was a nice treat to wake up to though!

Posted by: bodyiq | January 8, 2011 9:16 AM | Report abuse

Moderate snow started here in Waldorf around 8:50. Big fat flakes quickly covered grass and cars. Looks to be winding down now.

Posted by: luvhh | January 8, 2011 9:17 AM | Report abuse

Moderate snow started here in Waldorf around 8:50. Big fat flakes quickly covered grass and cars. Looks to be winding down now.

Posted by: luvhh | January 8, 2011 9:17 AM | Report abuse

It has been snowing like crazy here in Charles County, MD, since I got up at 8:15. There is easily an inch on the ground, probably more. Since I hate snow, it figures I would be the one place that is getting hammered. I'm afraid to drive in it, so I'll probably be stuck inside for a while. Wish I could send it over to all the people in DC who actually like this stuff.

Posted by: js2225 | January 8, 2011 9:19 AM | Report abuse

This is a very beautiful morning! Nice coating of snow in Reston, VA. Thank goodness for that snowband...otherwise it would've been yet another disappointing one. Nice call, though, Jason and gang...you guys nailed this one!

Ian - in the SPI we say the snow looks 'solid' for Tuesday, then in the Tuesday forecast you say it's 'up in the air.' Either you have a different definition for 'solid' than I or is the forecast actually a bit higher than 50%?

Posted by: parksndc | January 8, 2011 9:20 AM | Report abuse

Still snowing hard at 301 Bridge, but it's the little tiny flakes now. Phooey!

Posted by: waterfrontproperty | January 8, 2011 9:22 AM | Report abuse

NBC4 Meteorologist (Chuck Bell), says "If you have plans on Tuesday ,you may need a back up plan around here or at least a Plan B", he did stated the Tuesday storm will significant, but way too early for numbers...... I'm kind of glad they are not talking about numbers because of the last storm where there were a huge sharp cut off in precip. and it happened close to the Baltimore/DC Area... I wonder if this storm will be the same of a sharp cut off in precip, or this time everyone will get something??

Posted by: MNguyen6551 | January 8, 2011 9:29 AM | Report abuse

Woke up to 1 3/8ths (1.375) inches of accumulation in the Blue Ridge east of Front Royal.

Posted by: spgass1 | January 8, 2011 9:34 AM | Report abuse

Very little in Old Town Alexandria. Main streets are all dry and clear, up in Beverly Hills/Parkfairfax area some of the streets do have some minor snow on them. Hope that this stuff doesn't freeze overnight, and that the network crazies don't trumpet Tuesdays snow chances till at least Sunday night so I can do my weekly grocery shopping in peace!

Posted by: concepcion611 | January 8, 2011 9:37 AM | Report abuse

Yes! Woke up to snow! Less than an inch for sure... I'm going to need to buy a ruler today (living across the street from a shopping mall has it's advantages on a day like this...)
One odd thing - there's snow on the sidewalk - which was salted mercilessly around Christmas - yet the patio, which was buried in leaves until management cleaned it up this week, has already already melted it. Was it the leaves and they left something...?

Posted by: MKoehl | January 8, 2011 9:41 AM | Report abuse

A pretty organized Low looks like it will be setting up in the Ohio valley just as the costal gets moving. Dry slot between them?

Posted by: AndrewRockville | January 8, 2011 9:41 AM | Report abuse

All done... maybe half an inch... still waiting for the first decent snow for the puppy to play in.

Posted by: waterfrontproperty | January 8, 2011 9:44 AM | Report abuse

We had just over an inch of fuffy snow up here in Frederick. Back roads were very icy..car had a fight with a fire hydrant, and the fire hydrant won! ;-) looking forward to tuesday :-)

Posted by: rudy1481 | January 8, 2011 9:51 AM | Report abuse

After this a.m.'s snow hor d'oeuvre, maybe we will get the main course on Tuesday? Puppies have snow to play in, folks can telecommute, 100 posts an hour on CWG.

Or will be more snow starvation? NAM and the GFS are both indicating precip on Tuesday. But as others are noting, the question is how much? Still doesn't look tingly.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | January 8, 2011 9:59 AM | Report abuse

Chime with the previous poster about snow in Frederick.
I passed a few accidents on 270 both directions on my way to work.

Posted by: eabgarnet | January 8, 2011 10:01 AM | Report abuse

Bob Ryan said late last night that Tuesday storm was very "iffy" right now. Didn't sound confident at all. He and Doug Hill are generally the best, imo. Like Sue Palka as well.

Posted by: ThinkSpring | January 8, 2011 10:11 AM | Report abuse

The NAM is running one storm up toward Ohio with a little better coastal low near Norfolk for Tuesday.

Nothing spectacular, but better than the previous runs.

As of now if looks like a 3-5 inch event, but still some potential for more.

Posted by: frontieradjust | January 8, 2011 10:21 AM | Report abuse

Got to use the horsehair brush I keep in the car to sweep off the snow. Nice to have the roads all to myself this morning! Hopeful for a larger event on Tuesday.

Posted by: maymay1 | January 8, 2011 10:47 AM | Report abuse

It seems that the models do not seem to want to amplify the upper system very much for the Tuesday event and have if anything regressed back to a flatter solution. So as of now, the Tuesday event looks more like a minor event than a major event.

Posted by: frontieradjust | January 8, 2011 11:57 AM | Report abuse

Accuweather has a snow map and has us in the 6+ inches area. I for one am not buying it.

http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/meteomadness/story/44126/snow-map-for-the-storm-sunday-to-tuesday.asp

Posted by: KRUZ | January 8, 2011 12:45 PM | Report abuse

got about 1/4" in NW Spotsy, now about 3" for the winter.

Posted by: VaTechBob | January 8, 2011 12:51 PM | Report abuse

Dessert-topping snow.

Posted by: ennepe68 | January 8, 2011 1:37 PM | Report abuse

@KRUZ,

If you look at that AccuWeather map, the shades on the actual map don't even match the legend, except the "ice" color. So, if you examine it, it looks like they have the ice area, then the lighter shade of blue is supposed to be the 1-3" area and the darker shade of blue is the 3-6" area, in which the DC area would be included. At least, that's my interpretation, which is more in line with what others are saying. If your interpretation is correct, then that means that nowhere in the country on Tuesday will there be 1-3 inches of snow accumulation, which seems a bit far fetched. I think Accuweather needs a new graphic artist. Maybe it's my monitor. (No, I don't work or shill for AccuWeather. Just saying.)

Posted by: putdepuckindenet | January 8, 2011 1:47 PM | Report abuse

putdepuckindenet,
actually i believe KRUZ is right. the 1-3 area includes buffalo and louisville. i't's kind of hard to see because the light light blue is almost white. dc is just barely in the dark blue (6+) area.

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | January 8, 2011 3:28 PM | Report abuse

Walter,

Yes, now that you pointed out some specific locations, I do see that light light blue area. Either I didn't see that line before, or they updated the map--probably the former. I still don't think the legend's shades match what's on the map, but I agree--they have us down for 6+ inches.

Posted by: putdepuckindenet | January 9, 2011 12:46 AM | Report abuse

I'd say we got a half inch, tops, in Bethesda, and it's already gone from all paved surfaces. Looks pretty on our frozen pond though.

Posted by: angelicat | January 9, 2011 1:00 AM | Report abuse

putdepuckindenet,
indeed the legend's colors do not match the map's. but there are three shades of blue - and dc is at the very edge of the darkest! woohoo! i don't believe these guys, but i sure enjoy seeing a 6+ prediction for dc.

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | January 9, 2011 7:50 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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