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Posted at 3:40 PM ET, 01/14/2011

PM Update: More cold, remaining mostly dry

By Jason Samenow

A few flurries late Saturday?

The cold, dry weather pattern is becoming a bit of a broken record, although we do have a shot at some precipitation in the extended range. Highs reached the mid-to-upper 30s today under mostly sunny skies after a "surprise" morning dusting of snow in the western suburbs. Chilly weather continues tomorrow with a chance of some conversational snow flurries late in the day.

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map powered by iMapWeather (base map by Google). Click and hold on map to pan. Double-click to zoom. Refresh page to update. See larger map on our Weather Wall.

Through Tonight: Last night we dropped from the teens in the suburbs to the low-to-mid 20s downtown and we do it again tonight. Clear skies early on become partly cloudy late at night.

Tomorrow (Saturday): For most of the day, we'll have a mix of clouds and sun. Light winds from the south help temperatures near or just barely cross the 40 degree threshold for highs. Late in the afternoon and toward evening, a cold front approaches which increases clouds and could bring a few snow flurries, mainly in the north and west suburbs. No accumulation expected.

See Camden Walker's forecast through the weekend. And if you haven't already, join us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.

It could happen tomorrow...: The U.S. Geological Survey announced they have developed a scenario for planning purposes in which a storm dumps 10 feet of rain and results in more than $300 billion in damage in California. The ARkstorm scenario, according to USGS "combines prehistoric geologic flood history in California with modern flood mapping and climate-change projections to produce a hypothetical, but plausible, scenario aimed at preparing the emergency response community for this type of hazard."

By Jason Samenow  | January 14, 2011; 3:40 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Rivaling reasons for world's extreme weather

Comments

Still hoping that the storm on Tues. is all snow.

But hey, February is coming up and many of our biggest blizzards have occurred during that month!

But, then again, maybe this just isn't our year.

Posted by: BobMiller2 | January 14, 2011 3:59 PM | Report abuse

A more specific and immediate simulation was performed just one year before Hurricane Katrina. Unfortunately, it's likely the recommendations for preparedness in this report will lead to nothing, just as the warnings and recommendations for a possible direct hit by a major hurricane on New Orleans were essentially ignored.

Posted by: SteveT-CapitalWeatherGang | January 14, 2011 4:16 PM | Report abuse

The floods in Australia and Brazil are both examples of how excessive rainfall can wreak havoc, with enormous economic consequences.

But how many people will move from California because of the USGS survey? Probably the same number of folks that abandon Anaheim because of fear of a major quake

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | January 14, 2011 4:25 PM | Report abuse

I am still sticking with my prediction that DC will see at least one 6"+ snowstorm this year. Hopefully the track of these storms shifts closer to us.

BTW, why is it that the snow jackpot for all of the "storms" this winter has been along the coast? During the blizzards of '96, '03, '10 and many others, the jackpot was areas west of DC.

Posted by: BobMiller2 | January 14, 2011 5:32 PM | Report abuse

Maybe tonight we'll get another overnight atmospheric hiccup & wake up with a 2nd dusting. Such things are useless but briefly pretty.
I got 4 seed catalogs in the mail today. Life is good....TGIF

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | January 14, 2011 6:14 PM | Report abuse

according to this,

http://www.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=lwx

select
1)product: daily/monthly normals
2)location: washington area
3)variable: snowfall

then hit "view"

the day on which snow is most likely to fall is january 24. also, january averages 6.2", feb 5.2", march 1.6", dec 1.5".

for some reason, this data only covers 1971-2000. last year probably skewed all this data. anybody have info from a larger data set? or something thast includes 2000-2010?

anyway...my larger point is that we are just now entering prime snow time.

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | January 14, 2011 6:22 PM | Report abuse

Walter - we're in the middle of winter now; the belly of the beast.
Keep the flake faith. It'll happen.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | January 14, 2011 6:43 PM | Report abuse

For anyone here who doesn't like snow, even the people who cry themselves to sleep at night at the thought of getting a blizzard, I don't understand why you hate snow so much. I can think of 5 reasons why anyone could be a snowlover:

1. Snow is beautiful.
2. Snow gives you an excuse not to show up for work.
3. You and your spouse can have some alone time while the kids are out sledding.
4. It makes for great photo opportunities.
5. You get to enjoy the photos of Walter's snow sculptures!

Those are only five, and if I thought about it some more, I bet you I could come up with ten, heck, maybe even twenty!

Posted by: BobMiller2 | January 14, 2011 7:53 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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