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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 02/10/2011

Forecast: Mostly sunny & brisk

By David Streit

Strong warming trend over weekend

Today's Daily Digit
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.


A little chilly and breezy but sun is strong by midday.
Get the 'Digit' on Twitter


Today: Becoming mostly sunny, breezy. 34-38. | Tonight: Clear and cold. 14-22. | Tomorrow: Mostly sunny. 39-43. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail


The snow storm that beat up on the South the last two days passes us by after a dusting to an inch overnight. A wind shift from northwest to southwest tonight signals big changes to come. The warm up should remind us that spring is not far away. And for all you romantics, a stroll through the park on Valentine's Day with your special someone should be just the ticket. A far cry from last year's tundra.

Snow Potential Index: 0 (↓) - Close to no chance of snow in the next week.

The SPI is a daily assessment of the potential for accumulating snow for the next week on a 0-10 scale. Get the 'SPI' on Twitter

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map powered by iMapWeather (base map by Google). Click and hold on map to pan. Double-click to zoom. Refresh page to update. See larger map on our Weather Wall.

Today (Thursday): Watch out for any lingering slick spots from last night's light snow and flurries, especially south and east of town. Flakes are gone, and sunny skies emerge. The afternoon is bright but cold & breezy with winds from the northwest at 10-15 mph. Highs only make the mid-to-upper 30s. Confidence: High

Tonight: High pressure and diminishing winds ensure a very chilly night. Plenty of stars to be seen as well as one of the last glimpses of Jupiter in the southwest sky at dusk as its orbit moves it out of sight next month. Lows fall to the mid-teens to lower 20s. Confidence: High

Keep reading for the forecast through Monday....

Friday: The sunshine that dominates today actually makes a little more headway against the lingering Arctic air. Highs should return to the more seasonable low-to-mid 40s. Breezes are light from the southwest. Confidence: High

Tomorrow Night: There is still plenty of high pressure to contend with and temperatures slip lower quite quickly in the evening. Most lows manage to hang in the 20s at least (uppers downtown, lowers burbs). Confidence: High


Saturday is better yet as southwest breezes pick up the pace and the temperatures. Skies are nearly cloudless. Not a bad day to be out and about at all. Highs peak in the mid-to-upper 40s. Lows follow suit only slipping to the mid-20s to lower 30s. Confidence: Medium-High

Sunday is a gem sparkling under mostly sunny skies. Winds from the southwest are a bit brisk but with highs peaking in the low-to-mid 50s, who is going to complain? The evening is relatively mild with most areas staying above freezing for a change. Lows reach the low-to-mid 30s. Confidence: Medium-High

Valentine's Day (Monday) is better than a box of chocolates. Mostly sunny skies allow readings to zip up the scale and mid-to-upper 50s look doable. Breezes are moderate from the west. Confidence: Medium

By David Streit  | February 10, 2011; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Light snow dusting region, slick roads in spots
Next: Trace to 1" dusts region, some schools close



Are we done with snow? Was last night's dusting its farewell? I was hoping for something more substantial before spring.

Posted by: readerl | February 10, 2011 6:40 AM | Report abuse

@readerl Don't give up hope yet, February is usually a pretty good month for snow potential. However, there isn't anything showing up in the models over the next two weeks, given the warming trend.

Posted by: davidstreit1 | February 10, 2011 6:48 AM | Report abuse

Prince William County schools closed for a dusting? Are you kidding me?

Posted by: rwalker66 | February 10, 2011 7:13 AM | Report abuse

wooohooo!!! no school for pwcps! Sorry to all those who this effects in a bad way. But Im a bus driver and excited I dont have to drive.

Posted by: cyndismoot5 | February 10, 2011 7:19 AM | Report abuse

If it snowed in Ashburn (Broadlands), someone cleaned up the evidence before I left the house at 5:15am. Guess we just got flurries.

With the warming trend taking us at least into the last week of February and the struggles DC has had getting snow in this La Nina winter, my gut feeling is that the odds are against anymore significant snow this season.

PS - LOVE that 0 SPI!

Posted by: ThinkSpring | February 10, 2011 7:33 AM | Report abuse

Looks like North Carolina could get more snow this year than Washington region.

Any way to measure that so far? Say NC's highest total somewhere in their Piedmont versus our Piedmont or National.

Posted by: jaybird926 | February 10, 2011 7:38 AM | Report abuse

In Charles County:
Saw scatterings of kids waiting for school bus this morning. Told as many as I could safely stop and yell to that school was delayed. This must have been a first! UNBELIEVABLE that they couldn't get a couple of trucks out last night to sprinkle some salt on main roads! Chuck County is usually good at that sort of thing. Parts of Route 5 were an icy mess.

Posted by: luvhh1 | February 10, 2011 7:39 AM | Report abuse

@jaybird926 It looks like Raleigh/Durham is about the same as us for the season.

Posted by: davidstreit1 | February 10, 2011 8:24 AM | Report abuse

Yes, yes, yes, I am loving the forecast, I don't care if we see another flake. It will be so nice to get out this weekend, esp. Sunday and take a walk without having to wear arctic gear. I don't know what the models hold for the long weekend (at least for some of us) next week. If the warming trend continues (50's or so), I might drag my Airstream down to Assateague. Of course, with my luck it will be beautiful all next week and then either rain or get colder over the weekend. But....I will take what I can get, while I can get it. Each day without cold and snow we are crawling towards spring. I'm kissing the first Crocus I see!

Posted by: soyboy99 | February 10, 2011 8:36 AM | Report abuse

They closed PWC schools?!?!?
Some of the side roads are a little slick, but to close the entire day seems excessively cautious. Perhaps other parts of PWC got heavier accumulations than what I see here in Manassas.

OK, looks nice & wintry out there. All the horrible black debris piles from last month's event have been temporarily shrouded. Maybe Walter is making a school of little snow minnows this morning.
"Zero" snow potential next week?
Then warm me up now please.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | February 10, 2011 8:49 AM | Report abuse

Final total last night in eastern Warren County: 7/16ths inch

Posted by: spgass1 | February 10, 2011 9:18 AM | Report abuse

you should come by and check it out. we had about 12" of invisible snow last night so i've made an invisible sculpture. it's a biblical scene of all the animals boarding the ark two-by-two. being invisible, it doesn't photograph very well, so you'll have to take my word for it, or come by in person. it's a whole new medium. i can continue making these all summer!


Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 10, 2011 9:29 AM | Report abuse

Sorry about that Walter. In retrospect this would have been a better winter for ice sculpture.

Posted by: eric654 | February 10, 2011 9:46 AM | Report abuse

I live out in Bristow and in my neighborhood, the streets were sheets of ice when I left for work at 8:15. All that fine snow compacted down with people driving on it and froze. No salt and/or sand had been put down yet.

Posted by: FusilliJerry1 | February 10, 2011 9:47 AM | Report abuse

Remember, Phil said winter done come and gone!

Posted by: Jimbo77 | February 10, 2011 9:48 AM | Report abuse


Yes, that little groundhog did say winter was over, which is why I'm in the mood to cook some groundhog stew!

Posted by: cubscapsfan | February 10, 2011 9:59 AM | Report abuse

Jimbo77 - noted. But I don't put much stock in that guy predicting our DC weather ;)

spgass1 - thanks for that precise measurement report. Glad it was essentially a half-inch-- our CWG forecast verified, eh?

Snow dislikers and snow lovers, both camps, I see have already started processing the news of our "0" SPI... I wish the winter would give you all what you would want, but you know how DC weather goes.

Posted by: Camden-CapitalWeatherGang | February 10, 2011 10:01 AM | Report abuse

interesting, i think, discussion here on two topics i'd like your thoughts on:

1)the "return period" of the superstorm
2)arctic ice "tipping point"

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 10, 2011 10:02 AM | Report abuse

CWG, others,
where can i find an accumulation map for this last storm? also, is there some kind of season-to-date accumulation map? (i'd like a MAP much more than a table listing various cities and their associated accumulations.)

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 10, 2011 10:25 AM | Report abuse

btw, if anyone's looking, the map i'm imagining should be somewhat national. i'm trying to see the places north and south(!) of us that got more snow than us last night and this season.

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 10, 2011 11:30 AM | Report abuse

Camden, yes, good job forecasting.

Walter, not sure of a season-to-date map, but you can watch an animation showing snow depths for the season here:

Now what are we supposed to do with no snow threats to track?

Posted by: spgass1 | February 10, 2011 12:19 PM | Report abuse

very cool animations. you can even watch ones from last year. boston has a 20"+ snow depth now... nice. too bad you can't take that precipitation one and have it keep track and show it cumulatively.

looks like more snow in la, miss, ala, ga and nc than here right now...

Posted by: walter-in-fallschurch | February 10, 2011 1:02 PM | Report abuse

The talk of temps in the 50s and a warming trend on the way has made my thoughts wonder about Spring....dare I think so with a good part of February to come.....

Sitting quietly, doing nothing, spring comes, and the grass grows by itself

If we had no winter, the spring would not be so pleasant: if we did not sometimes taste of adversity, prosperity would not be so welcome.

The day the Lord created hope was probably the same day he created Spring.

The first day of spring is one thing, and the first spring day is another. The difference between them is sometimes as great as a month.”

Posted by: GtownG | February 10, 2011 1:02 PM | Report abuse

If we had no spring, the snow would not be so pleasant: if we did not sometimes taste of adversity, prosperity would not be so welcome.

The day the Lord created hope was probably the same day he created Snow.

The first snow day is one thing, and the first real snow is another. The difference between them is sometimes as great as a month.”

Posted by: luvhh1 | February 10, 2011 2:25 PM | Report abuse it is whiy I live in DC rather than Florida or California, Hawaii or even Alaska, I love the change of seasons that we experience around here.

Posted by: GtownG | February 10, 2011 4:41 PM | Report abuse

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