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Capital Weather Gang Archive: Tracton

Space weather: Are we ready for a solar strike?

Almost two years ago I asked the question, "Do Solar Storms Threaten Life as We Know it?" The answer then and even more so now could very well be a scary "yes" - even within the next few years - as an increase in solar activity coincides with the increasing vulnerability of technology-dependent societies to a powerful solar storm. Moreover, should there be a solar strike capable of causing widespread blackouts and crippling disruptions of satellilte and radio communications, it's likely there would be little advance notice, and currently there is virtually no capability to shield much of the planet and virtually no planning on the books to recover from the potentially disastrous consequences.

By Steve Tracton  | March 9, 2011; 12:45 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (15)
Categories:  Latest, Technology, Tracton  
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Eyewitness account of New Zealand earthquake

A long-time friend of mine, prominent climate scientist Kevin Trenberth, sent me his eyewitness account of Tuesday's deadly earthquake in New Zealand. Kevin is a native of New Zealand who coincidentally was visiting family and friends when the earthquake struck.

By Steve Tracton  | February 24, 2011; 2:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (4)
Categories:  International Weather, Latest, Tracton  
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Solar Flare 2011: Aurora alert

NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (part of NOAA's National Weather Service (NWS), has issued an alert for an increase in solar activity to moderate levels with a chance for an isolated major solar flare over the next few days. The consequent solar wind, consisting of charged atomic particles, is expected to intersect the upper atmosphere over Polar Regions February 17-19, leading to the possibility of brilliant auroras. Whether or not we will be able to see an aurora locally in the northern sky depends upon several factors.

By Steve Tracton  | February 17, 2011; 9:40 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (42)
Categories:  Latest, Science, Tracton  
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NOAA-NWS begins Winter Weather Experiment

Despite major advances in scientific understanding and the development of computer-based weather models, there remains much room for improvement. Anyone who has followed this season's winter storm predictions has, no doubt, observed this. While there never will be perfect forecasts due to chaos (i.e. the butterfly effect), there is considerable opportunity for more accurate predictions and better estimates of associated levels of confidence in hazardous winter weather systems.

By Steve Tracton  | January 20, 2011; 11:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (4)
Categories:  Government, Latest, Science, Tracton, Winter Storms  
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Freak, deadly storm: Children's Blizzard of 1888

This week marks the anniversary of what's probably one of the most ferocious and deadly blizzards in this country which, perchance, you've never heard about. On the morning of January 12, 1888, a blizzard swept down suddenly on the unsuspecting inhabitants on the prairies of the upper Midwest (especially portions of Nebraska and South Dakota) with unprecedented ferocity.

By Steve Tracton  | January 14, 2011; 10:45 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (17)
Categories:  History, Latest, Tracton, U.S. Weather  
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"False Alarmageddon" rebuttal

Jamie Yesnowitz, Capital Weather Gang's (CWG) "Weather Checker" referred to the uncertainty aspect of the CWG forecasts, but yet called the performance of CWG as "less than accurate". This suggests to me he might not understand the basic concepts of probability.

By Steve Tracton  | December 28, 2010; 10:45 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (47)
Categories:  Capital Weather Gang, Latest, Tracton, Weather Checker  
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Older Entries in This Category »

A white Christmas for Santa?, Steve Tracton , December 8, 2010
Arctic dust storms: really?, Steve Tracton , November 24, 2010
Is D.C.'s planned flood wall enough?, Steve Tracton , November 19, 2010
Discovery of the greenhouse effect: a short history , Steve Tracton , November 12, 2010
Weather sorcery: If I could control the weather..., Steve Tracton , October 28, 2010
Why weather matters, Steve Tracton , September 21, 2010
Forecasting hurricanes: Part 2, Steve Tracton , August 26, 2010
Forecasting hurricanes: Part 1, Steve Tracton , August 19, 2010
How to cope with the heat: Tell a joke, Steve Tracton , August 13, 2010
Did melting ice cause D.C. earthquake?, Steve Tracton , July 22, 2010
Ball lightning: real or fantasy?, Steve Tracton , July 13, 2010
Predicting where the Gulf oil will go, Steve Tracton , April 30, 2010
Tornado Alley: What's that???, Steve Tracton , April 26, 2010
Atmosphere's revenge? Monarchs in short supply, Steve Tracton , April 13, 2010
World's Longest Toilet Queue, Steve Tracton , March 26, 2010
Local Weather: Antarctica Connections, Steve Tracton , March 18, 2010
The varying predictability of snowstorms, Steve Tracton , March 2, 2010
A snowy surprise, 10 years ago today, Steve Tracton , January 25, 2010
Top Weather Events of 2009: U.S. edition, Steve Tracton , December 31, 2009
Top weather events of 2009: D.C. edition, Steve Tracton , December 30, 2009
A look back at last week's historic weather, Steve Tracton , December 17, 2009
Deja vu for China's weather modification program, Steve Tracton , December 3, 2009
Sea & sky while cruising the Atlantic, Steve Tracton , November 20, 2009
Earthquake weather: Is there such a thing?, Steve Tracton , October 20, 2009
The Inevitable Doom & Gloom of Global Warming, Steve Tracton , October 1, 2009
Feeling the Power of Hurricane-Force Winds, Steve Tracton , August 27, 2009
Hazy, Hot, Humid: Think Snow!, Steve Tracton , August 10, 2009
NOAA Says No to DHS Hurricane Modification, Steve Tracton , August 7, 2009
NOAA Hurricane Outlook to be Revised Lower?, Steve Tracton , August 4, 2009
NWS, Red Cross Align on Tornado Advice, Steve Tracton , July 17, 2009
Can Wind Farms Change the Weather?, Steve Tracton , July 15, 2009
Weather Makes for Summer Fun With Kids, Steve Tracton , July 2, 2009
What's In a Car's Name? Sometimes Weather, Steve Tracton , June 25, 2009
The Sureness of Global Warming Skeptics, Steve Tracton , June 18, 2009
Confusion on What to Do If Car Meets Tornado, Steve Tracton , May 28, 2009
Do Solar Storms Threaten Life as We Know It?, Steve Tracton , April 6, 2009
Geoengineering Our Way Out of Global Warming, Steve Tracton , April 2, 2009
The Iditarod: The Last Great Race on Earth, Steve Tracton , March 17, 2009
The Super-Predictable Superstorm of 1993, Steve Tracton , March 12, 2009
Artificial or Not, China Has Snow and D.C. Doesn't, Steve Tracton , February 20, 2009
Snow With Sunshine: The Explanation, Steve Tracton , February 19, 2009
In Darwin's Shadow: The Inventor of Forecasting, Steve Tracton , February 12, 2009
Models Knew Monster Storm Was No Certainty, Steve Tracton , February 6, 2009
Are Scientists Overselling Climate Models?, Steve Tracton , January 22, 2009
Top International Weather Events: 2008 , Steve Tracton , January 9, 2009
I Resolve To..., Steve Tracton , January 1, 2009
'Nothing Takes Longer Than Waiting for Snow', Steve Tracton , December 23, 2008
Snow Jokes, Steve Tracton , December 15, 2008
Were the Pilgrims Weather Wimps?, Steve Tracton , November 26, 2008
Rogue Waves: They're Real, & They're Spectacular, Steve Tracton , November 21, 2008
Fish 'n' Chips and a Boatload of Hail, Steve Tracton , November 6, 2008
Obama's Long, Stormy Journey, Steve Tracton , November 5, 2008
The Hairy Issue of Hurricane Modification, Steve Tracton , October 23, 2008
Hurricane Calamity, Steve Tracton , October 17, 2008
Snow in October?, Steve Tracton , October 10, 2008
Global Warming is Real, O.K.?, Steve Tracton , September 30, 2008
TV Weather Bloopers, Steve Tracton , September 29, 2008
Remembering Hurricane Isabel, Five Years Later, Steve Tracton , September 18, 2008
When Hurricane Carol Came Calling, Steve Tracton , August 28, 2008
A Full-Out Effort to Forecast Olympic Weather, Steve Tracton , August 14, 2008
White Christmas -- in July?, Steve Tracton , July 31, 2008
When Hurricanes Go Extratropical, Steve Tracton , July 25, 2008
It's a Thingamabobbercane, Steve Tracton , July 17, 2008
And the Weather Darwin Nominees Are..., Steve Tracton , July 10, 2008
Photoshopping the Weather, Steve Tracton , June 26, 2008
Beware of Bolts From the Blue, Steve Tracton , June 20, 2008
Olympic Weather Prep Enters 'Actual Combat', Steve Tracton , June 15, 2008
Fixing Iraq's War-Torn Weather Service, Steve Tracton , June 12, 2008
Bulletin: Major Storm Threatens Planet, Steve Tracton , May 29, 2008
Extreme Golf: Now That's a Water Hazard, Steve Tracton , May 23, 2008
Weird Clouds... From Another World?, Steve Tracton , May 16, 2008
In Defense of Meteorologists: Part 2, Steve Tracton , May 8, 2008
In Defense of Meteorologists, Steve Tracton , May 2, 2008
Bad Forecast? Blame the Butterflies, Capital Weather Gang , April 23, 2008
Spring is Here, But Snow Hope Springs Eternal, Capital Weather Gang , March 22, 2008
Is It Still Winter?, Capital Weather Gang , March 8, 2008
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