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Gilbert Central, Item No. 3: The 125 Percent Man

Well, these 60-point games will get the number-crunchers talking.

SI.com gives us a list of all the 60-point games in NBA history. You'll note that, of 57 such games, Wilt had 32 of them. The only other players with more than one 60-point game are M.J. (four times), Elgin Baylor (thrice) and Kobe (twice).

The NBA's version of the list makes you realize that, after the 60-point threshold was reached just five times in the '90s, it's been reached three times in the last year: Kobe, Kobe and Gil. All three of those guys were at Staples yesterday, and two of them acted obnoxiously.

But this all made me think of a friend, who said over the weekend that this Wizards team was extremely predictable. If Gil scores the ball, they win. If he doesn't, they lose. I wanted to see if that was true.

What follows is a list of the scoring averages for the team's eight regulars in wins, and in losses. Of the regulars, only Antonio Daniels averages more ppg in losses than in wins. Measured as a percentage, Gil's ppg does indeed vary more with wins and losses than any regular; he scores 125 percent of his average in wins, and 72.7 percent of his average in losses. Interestingly, Gil's assists and rebounds per game are nearly identical in wins and losses. Here were the other indicators I found that differed most dramatically with the team's success: Antonio Daniels's assists per game (123.6 percent of his average in wins, 75.2 percent in losses) and Brendan Haywood's minutes per game (120.2 percent in of his average in wins, 77.6 percent in losses). Put Brendan In! Put Brendan In! Brendan's agent, you can pay me later.


Here is your second-most crucial Wizard. (David Zalubowski - AP)

These are listed in order of the percentage difference between wins and losses. So I guess this list is in order of importance:

Gilbert: 36.8 ppg in wins, 21.4 ppg in losses.

Brendan Haywood: 6.7 in wins, 4.5 in losses

DeShawn Stevenson: 11.1 in wins, 7.7 in losses

Antawn Jamison: 21.1 in wins, 16.0 in losses

Jarvis Hayes: 6.1 in wins, 5.0 in losses

Etan Thomas: 7.4 in wins, 6.7 in losses

Caron Butler: 19.1 in wins, 19.0 in losses

Antonio Daniels: 6.4 in wins, 8.4 in losses

(Note: The thing about Haywood's minutes is not, perhaps, entirely ridiculous. If you look at 82games.com, you'll note that the Wizards' two best five-man lineups have both included Haywood.

By Dan Steinberg  |  December 18, 2006; 12:41 PM ET
Categories:  Wizards  
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Next: Gilbert Central, Item No. 4: "I Run on the Side of My Feet"

Comments

That's a great stat about Brenda. Beyond his 7-foot frame, his value is not obvious. He has "played his guts out" as a starter this year. Maybe he can go by Brendan now...

Posted by: Ledell Eackles | December 18, 2006 1:23 PM | Report abuse

It's all because of Haywood's defense. If you explore further on 82games you'll find that when he's in the game opponents shoot 3.3% worse than when he's not, and overall score 7.3 points LESS per 100 possessions (a typical Wizards game has about 92 possessions). He's always been a defensive force, much more so than everyone gives him credit for.

Posted by: Ben | December 18, 2006 1:47 PM | Report abuse

Since I never put down the exact numbers, in Wiz wins Brendan averages 24:30 of PT, and in losses he averages 15:48 of PT. In wins he averages 7.0 rebounds, and in losses 4.9.

Posted by: Dan Steinberg | December 18, 2006 1:53 PM | Report abuse

He clearly is the key to victory. I'm starting to think we whould ship Arenas to Philly and get AI his first ring...

Posted by: Ledell Eackles | December 18, 2006 3:07 PM | Report abuse

But can he write a poem?

Posted by: EtanThomas | December 18, 2006 3:19 PM | Report abuse

Just because Haywood sold me the word "hibachi" doesn't mean he can cook it up like me!

Posted by: gilbert arenas | December 19, 2006 3:04 PM | Report abuse

i think antawn jamison is a good player...but we need a power forward....to play w/ gilbert arenas....

Posted by: carlo labata | December 21, 2006 8:40 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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