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Posted at 8:30 PM ET, 02/21/2011

Evening mix turns to snow overnight

By Ian Livingston and Dan Stillman

Snow around and after midnight could be heavy

8:30 p.m. Update: Temperatures continue their slow descent into the low-and-mid 30s, with places north and west of D.C. falling to and below freezing. Precipitation remains mainly light and mixed rain/sleet/snow -- focused on the northern half of the area. However, snow is now becoming predominant in places near a Frederick to Baltimore, Md. line, and the snow line is sagging south.

Areas of heavier precipitation moving into the region now are likely to help push the transition along as well as edge temperatures lower. Conditions will begin to deteriorate on area roads, especially north and west of D.C., over the next few hours.

For more details, keep reading and see our accumulation map, timeline, SchoolCast and FAQ.

Through Tonight: Showers continue to break out this afternoon and evening ahead of the storm as temperatures dip back toward freezing between about 7 p.m. and 11 p.m. from north to south. Way northwest of D.C., precipitation may start as predominantly sleet, but elsewhere it transitions from rain (maybe mixed with sleet) to sleet to snow through 10 p.m. or midnight -- quickest north, slowest south.

The period around and after midnight should feature the bulk of the snow, and some moderate-to-heavy snow is pretty likely. Look for the intensity and coverage of snow to wind down before or around sunrise. Accumulations as low as 1-2" well south of the city rise to as high as 6"+ north of town.

Tomorrow (Tuesday): The main thrust of snow should taper off within a few hours of sunrise, but some snow showers remain possible through the morning. Clouds want to break midday, revealing some afternoon sun. Highs, tempered by clouds and new snow on the ground, only reach the low-to-mid 30s. Winds should not be a major issue, but they'll be breezy from the north.

See Jason Samenow's forecast through the weekend. And if you haven't already, join us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.

Snow records: Tomorrow's daily snowfall records may be in jeopardy at some area locations. They are as follows: 4.5" at Washington (1894), 4.0" at Baltimore (1987), and 3.5" at Dulles (1986). Today's records are higher at D.C. and Baltimore, but if for some reason it snows hard enough before tomorrow starts, Dulles' record of 2.7" (1993) could be in play.

Keep reading for earlier updates...

7 p.m. Update: Metro area temperatures are now mainly in the mid-to-upper 30s. Occasional rain mixed with sleet continues over the next couple hours, but any precipitation should be mostly light and with little impact during that time, except maybe northern Loudoun County, northern Montgomery County and points north, where a heavier mix of rain/sleet/snow can be expected. In the immediate metro area, heavier precipitation probably holds off until after 9 p.m.

We still expect accumulating snow - on the order of 1-4" with less to the south and maybe more to the north - on top of a layer of sleet to make for a troubled commute in the morning with plenty of delays and probably closings.

5:15 p.m. Update: Temperatures are mostly steady in the mid-30s to near 40 as a new batch of rain probably mixed with sleet, out ahead of the main storm, moves through the area from west to east over the next hour or two. This is in the wake of an earlier batch of light rain and sleet that moved through around 3-5 p.m.

So far, with temperatures safely above freezing, the precipitation has done nothing more than wet the ground. That should remain the case until the larger area of precipitation develops later this evening, dropping temperatures closer to freezing and likely changing to mostly or all snow around or after midnight before ending by around or before sunrise.

3:30 p.m.: Cold air has been filtering back into the area much of the day, after early morning (pre sunrise in many spots) highs in the mid-40s to lower 50s. Temperatures now dropping through the lower 40s and upper 30s will continue to cool heading into evening, with spots north and west of D.C. approaching freezing quickest. Light sprinkles of earlier transition into more showers this evening, with the main slug of moisture now heading toward us from the Ohio Valley and West Virginia.

By Ian Livingston and Dan Stillman  | February 21, 2011; 8:30 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Sleet & snow to leave icy mess for AM commute

Comments

Could I be...first???!!!

Just kidding.... :)

I'm really getting excited for this storm. Let's go SNOW!!

Posted by: BobMiller2 | February 21, 2011 3:35 PM | Report abuse


Does anyone else notice how when there is snow in the forecast, these articles get about 60 comments. When the weather is nice out there's only like 10 comments. There will probably be 100 comments on this one by tonight. It just shows how snow is 10 times better than boring sunny weather.

Posted by: SNOWLUVER | February 21, 2011 3:43 PM | Report abuse

@SNOWLUVER

Or, it shows that when it is nice outside, people are actually outside enjoying the weather instead of inside glued to their computers. :-)

Posted by: HokieTerp | February 21, 2011 3:45 PM | Report abuse

I really want it to snow but I also REALLY want schools to be open tomorrow... I have a ton of work to do that most likely won't get accomplished with an elementary school aged kid around.

Posted by: qazwsxedcrfv | February 21, 2011 3:47 PM | Report abuse

It's not that sunny weather is boring per se, it's just snowy weather is rarer...adding to the novelty and excitement. God-forbid though we fail to thank the dear Lord every day he allows the sun to rise, snow, rain, or shine.

Posted by: kwojciec | February 21, 2011 3:51 PM | Report abuse

Sunny weather doesn't impact people's lives beyond whether or not to bring sunglasses.

Posted by: Terps98 | February 21, 2011 3:53 PM | Report abuse

can you imagine how boring a website like CWG would be if it were the "san diego weather gang"?

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 21, 2011 3:55 PM | Report abuse

I'll admit it: I want lots of snow to extend my 3 day weekend into 4.
However I anticipate sloughing off an inch or 2 of slush from my car in the morning & resuming business as usual.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | February 21, 2011 4:03 PM | Report abuse

HokieTerp , I think you'll find wintry weather more exciting if you glue yourself to your significant other instead of your computer!

Posted by: kolya02 | February 21, 2011 4:05 PM | Report abuse

Walter, did you see the movie, "LA Story?"

"The cats were out till around ten, but it got a little too cold for them and they came in! Well, that's how L.A. coped with that surprise low of 58 degrees..."

CWG, thanks for the great forecasting - and the NOT boring weather reports!


Posted by: holly6 | February 21, 2011 4:19 PM | Report abuse

Light sleet falling in Catonsville, MD.

Posted by: Peterb58 | February 21, 2011 4:20 PM | Report abuse

Bring on the snow!!!!!

Posted by: SnowDreamer | February 21, 2011 4:21 PM | Report abuse

Sleeting near Sandy Point State Park. Was a rain/sleet mix, but within the last 5 minutes it changed over to pure sleet. Everything is currently melting when it hits the ground.

Posted by: RandC | February 21, 2011 4:23 PM | Report abuse

When you have only one usable arm (as I do, courtesy of a stroke), and have to depend on other people to clear the path to your front door (as I do), the forecast of any significant amount of snow results in a certain amount of dread.

Fortunately, there are a couple strong, young(er) men in my cul-de-sac who have been doing yeoman duty this winter to clear the snow for those of us who are less capable.

Unfortunately, a subsequent thaw/freeze cycle can cause treacherous walking conditions even when they do an examplary job.

Posted by: rlguenther | February 21, 2011 4:26 PM | Report abuse

Rlguenther, it is nice to hear that people are willing to help. Sometimes adverse conditions can bring people together.

Posted by: SubRosa2 | February 21, 2011 4:29 PM | Report abuse

@kolya02

If only I could. He's in the Marine Corps and deployed right now. :-(

Posted by: HokieTerp | February 21, 2011 4:32 PM | Report abuse

Shouldn't there be a "how much snow will fall at DCA"? poll.

Or, maybe a quiz about how many CWG members will be pulling an all-nighter tonight?

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 21, 2011 4:38 PM | Report abuse

@kolya02

If only I could. He's in the Marine Corps and deployed right now. :-(

Posted by: HokieTerp | February 21, 2011 4:40 PM | Report abuse

New GFS looks "better" than the NAM for the area.

Posted by: Brian-CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 4:47 PM | Report abuse

@JerryFloyd1

Great idea. I just added a poll to this post!

Posted by: Jason-CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 4:48 PM | Report abuse

I'm not enthused by the mid-level temps though. Sleet-ish.

Posted by: Brian-CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 4:49 PM | Report abuse

CWG what do you think about the 18Z NAM Run? It brings less precip into our area.

Posted by: pseaby | February 21, 2011 4:50 PM | Report abuse

Here's hoping PWC won't end up in the snow hole. Would LOVE a few inches more in 22191 before Spring!

Posted by: lisajulia | February 21, 2011 4:55 PM | Report abuse

HokieTerp, now I understand your woe over this wintry weather. Please thank your SO for his service to our country! It's thanks to such men and women that we can all be proud to be Americans!

Posted by: kolya02 | February 21, 2011 5:05 PM | Report abuse

Observation for IAD Dulles. The 18Z GFS Initialized with a 2 meter temp of 41.36 while that actual temp was 39F. The predicted temp for 21z 4pm was 46F Actual temp 38. That’s a significant difference. I would imagine the temps are colder aloft then the models are predicting as well… this would lead me to believe a quicker transition to snow. . ?

Posted by: pseaby | February 21, 2011 5:06 PM | Report abuse

A nice gust of wind during the cold rain downtown in Metro Center totally obliterated what remained of my umbrella.

pseaby - the 18z NAM is only somewhat credible.. while we are looking at it, we aren't yet giving it enough credence to adjust our CWG accumulation forecasts.

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 5:08 PM | Report abuse

I was just about to ask about the NAM as well- that in conjunction with Brian's comments re: mid level temps....well, I was getting worried. A few hours ago I was hoping for a bump up of accumulations, thinking of the surface temps not being as high as earlier thought. Here in Alexandria, they are dropping, wlbeit very slowly. 42 to 39 since afternoon.

I will be looking forward to the latest update taking the GFS, NAM and mid level temps into account.

Posted by: Snowlover2 | February 21, 2011 5:12 PM | Report abuse

So just getting back into the area after a weekend out of town. But have an important rehearsal in College Park from 8-10pm tonight. How treacherous are things likely to be?

Posted by: electromd1 | February 21, 2011 5:12 PM | Report abuse

Anyone want to try a Dcps schoolcast? I'm betting dcps opens on time, with charters and private schools on two hour delay. Counties will be closed for sure.

Posted by: heatherdc1980 | February 21, 2011 5:15 PM | Report abuse

CWG,

i think its time to bump that 2 and a half apple up to 3. dc schools and southern counties should have 2 apples. but all other counties should be at 3 apples. no way there going to school tomorrow

Posted by: SNOWLUVER | February 21, 2011 5:17 PM | Report abuse

snow lovers, the 18Z gfs is cold and snowy and would give dc at least 4 inches and would jhave it snowing by 10PM. It's wetter and colder than the nam. A compromise between the two is pretty much our forecast. The differences in the models show how tricky this forecast is. We still like our current forecast.

Posted by: wjunker | February 21, 2011 5:18 PM | Report abuse

electromd1, temps should fall toward freezing during that time but with any luck the brunt holds off till after. I'd try not to drag too far past 10.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 5:19 PM | Report abuse

@Camden

You need a windbrella! Google it.

Posted by: rwalker66 | February 21, 2011 5:21 PM | Report abuse

@ SNOWLUVER!!

Your so right.. No one comments on bright sunny weather..

Posted by: BELLASNOWQUEEN | February 21, 2011 5:27 PM | Report abuse

@BELLASNOWQUEEN

OUR SNOWHOPE WORKED!!!

********

Posted by: SNOWLUVER | February 21, 2011 5:30 PM | Report abuse

Just in time. The rest of the snow from the last storm (piled at the end of the driveway) melted away only three days ago.

Posted by: beetsnotbeats | February 21, 2011 5:36 PM | Report abuse

I still cannot get over this area! 2" of snow and schools shut down and half of the offices close. I was at the grocery store today and was suprised people were not clearing out the water and toilet paper thinking they will not be able to leave their home for a week. If all of the soccer moms with their giant 4x4 SUV's knew how to actullay drive them it wouldn't take me an hour to go 8 miles to work. VDOT puts down salt so just go slower and stop slamming on your brakes all the way down 395. People here need to all move north for one winter season so they can come back with a little understanding of what snowfall and bad roads actually are like.

Posted by: edpeters1982 | February 21, 2011 5:36 PM | Report abuse

Seriously, guys. When are you going to get an app?

Posted by: lica2000 | February 21, 2011 5:39 PM | Report abuse

I went to college in Montreal Canada in the late 1980s, I do not remember missing a day of class.

Posted by: ADmom | February 21, 2011 5:50 PM | Report abuse

lica2000 - I wish I could tell you "tomorrow"

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 5:50 PM | Report abuse

@edpeters1982

you said, "People here need to all move north for one winter season so they can come back with a little understanding of what snowfall and bad roads actually are like."

Well, in case you've forgotten, last year we had Snowpocalypse, Snowmageddon, and then Snoverkill. I think we all are well aware of what major snowfall and bad roads are like, thank you very much.

Posted by: BobMiller2 | February 21, 2011 5:51 PM | Report abuse

Any thoughts on putting out a zone map or did I miss it?

Posted by: worldtraveler83 | February 21, 2011 5:52 PM | Report abuse

MISSED IT

Posted by: benzachr | February 21, 2011 5:58 PM | Report abuse

Can we get a school cast? I love CWG. Thank you.

Posted by: LGB31 | February 21, 2011 6:03 PM | Report abuse

Threat for intense snowfall bands later tonight:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0118.html

Posted by: Brian-CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 6:07 PM | Report abuse

On the walk home in College Park at 5:45, the precipitation was somewhere between sleet and drizzle. I think CWG calls this freezing rain (in fact Wes described how it's different from sleet quite well), but I prefer the term frizzle. Fo' shizzle!

Posted by: kolya02 | February 21, 2011 6:14 PM | Report abuse

Is this going to be 'PEPCO problem' snow? Man, I'd really hate losing power again. The older I get, the more I am disliking winter.

Posted by: authorofpoetry | February 21, 2011 6:15 PM | Report abuse

Now down to 37.8 in Glover Park, a nice steady drop since mid-afternoon.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 21, 2011 6:17 PM | Report abuse

I was in Richmond earlier today. Was 75F. What a change!!

(not a good one either)

Posted by: bastings | February 21, 2011 6:18 PM | Report abuse

kolya02, CP represent! What do you think the chances are for a university delay or closure tomorrow?

Posted by: bigmikeyman92 | February 21, 2011 6:19 PM | Report abuse

College park holla! I think we'll most definitely be delayed. Closure might be tough, but I've seen us closed in similar conditions :)

Posted by: Terrapinsforever | February 21, 2011 6:25 PM | Report abuse

We (UMCP) had a closure earlier this semester... was it for commutageddon? I don't remember, I just know that it was either a Tuesday or Thursday, because that's what class I missed.

Posted by: megamuphen | February 21, 2011 6:28 PM | Report abuse

I'm sick of northerners coming in here and telling us we can't handle snow. They've had plenty of issues this year too. And, frankly it seems that half the people around here are from Pittsburgh and New York anyway so who's really causing the problem?

Posted by: NatsinFC | February 21, 2011 6:32 PM | Report abuse

UMD closed for both commutaggedon and another smaller storms--we've had a couple delayed openings, too =)

Posted by: Terrapinsforever | February 21, 2011 6:35 PM | Report abuse

@lica2000

We know we desperately need a mobile app(s). Hope to have developments on that later this year. -Dan, CWG

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 6:35 PM | Report abuse

@LGB31

SchoolCast info is in the previous post with the accumulation map, timeline and faq's. See prominent link below cwg logo near top of page, and also linked to after the 5:15 p.m. update. Or just go to the main cwg page and scroll down. -Dan, CWG

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 6:40 PM | Report abuse

Oh dang it. The SPC's intense snow band covers the Eastern Panhandle. Can't say we haven't been warned about it all day, though. NWS has been beating the drum continually. We're at 32 or sub and it's sleeting now.

Posted by: tinkerbelle | February 21, 2011 6:47 PM | Report abuse

This is not going 2 b a storm that closes every govt. org. or schools in the area. While some areas far N & W of DC might c a decent amout of snow, most of the area will c mostly 2-3" on nonroad areas. Some people think this is going 2 b a major event, but 4 most this will b a nice wet snow.
I love snow, but this isn't going 2 b some type of superstorm. Enjoy what falls, but don't b disappointed if u don't wake up 2 more than a few inches.

Posted by: VaTechBob | February 21, 2011 6:51 PM | Report abuse

So at this point what are the models showing? Appreciate the update and thanks for all the great work!

Posted by: ffxside | February 21, 2011 6:55 PM | Report abuse

ffxside, there has not been much of any change. Everything seems to be more or less on track thus far.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 6:59 PM | Report abuse

Models aside, it's 34 degrees in Reston right now and it feels much colder (twc says 'feels like 25')...I'm quite confident we start out with sleet/snow mix around 9pm and turn to snow within a few hours of that. Once again, sounds like the Gang's forecast is within ballpark of what will actually happen. Guess we'll see soon!

Posted by: parksndc | February 21, 2011 7:10 PM | Report abuse

For what its worth, the NWS had upped its totals for Fairfax to 3-5 inches at their 7 pm update when earlier they had us in the 2-4 inch range

Posted by: ffxside | February 21, 2011 7:17 PM | Report abuse

For what its worth, the NWS had upped its totals for Fairfax to 3-5 inches at their 7 pm update when earlier they had us in the 2-4 inch range

Posted by: ffxside | February 21, 2011 7:17 PM | Report abuse

ffxside - I'm in Reston. I've been watching the NWS accumulation forecast vs. the advisory all day. They have been changing us back and forth from 2-4 to 3-5 back to 2-4, back to 3-5. They did this same exact thing right before and during the last real snowstorm we had. I wouldn't buy into their accumulations too much...something seems to be wrong with their updates or they have one really freakin' nervous forecaster updating the total.

Posted by: parksndc | February 21, 2011 7:20 PM | Report abuse

@EdPeters1982

Yeah, I know, we're terrible in winter. Was it JFK that said, "DC is a town with northern charm and southern efficiency"? But in that vein, remember this is a place where everyone is from someplace else, and it only takes one or two to slow down traffic. So lighten up and go with it. Again, remember this is a political town: home is for those that lose.

Posted by: tws1372 | February 21, 2011 7:22 PM | Report abuse

@parksndc

Yeah they have not been exactly reliable this winter

Posted by: ffxside | February 21, 2011 7:22 PM | Report abuse

edpeters1982 - DO NOT move any further south of DC...you might start to literally pull out your hair. I’m from the north, but I’m over the ‘over’-reaction. It’s the result of the location you live in. I remember going to San Diego and on a windy, 68 degree and sunny day, I saw several people with winter coats on (I had short sleeves and kakis on, no coat). Its life man.

Posted by: parksndc | February 21, 2011 7:31 PM | Report abuse

29F with freezing drizzle in the mountains east of Front Royal

Posted by: spgass1 | February 21, 2011 7:32 PM | Report abuse

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winterstorm/

NWS continue to increase totals south. This shows 4 inches now for DC metro. One more push south and they will have to issue winter storm warning

Posted by: ajmupitt | February 21, 2011 7:32 PM | Report abuse

Freezing drizzle? Egads! That wasn't called for. It was supposed to go rain-sleet-snow and skip that dangerous freezing rain/freezing drizzle step.

Posted by: rwalker66 | February 21, 2011 7:34 PM | Report abuse

7:30 pm in SE Loudoun. Damp, misty, but nothing much of anything... yet. I remain hopeful.

Posted by: tws1372 | February 21, 2011 7:36 PM | Report abuse

All of the heavy precip in southern Ohio and NW WV will move into DC once cold air is already in place around midnight. That is when we may se snowfall rates at one inch per hour for 2-3 hrs.

Posted by: ajmupitt | February 21, 2011 7:38 PM | Report abuse

we've got steady sleet in east baltimore @ 33 degrees

Posted by: bachaney | February 21, 2011 7:51 PM | Report abuse

It's holding steady at 32 out here in New Balmer. Cold drizzle, no "frizzle" yet ( I love that word.

After it's all said and done with, when can we expect some melting ... hopefully by noon?

Posted by: weathergrrl | February 21, 2011 7:54 PM | Report abuse

Come baby come baby baby come come, you know you gotta gimme lovin and you gotta gimme some

Posted by: prickles1009 | February 21, 2011 8:01 PM | Report abuse

Pretty good downpour of some kind of frozen/freezing stuff here in Monrovia... there was a tiny bit earlier, but the current batch started about 10 minutes ago. Started with a heavier burst, now it slowed a bit. Can hear it clicking on the windows and deck.

Posted by: monroviawthr | February 21, 2011 8:03 PM | Report abuse

We have light rain-that-wants-to-be-sleet here in Falls Church right now. I really want to put away the scraper and dig out flip-flops.

Posted by: tbva | February 21, 2011 8:11 PM | Report abuse

34 degrees now in NW metro DC. Should be below freezin when heavy snow moves in around.

Posted by: ajmupitt | February 21, 2011 8:20 PM | Report abuse

Sleeting at a moderate rate in the Eastern Panhandle. The preliminaries are over, we're into it now. Already an awful mess out here.

Posted by: tinkerbelle | February 21, 2011 8:20 PM | Report abuse

The freezing drizzle/rain is mainly in areas that are not seeing heavier precip. With warm temps of recent it should mainly only be an issue on elevated surfaces.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 8:29 PM | Report abuse

hearing some light pings of sleet on the windowsill in Gaithersburg.

Posted by: flyersindc | February 21, 2011 8:29 PM | Report abuse

Alternating between rain and light sleet in Fulton / north Laurel. I'm not buying much accumulation. Radar projection on TWC shows most frozen precip passes to our north, Yet again enough to screw up the commute instead of closing things,

Posted by: biketraveller22 | February 21, 2011 8:30 PM | Report abuse

Very loudly sleeting in Leesburg.

Posted by: AsymptoticUnlimited | February 21, 2011 8:33 PM | Report abuse

@biketraveller22 Starting to think the same thing...looking at the radar, the movement of the precip doesn't look good. Looks like it will snow quite a while north of about I-70 before precip picks up here. Latest NWS graphic (issued 7pm) has DC in the 3-4" range. Sound about right CWG?? Or does an inch or two seem more likely?

Posted by: BH99 | February 21, 2011 8:38 PM | Report abuse

Dude. Guys. There is totally enough precip coming for accumulation.

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_lite_loop.php

Remember, it isn't supposed to really start accumulating yet, according to the forecast.

Posted by: megamuphen | February 21, 2011 8:42 PM | Report abuse

Sleet in Silver Spring, 33 degrees. C'mon snow - moving to Boston in May, tomorrow could be my last snow day as an adult!

Posted by: CuseFan07 | February 21, 2011 8:47 PM | Report abuse

it's now snow here in baltimore, and laying fast!

Posted by: bachaney | February 21, 2011 8:48 PM | Report abuse

Heavy pinging on windows in Olney. Going to be a mess tomorrow morning

Posted by: Aussie01 | February 21, 2011 8:51 PM | Report abuse

5 minutes of sleet just changed to ... rain in Silver Spring.

Posted by: Murre | February 21, 2011 8:52 PM | Report abuse

It's sleeting in the downtown historic district of Fredneck. I guess it's just grin and bear it. Looking forward to a fun commute......

Posted by: soyboy99 | February 21, 2011 8:53 PM | Report abuse

Sleeting in Reston starting around 8:45pm...right on time mr sleet.

Posted by: parksndc | February 21, 2011 8:53 PM | Report abuse

Just got back from NYC - traffic was amazingly light up there, and the vast majority of the way back, for the drive back from a three day weekend.
Caught snow in Philly at 6p when we stopped at Philip's for cheesesteaks (hey, it beats the turnpike rest stops!), which turned to sleet in Chester, then rain in Wilmington around 7. Then rain all the way thru MD, just turned back to sleet here in Silver Spring at about 8:45p.

Posted by: vtavgjoe | February 21, 2011 8:53 PM | Report abuse

Just got back from NYC - traffic was amazingly light up there, and the vast majority of the way back, for the drive back from a three day weekend.
Caught snow in Philly at 6p when we stopped at Philip's for cheesesteaks (hey, it beats the turnpike rest stops!), which turned to sleet in Chester, then rain in Wilmington around 7. Then rain all the way thru MD, just turned back to sleet here in Silver Spring at about 8:45p.

Posted by: vtavgjoe | February 21, 2011 8:54 PM | Report abuse

just back from the pub. does not smell like snow, so much, but definitely feeling sufficiently cold. Go Snow!

Posted by: kudzu13 | February 21, 2011 8:54 PM | Report abuse

Sleeting heavily in Sterling VA. Temp is currently 31 degrees. Looks like a significant layer of ice under the snow. Could be really messy.

Posted by: rudalee57 | February 21, 2011 8:54 PM | Report abuse

Frizzle tapping my windowsills here in Bethesda...hoping this storm gets downgraded so that I don't lose power. We just don't need this. Again.

Posted by: csaah | February 21, 2011 8:54 PM | Report abuse

Definitely sleeting in Potomac now, come on day off!

Posted by: mkbf26 | February 21, 2011 8:58 PM | Report abuse

Also - New York got around 3 inches in the city this morning, I was *floored* at what a non-event it was. Snow came between about 2-9am (not sure the exact timeline), and the streets and sidewalks were entirely clear by noon. No one had to be reminded to clear their sidewalks, they just do it.

Posted by: vtavgjoe | February 21, 2011 8:58 PM | Report abuse

Hi all -- my daughter doesn't like snow any more -- why, you may ask? Power outages. PEPCO is ruining a whole generation of snowbies.

Pinging sleet in Potomac, with very light glaze on the garbage cans. Expecting to shovel later tonght :(

Jamie Y (aka Weather Checker)

Posted by: JamieYPotomac | February 21, 2011 9:00 PM | Report abuse

megamuphen, yes you are right. Things are pretty much on track still. We were slated to be relatively close to the southern end so you never know quite how that will play out. This was never scheduled to be a long duration snow event.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 9:00 PM | Report abuse

41 in NW Spotsy. doubt I'll c much snow down here. Most of the frozen prec. will b N of DC area. This isn't going 2 b a big snow event 4 most of the immedidate DC area.

Posted by: VaTechBob | February 21, 2011 9:01 PM | Report abuse

NASTY in Leesburg right now- coating of freezing rain and sleet covered everything now.

Posted by: 4seamed | February 21, 2011 9:04 PM | Report abuse

NYC now up to 60.9 for the season, more than last year. C'mon at least bring us enough to crack the 12" mark here.

Posted by: JerryFloyd1 | February 21, 2011 9:04 PM | Report abuse

9:00 in SE Loudoun. Rain has changed to sleet, although the ground is still wet. I'm more hopeful, though; Megamuphen's link shows a lot of stuff coming in.

I'm no longer a skeptic, now I'm an agnostic.

Posted by: tws1372 | February 21, 2011 9:04 PM | Report abuse

Sleeting here in Howard County....near HoCo/MoCo line (shout out to biketraveller22...we are neighbors, I'm at 216 and 108). Thermometer on my outside window reads 31.

Posted by: kathyb39 | February 21, 2011 9:11 PM | Report abuse

Sleet getting smaller with very small snow mixed in @ Fulton / north Laurel. NWS downgraded us to 3-6. Foils my plans for a 2-sided snowpeople arm. In the front yard.

Posted by: biketraveller22 | February 21, 2011 9:13 PM | Report abuse

Precip has yet to get too exciting here in the College Park area, but like Megamuphen reminded us, the fun starts tonight. I was out at the stores and reminded yet again of how interesting Washingtonians are - the aisles and roads felt empty! Really not sure what makes us so strange- we can't stand our hot summers and can't handle these wimpy winters. The cause of this conundrum of course is that DC is not a state - until she becomes one we will open cooling shelters in summer and shutdown schools in winter.

Posted by: kolya02 | February 21, 2011 9:18 PM | Report abuse

Sleeting in Warren county with a good coating so far. Sleet might be bad for driving (doesn't melt as fast on warm roads), but it doesn't stick to trees and power lines. I'm hoping when it goes to snow the cold air will work in and make the snow less sticky. Right now the 4:30 commute is looking doubtful, but will get up at 4 regardless.

Posted by: eric654 | February 21, 2011 9:18 PM | Report abuse

Loud sleet just started falling in Dunn Loring / Tysons; it's coming down hard. Outdoor thermometer reads 35.

Posted by: kedzie | February 21, 2011 9:20 PM | Report abuse

Eric, we've got a coating of sleet up here as well. Maybe you should sleep in...

Posted by: spgass1 | February 21, 2011 9:21 PM | Report abuse

NASTY in Leesburg right now- coating of freezing rain and sleet covered everything now.

Posted by: 4seamed | February 21, 2011 9:21 PM | Report abuse

finally below freezing here in NW metro DC. Waiting for the heavy snow to move in

Posted by: ajmupitt | February 21, 2011 9:23 PM | Report abuse

how are arlingtons chances at school tomarow?

Posted by: live4soccer9 | February 21, 2011 9:23 PM | Report abuse

Do you think there is any chance that the warning will be put in to effect for Fairfax county or are we too far south here?

Posted by: MichaelaK | February 21, 2011 9:23 PM | Report abuse

Centreville VA Steady wintry mix of mostly sleet. Temp readings at 32.9 & 38.
Now is not the time to go out driving.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | February 21, 2011 9:27 PM | Report abuse

Sleet starting to stick to the road now in Leesburg. Dusting on all other surfaces.

Bring on da snowflakes!

Posted by: AsymptoticUnlimited | February 21, 2011 9:28 PM | Report abuse

Had a bit of light rain earlier here in northern Calvert. No precip at all now.

Posted by: SubRosa2 | February 21, 2011 9:32 PM | Report abuse

Was sleeting hard here in Fair Oaks. Don't hear the sleet anymore, just hear sirens. Get off the roads if you are reading this. Wait, you shouldn't be reading this if you are driving. Put your phone down right now. Put it down. Good.

Posted by: rwalker66 | February 21, 2011 9:35 PM | Report abuse

@MichaelaK

Don't expect the warning to be extended into Fairfax county.

@live4soccer9

Arlington schools sometimes are a little tougher to close than MoCo and Fairfax, but I think you've got a 50/50 chance.

TO ALL

We've got a new post up here

Posted by: Jason-CapitalWeatherGang | February 21, 2011 9:38 PM | Report abuse

Heavy sleet and snow here in NW DC with temps at 31

Posted by: ajmupitt | February 21, 2011 9:38 PM | Report abuse

9:35pm and it's snowing in Reston...already a light coating on the ground...yikes! Off to bed, no snow days for this guy.

Posted by: parksndc | February 21, 2011 9:40 PM | Report abuse

Question, when I look at the radar back into the Ohio and and WVA, it looks like the system is moving due east with the heaviest precip staying in PA. It looks like it breaks up some as it heads back into WVA. Could we be missing the worst of this?

Posted by: formerwxman1 | February 21, 2011 9:41 PM | Report abuse

surprised that Bob Miller has only commented twice on this post

Posted by: ilikesnow | February 21, 2011 9:43 PM | Report abuse

And now it appears to be snowing (?) little tiny pellets. I never know what name to put on this kind of precipitation. At any rate, the car roofs and windshields are covered by a thin white layer.

Posted by: Murre | February 21, 2011 9:46 PM | Report abuse

Seeing some lightningsleet here in Falls Church (would call it thundersleet, but I haven't heard a rumble). This one really surprised me--I've gone into such a okay I'm ready for spring mode that I forgot to check CWG!

Posted by: redskirt_ | February 21, 2011 10:00 PM | Report abuse

35 degrees, ice pellets & tiny snowflakes near Annapolis. My yard has a thin but full coat of white already.

Posted by: CCCinNaptown | February 21, 2011 10:47 PM | Report abuse

Everything seems to be going the flow here in wheaton. The ground is very slippery, yet to see any snow fall yet.

Posted by: SNOWHATERRR | February 21, 2011 11:10 PM | Report abuse

3 inches in Pikesville, MD so far.

Posted by: bal503 | February 21, 2011 11:37 PM | Report abuse

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