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Unrest in the GOP Base

Keying off the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll, Jennifer Agiesta has penned a fine post on the Behind the Numbers blog about the new survey's findings on congressional approval.

The headline is that the numbers aren't pretty. Congressional approval stands at 23 percent, the lowest level measured in Post polling since 1994. Neither party is faring well, with approval of Hill Democrats at 35 percent and Republicans at 25 percent. But it was this passage from BTN that caught Capitol Briefing's eye:

"Democrats in Congress still get majority approval from their own partisans, 54 percent say they approve, but a majority of Republicans -- including a majority of the conservative Republicans who form the base of the party -- now disapprove of the GOP's congressional caucus. Fifty-three percent of GOPers disapprove of the job Republicans in Congress are doing, the highest level in Post-ABC polling. The previous peak was 46 percent in October of 1994."

Since Republicans got their clocks cleaned in November 2006, there have been rumblings from the party's activist base and from conservative lawmakers that their leadership -- in the House much more so than the Senate -- might not be aggressive enough at both challenging Democrats and defining what the GOP really stands for.

Given the current environment, some level of internal sniping in the House Republican Conference is to be expected, especially since the party appears headed for more losses this November. And there has always been a small band of GOP lawmakers who invariably think their leaders aren't conservative enough.

The question that the current slate of Republican leaders faces now is whether the Republican unrest reflected in the latest Post poll is a leading indicator that their jobs are in trouble. Assuming (as nearly every political expert currently does) that the party loses more seats in November, will rank-and-file GOP lawmakers blame their leaders? John McCain? President Bush? Iraq? Or all of the above? And which up-and-coming Republicans will have the guts to challenge the incumbent top leadership?

It's worth noting, as Agiesta does, that the last time GOP approval of the party's congressional performance was comparably low was in 1994, right before Republicans swept into power in the House and a new wave of more aggressive leaders took over from a more conciliatory generation. Is another "revolution" in the offing? Capitol Briefing will keep an eye on this storyline for the remainder of the year. Based on this new poll, Republican voters are already watching.

By Ben Pershing  |  July 16, 2008; 1:00 PM ET
Categories:  GOP Leaders  
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Comments

No one cares anything about repukes anymore. What goes around comes around.

Posted by: twoidhd | July 16, 2008 1:45 PM | Report abuse

Republican policies have led to failures in Iraq, the economy, health care, and the environment.

At some point in time the republicans may want to admit that they were wrong and re-think their policies.

And at some point in time - like November - voters may just decide to throw the whole lot out.

Posted by: JR, Boston | July 16, 2008 2:06 PM | Report abuse

EXACTLY!

The haters, hypocrites, white collar thieves, fearful reactionaries, racists, progress haters, and ignorants who don't think for themselves, (or bother with facts unless they are deciding to steal something for themselves) need representation, too!

Posted by: JBE | July 16, 2008 3:07 PM | Report abuse

What impact on the Sub-Prime loans to the Invading Horde of Illegal Aliens have on the defaults and housing crises that started the unraveling of the whole Economy! I expect, just like our Declining standard of living, Bankrupt Hospitals, Failing Schools, Welfare costs, Identity fraud, Welfare fraud, Voter fraud, Gangs, Crime, Crowded prisons, Destroyed communities, Exploding population, Congested roads, Pollution, Insurance costs, Balance of payments, (Imported oil etc. to support the illegal alien population) Trashed Constitution and the Rule of Law, they played a big part!

It looks like with American heading into a very bad recession or more likely an depression, The 100,s of billions the Invading Horde is costing American tax payers for free medical, schooling, welfare etc. needs to be spend on American citizens, not invading criminals from third world counties, plus the 40 to 50 billions remittance by Illegal aliens needs to stay in the country to simulate the economy!

Posted by: Black Saint J | July 16, 2008 3:38 PM | Report abuse

Good heavens. Congressional Republicans have been united for years in favor of backing President Bush and fighting his enemies. That has been their platform; that has been what they stood for.

Of course they are discontented now. That's what happens when you nail your colors to someone else's mast -- if the ship goes down, you go down with it.

Posted by: Zathras | July 16, 2008 4:04 PM | Report abuse

Obviously these problems will all disappear once traditional marriage is saved from the gays, Terry Schiavo is brought back from the dead, and Afghan goatherders are tortured into confessing their crimes. The GOP will solve the energy and environmental crises by declaring the USA to be a "science-free zone." They'll fix any funding shortfalls by cutting taxes and increasing spending, explaining that if you think that plan is counterintuitive you must be poor or an immigrant. And if that doesn't do it, there's always the fallback position -- blame the liberals (whoever they are).

Posted by: Andy | July 16, 2008 4:44 PM | Report abuse

Yeah-
Cross burning attendance is down...attacks on Gays are more infrequent...Planned Parenthood clinics haven't been bombed...
The GOP is in the doldrums...

Posted by: Kase | July 16, 2008 7:16 PM | Report abuse

If anyone thinks that replacing these scumbag Republicans with Democrats is going to solve our country's problems, they've been living in a cave for the last year and a half.

Both parties are so inbred, so corrupt, so beholden to foreign governments and Itl corporations, keeping the Dems in power will just be more of the same, probably worse.

In the last year, the Democratic leadership has proven itself to be the crooked Republican's accomplices and partners in crime.

Both parties managed to overturn a Bush veto by an overwhelming vote regarding Medicare payments to Seniors (11-12% of the pop.)
It's unfortunate that the Congress
does not seem to have the same concern regarding the rest of the public's welfare. The Democrats mess their pants if Bush even hints at a veto on say defense expenditures or reining in the bankers, mortgage lenders or credit card companies or regulations or reform that might give justice to the middle class. How about the blatant contempt for the Democrats when certain committes demand documents or testimony and the WhiteHouse just laughs at them. Makes one proud to be a Democrat eh?

So let's put some additional Democrats in power and two years from now both party's leaderships will be playing the same good cop/bad cop scam on the dolts out there that are way too busy watching their favorite sports team rather than paying attention to what these parties have been doing to us. Can anyone spell Independent?

Posted by: jsbar | July 16, 2008 8:04 PM | Report abuse

If the House Republicans had not goose stepped with Bush, then they might have been in the majority.

Posted by: George | July 16, 2008 10:56 PM | Report abuse


Black Saint J - your comments are so far
out they are beyond reason - I am sorry
for some one who really believes what you
say.

Posted by: Alice Ropchan | July 16, 2008 11:07 PM | Report abuse

"...their leadership -- in the House much more so than the Senate -- might not be aggressive enough at both challenging Democrats and defining what the GOP really stands for."

If this remark didn't have such serious and negative consequences for the country and the world, it would be out-loud laughable.

You wanna know why the approval ratings of Congress - both parties - are so low?

It's because the Repukes are the party of obstruction - no matter what, if the Dems thought of it they'll obstruct it, and because the Dems have not yet figured out that what THEIR base wants is for them to impeach Shrub.

It's apparently really easy to get insulated from the realities of political life, when you're IN the political life.

ATTN: Dem leadership: we want you to impeach Bush and put him in prison. Do it, listen to Kucinich et al., and see those approval ratings rise. From voters of BOTH parties.

We want him and as many of his pals as possible (Cheney most CERTAINLY included) PUNISHED for what he's done to this country!

It's not too late. It's actually required that you do this, so as to set a precedent for future presidents and show that there are consequences for such heinous acts. (It should have been done with Reagan, but we dare not pass up another such opportunity.)

Believe it.

Posted by: richmiles | July 17, 2008 10:03 AM | Report abuse

Hey, I have an idea to really lower gas prices: Put Republicans on the endangered species list, open a preserve for them in Alaska, take the Republicans to the preserve and then drill for oil there! They say it's safe so I'm sure they will want to do their part to lower gas prices, won't they?

Posted by: kind671 | July 17, 2008 6:46 PM | Report abuse

I Predict That The Republicans Are Gonna Lose "Big Time" All Over The Country, And The Democrats Are Gonna Win BIG From The White House,The US Senate & The House!!--The Last 7 1/2 Years Have Been Long & Hard On ALL Of Us & It Certainly Past Time For A Change!!--Mr. Obama Is That Change That We Need---YES WE CAN ----Obama '08!!!!!!!!

Posted by: Corrie Gillikin | July 17, 2008 7:32 PM | Report abuse

The polls that I read show approval at 13% overall for Congress. With the other National Polls that are in favor of drill OCS and ANWAR at 74% I'd venture to say the Republicans have the edge. But I am supprised at 13%, as I would think the approval % would be in the single digits.
The press can print what it wishes in hope that the public will take it and run with it. The Presidents rating are at approx. 28%. but that's expected and fits his current effectiveness. Congress is almost 1/3 of the President. A larger crime doesn't currently exist.

Posted by: Jay Germaine | July 17, 2008 8:54 PM | Report abuse

Is Boehner trying to be black like Obama, he sure has a dark tan. What does he do for a living, lay in the sun, another Bush Cabana boy huh ? Last time I saw him he seems to be developing some nervous facial ticks too or has he always had them ? Oh yes, blame it all on a Democratic controlled Congress, that one is old already and this is only July ? Go ahead, keep playing politics, we hate you more.

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