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Vegas Oddsmakers Love the Terps!!

During the college football season, as you well remember, I posted weekly Top 25 rankings, as prepared by Las Vegas Sports Consultants, advisors to the Nevada sports books. The big justification behind my plan to hand college football rankings over to Las Vegas was that Vegas would offer an unbiased look at which teams really deserved to play for the national championship. Well, that didn't work so well. Vegas chose Ohio State and Michigan. Vegas had Southern Cal fourth. And when I talked to Vegas about its wisdom, Vegas told me about how much Oklahoma would be favored over a team like Boise State. Yeah, well, I took those 7.5 points and earned myself a six-pack of high-end craft beer. So thanks, Vegas.

But nevermind. I know pollsters theoretically have nothing to do with NCAA Tournament seeds, but it's still God's work to compare pollsters and Sagarins and RPIs with the wisdom of the bookies. Or, at least, the bookies' friends. And luckily for us, LVSC has put out its Top 25. Although, with also receiving votes, it's actually a top 35.


Yo Vegas, none of these guys play for Maryland right now. (Peter Jones -- Reuters)

And the team that is most dramatically undervalued by the AP? Your Maryland Terps, who are only the 30th-best team according to the AP voters, but the 11-most-treasured team according to Vegas. Georgetown fans are seething. They're furious. They're ready to take their pitchforks and bulldogs to the Las Vegas Hilton, and to march around demanding recompense for this injustice, plus maybe a bloody mary. Frankly, I don't know what's so impressive about Maryland, although I guess if you were making lines you'd like the fact that the Terps' last five wins have come by an average of 28.6 points.

Other undervalued teams include Clemson, Kentucky, Gonzaga and BC. Overvalued teams include Butler, Notre Dame, Tennessee, Washington and West Virginia.

To make sure you get your RDA of inscrutable numbers presented in an unsighlty manner, here is the Vegas Oddsmakers' Top 35, with AP ranking, Sagarin ranking, and RPI ranking in parentheses. If you can make anything interesting out of all this, feel free. They all love UCLA, I guess.

1t. Florida (3, 21 54)
1t. UCLA (1, 1, 1)
3. North Carolina (2, 2, 5)
4. Ohio State (6, 19, 25)
5. Kansas (9, 40, 58)
6. Wisconsin (4, 6, 21)
7. Arizona (7, 8, 2)
8. Duke (5, 5, 3)
9. Pittsburgh (10, 20, 9)
10. Alabama (8, 15, 13)
11. Maryland (30, 18, 18)
12. Texas A&M (11, 12, 51)
13. LSU (14, 47, 74)
14. Oklahoma State (12, 11, 17)
15. Clemson (23, 10, 14)
16. Oregon (16, 9, 27)
17. Kentucky (34, 22, 7)
18. Memphis (22, 23, 19)
19. Marquette (15, 38, 76)
20. Butler (13, 4, 4)
21. Gonzaga (41, 31, 24)
22. Nevada (21, 14, 29)
23. Connecticut (18, 25, 65)
24. Notre Dame (17, 3, 48)
25. Air Force (20, 7, 20)
26. Wichita State (26, 45, 50)
27. Missouri State (39t, 13, 23)
28. Georgetown (32, 39, 46)
29. Tennessee (19, 16, 15)
30. Boston College (NR, 67, 82)
32t. Florida State (28, 36, 16)
32t. UNLV (36t, 17, 8)
34t. Xavier (43t, 57, 63)
34t. Georgia Tech (42, 28, 30)
34t. Winthrop (NR, 30, 45)

Not ranked by Vegas: Washington (24th AP), West Virginia (25th).

By Dan Steinberg  |  January 3, 2007; 12:33 PM ET
Categories:  College Basketball  
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Comments

Maybe that loss at home to Winthrop wasn't so bad for ODU

Posted by: Nathan | January 3, 2007 1:41 PM | Report abuse

exactly what i was thinking, Nathan. i may have to take my comment back, except i think these rankings must not include last night's 20 point loss to Texas A&M. i'm looking at Winthrop's schedule again and there are good wins at Missisippi State and ODU and close losses @UNC and @ Wisconsin, but i'm not really sure where the love is coming from.

Posted by: jamie | January 3, 2007 1:53 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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