Network News

X My Profile
View More Activity
The new Washington
Post Weather website
Jump to CWG's
Latest Full Forecast
Outside now? Radar, temps
and more: Weather Wall
Follow us on Twitter (@capitalweather) and become a fan on Facebook
Posted at 9:15 PM ET, 02/ 4/2011

PM Update: Freezing rain advisory tonight N & W

By Jason Samenow

Plain rain, raw Saturday

originally posted at 3:15 p.m., updated at 9:15 p.m.

9:15 p.m. update: Precipitation is taking its time moving north. Radar doesn't show any activity nearby and latest guidance indicates it may hold off until the pre-dawn hours. Temperatures are generally above freezing in the mid-30s except for places like Frederick, Hagerstown, Winchester, and Martinsburg. It's these places that are most likely to see some very light icing early in the morning - but everyone should check temps before headed out.

From 3:15 p.m.: Despite the clouds, filtered sunshine and light flow from the south have helped temperatures reach around 40 degrees today. A storm to the south lifts north overnight providing light rain late for most of the region. But some of the cold spots mainly west and northwest of Prince William, Fairfax, and eastern Montgomery county may see some pockets of light freezing rain. It's these areas that are under a freezing rain advisory through early-to-mid Saturday morning. Any freezing rain turns to rain during the day Saturday.


Radar & lightning: Latest regional radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Through Tonight: No problems at all for the evening commute with just cloudy skies. Even late night revelers may stay dry as light precipitation now looks to break out after 1 a.m. Rain is the dominant precipitation type, but some of the normally colder locations well north and west of the District may encounter some light freezing rain. Lows range from 31 to 35. Pay close attention to the temperature, particularly if you are out very late at night or pre-dawn. In areas which get freezing rain, a light glaze of ice is possible mainly on untreated (sidewalks, side roads) and elevated (bridges, ramps, and overpasses) surfaces.

Tomorrow (Saturday): Any freezing rain quickly changes to plain rain. The rain is generally light and intermittent, with totals only up to a quarter of an inch or so likely. By late afternoon and early evening, the precipitation cuts off. In the same, normally colder areas that get freezing rain Friday night, there's a 30-40% chance the precipitation ends as some conversational wet snowflakes with little or no accumulation. It's a raw cold, day with highs 35-40.

See Camden Walker's forecast through the weekend. And if you haven't already, join us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.

By Jason Samenow  | February 4, 2011; 9:15 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Dallas gets pre- Super Bowl snow dump
Next: Forecast: Showers today, storm threats ahead

Comments

Gross. Saturday will be a hibernation day.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | February 4, 2011 3:42 PM | Report abuse

What a dismal, and uneventful forecast.. I love
the words, "plain" and "raw", it truly reinforce's the fact, that there is no sane chance for snow.

Posted by: BELLASNOWQUEEN | February 4, 2011 5:00 PM | Report abuse

The 18z GFS is out and gives us NADA for next week's storm - - not even a little bit of snow. I'm starting to get worried.

Posted by: BobMiller2 | February 4, 2011 5:58 PM | Report abuse

I'm going to start hyping next Thursday now, since two of the "three chances" for winter weather in the next six days look like busts.

Posted by: prickles1009 | February 4, 2011 7:44 PM | Report abuse

Temps have started rising with the winds now coming from the south. Get rid of those blue jelly beans from tomorrow's "at a glance". No way were getting freezing rain here now.

Posted by: rwalker66 | February 4, 2011 8:20 PM | Report abuse

Great! A dull and dreary day means I have absolutely NO EXCUSE to not clean out the rec room. Gotta make chicken salad when you can .....

Posted by: weathergrrl | February 4, 2011 8:20 PM | Report abuse

Here in the mountains between Warren and Fauquier Counties, we're at 31.5F and rising, it's possible freezing rain may not happen here. The 00z NAM appears to show no snow on the back end thanks to a dry slot...

In case you're bored with the "uneventful forecast," you can follow the Groundhog Day Controversy.

Posted by: spgass1 | February 4, 2011 9:41 PM | Report abuse

So, any of the new runs show any type of snow for Wed, Thur, of next week?

Posted by: Weather_Fan_Damascus | February 4, 2011 9:59 PM | Report abuse

36F in eastern Moco. Can see some stars. Can't wait until Thursday's storm!

Posted by: bastings | February 4, 2011 10:05 PM | Report abuse

This time next week, we are going to be inundated with more than +12" of snow with brutally cold temps. I'm predicting it's coming (a hunch). The GFS is doing its typical wobbling, and is extremely unreliable for an exact track this far out from an event. It is reasonably good at predicting an event within a given area of possible tracks, but accuracy usually starts to hone in 36 to 48 hours out, in general. It's a model, and just like any model, it's based on precedent, trends, tendencies, possiblities, yada! yada! yada! However, in the end, you just can't fool mother nature. So relax, don't give up on the late next week event . . . uh, yet!

Posted by: johnnierat | February 4, 2011 10:51 PM | Report abuse

This time next week, we are going to be inundated with more than +12" of snow with brutally cold temps. I'm predicting it's coming (a hunch). The GFS is doing its typical wobbling, and is extremely unreliable for an exact track this far out from an event. It is reasonably good at predicting an event within a given area of possible tracks, but accuracy usually starts to hone in 36 to 48 hours out, in general. It's only a model, and just like any model, it's based on precedent, trends, tendencies, possiblities, yada! yada! yada! However, in the end, you just can't fool mother nature. So relax, don't give up on the late next week event . . . uh, yet!

Posted by: johnnierat | February 4, 2011 10:52 PM | Report abuse

@spgass1 - They tried to pass a puppet off as a groundhog!
Shame on them. Do it right or not at all.

Posted by: FIREDRAGON47 | February 4, 2011 11:20 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
RSS Feed
Subscribe to The Post

© 2012 The Washington Post Company