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Posted at 8:08 PM ET, 12/13/2010

Golden Globe Awards: Five locks and five potential surprises ahead of tomorrow's nominations

By Jen Chaney

"The Social Network": en route to multiple Golden Globe Award nominations. (Sony)

The Hollywood Foreign Press Association will reveal Tuesday morning the contenders for this year's Golden Globe Awards, officially cranking up the awards season to 11 and forcing cubicle workers across the country to ask their co-workers if they've heard of the obscure-ish Mike Leigh movie that just got nominated.

Of course, we'll be closely watching the noms announcement here in Celebritology and weighing in with our takes on the surprises and snubs. But first, it's time for a fun round of Golden Globe Guessing Game, in which I boldly suggest five locks and five potential surprises that could surface when the slate of film-related competitors is unveiled.

The Locks

1. "The Social Network" and "Black Swan" for Best Drama.

So far "The Social Network" has been named best picture by virtually every critics' group, from the Washington Area Film Critics Association to the New York Film Critics Circle. Expect best Picture nods in the dramatic category for the Facebook saga and "Black Swan," as well as "The King's Speech" and possibly "True Grit." "127 Hours" could sneak in there as well; MTV.com also thinks "Inception" is a lock, but I am not so sure.

2. Natalie Portman and Colin Firth will be nominated in their respective lead acting categories.

Since the Foreign Press Association recognizes both dramatic and comedic lead performances, there's even less chance that Portman and Firth will be edged out for their exceptional, buzz-generating work in "Black Swan" and "The King's Speech," respectively.

3. Expect multiple nods for members of "The Fighter" cast.

Christian Bale seems a certainty for his transformation into the drug-addled, heart-on-his-sleeve former boxing champ Dicky Eklund. Melissa Leo and Amy Adams also have a strong chance of competing against each in the supporting actress category.

4. "Toy Story 3" and "The Kids Are All Right" will lead the best musical or comedy category.

If any two movies are shoo-ins on the "lighter" side of the Golden Globes's best picture race, these are it.

5. David Fincher and Darren Aronofsky for Best Director.

I also expect Christopher Nolan to be recognized for his direction, even if "Inception" somehow misses the cut for best drama.

The Surprises

1. The word "Burlesque"? It just might come up.

The Best Motion Picture -- Musical or Comedy category usually includes one musical. And "Burlesque," which stars two-time Golden Globe winner and six-time nominee Cher, is a likely candidate given the lack of other splashy musicals this year.

2. "Easy A" as best comedy?

Again, with five nominees to fill up this category, it would be surprising -- but not outside of the realm -- for this teen comedy, or lead actress Emma Stone, to sneak into the Golden Globe race.

3. Remember the name Lesley Manville.

A regular in Mike Leigh's films (told you that name would come up!), she's earned raves for her role as a desperate divorcee in Leigh's latest, "Another Year." The Foreign Press could very well choose to recognize Manville, who has been making the campaign rounds on the awards-season circuit, in the lead-actress-in-a-comedy category.

4. A nomination for Jim Carrey

The Hollywood Foreign Press loves Carrey; he's been nominated six times, won twice and could land another nod in the comedy category for his role in the much-delayed "I Love You, Phillip Morris."

5. "Hereafter"? Really?

The only person the Foreign Press might love more than Carrey is Clint Eastwood, who has been nominated a dozen times and won five Globes, including his Henrietta and Cecil B. DeMille Awards. Even so, if "Hereafter" -- not one of Eastwood's stronger efforts -- managed to score a nod, that would indeed qualify as surprising.

Got any Golden Globe predictions of your own? Add them by posting a comment. We'll reconvene in Celebritology Tuesday morning to see how many of the ones above actually come true.

By Jen Chaney  | December 13, 2010; 8:08 PM ET
Categories:  Awards Season, Movies, Pop Culture  
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