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This Week's Vegas Oddsmakers' Top 25/30

As always, featuring 30 teams and the not-to-be-contested wisdom of Las Vegas Sports Consultants, which tells you which college teams are the best, scoreboard and polls be damned. As of this writing, the oddsmakers and the BCSers both have the same national championship game: Ohio State vs. LSU. The disagreements at the top, and they're mild, come later: BCS's third pick is Oregon, while Vegas would take Oklahoma. Neither chooses undefeated Kansas.

And really, don't ask me why South Carolina is still ahead of Arkansas, because I just don't know.

Biggest frauds, according to Vegas: Connecticut is ranked 14 spots too high by the BCS. Virginia Tech, Georgia and Kansas are ranked seven spots too high. Alabama is ranked five spots too high. Teams like Boston College and Arizona State didn't fall too badly in the all-knowing Vegas rankings, which don't care about wins and losses, so their rankings are now pretty closely in line to what the dumb BCS says.

Biggest sleepers, according to Vegas: Powerhouse teams against the spread, like Cal (15th) and BYU (20th), don't show up in the dumb BCS rankings. Of the teams that do show up, Southern Cal is ranked 10 spots too low, and Florida and Clemson are ranked seven spots too low. Vegas also still has eyes for South Carolina and Arkansas.

Vegas looked smart when: Year-long Vegas fraud Boston College lost, at home, to a Florida State team Vegas has stuck with all season. Year-long Vegas fraud Arizona State lost at Oregon. Year-long Vegas fraud Wisconsin got destroyed mildly, gently defeated by Ohio State. In fact, four of Vegas's seven biggest frauds lost last week. Also, Vegas's beloved Southern Cal, Florida, BYU and Clemson all won big.

Vegas looked dumb when: Vegas has refused to embrace Virginia Tech, and the Hokies got another nice road win. Vegas has refused to embrace Connecticut and Kansas, and both rolled. Vegas heartthrob Cal barely beat Washington State at home. Another team Vegas has been loyal to, South Carolina, lost again.

Games to watch: Wake Forest, which Vegas doesn't trust, is at Vegas fave Clemson. Alabama, which Vegas doesn't trust, is at Mississippi State. Florida State is at Virginia Tech with a chance to knock off another one of Vegas's frauds. Connecticut, which Vegas hates, is at Cincinnati, which Vegas has grown to like. Virginia, which Vegas hates, is at Miami, which Vegas traditionally likes. Most importantly, Vegas has Auburn just ahead of Georgia, while the BCS has Georgia eight spots higher; Auburn is at Georgia this week with a chance to make Vegas look great.

Numbers after the jump. BCS rankings in parentheses.

1. Ohio State (1)
2. LSU (2)
3. Oklahoma (5)
4. Oregon (3)
5. West Virginia (7)
6. Missouri (6)
7. Southern Cal (17)
8. Florida (15)
9. Michigan (12)
10. Boston College (8)
11. Kansas (4)
12t. Texas (14)
12t. Arizona State (9)
14. Clemson (21)
15. California (NR)
16. Auburn (18)
17. Georgia (10)
18. Virginia Tech (11)
19. Hawaii (16)
20. BYU (NR)
21. South Carolina (NR)
22. Arkansas (NR)
23. Penn State (23)
24t. Boise State (20)
24t. Tennessee (24)
26. Texas Tech (NR)
27t. Alabama (22)
27t. Connecticut (13)
29. Cincinnati (NR)
30. Wisconsin (NR)

Not ranked by Vegas: Virginia (19th BCS), Kentucky (25th BCS)

By Dan Steinberg  |  November 5, 2007; 3:49 PM ET
Categories:  College Football  
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Comments

Interesting. BC is ranked #2 in the polls and BCS and #9 by Vegas last week. Then they lose at home and get dropped big to #8 in the conventional rankings, and Vegas only bumps them down 1 stop.

Posted by: tmc | November 5, 2007 4:34 PM | Report abuse

Seriously,this is the third column I read that mentions Wisconsin getting "destroyed",or"obliterated" by Ohio State.Missing their top RB and WR and leading going into the 4th quarter is hardly being destroyed.And yes, I am a Homer.

Posted by: olle | November 5, 2007 4:44 PM | Report abuse

I am not a Wisconsin homer, and I will completely agree with Ollie. I don't know how anyone can say Ohio State destroyed Wisconsin, that is just silly.

Posted by: Chris | November 5, 2007 5:22 PM | Report abuse

How about this, 'Wisconsin, loaded with excuses, was on the wrong side of a lopsided score'?

Posted by: Kim | November 5, 2007 5:47 PM | Report abuse

How is FSU not in the top 30? State goes on the road, knocks off #2 Boston College, and gets no respect. The Noles are finally clicking with Jimbo Fisher's offense. If that squad starts scoring points offensively, look out! They could be one of the scariest teams in the country to face. They not only will take care of Va.Tech in Blacksburg, they will beat Florida in the Swamp b/c of defense. defense.

Posted by: Anonymous | November 5, 2007 8:23 PM | Report abuse

Are we talking about the same FSU team that couldn't even beat Miami?

Posted by: Kyle | November 6, 2007 4:38 PM | Report abuse

That doesn't make sense. UConn is 7-1 against the spread. That's tops in the country.

Posted by: Sean | November 7, 2007 2:03 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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