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This Week's Vegas Oddsmakers' Top 25/30

As always, featuring 30 teams and the not-to-be-contested wisdom of Las Vegas Sports Consultants, which tells you which college teams are the best, scoreboard and polls be damned. And now, as I said on the wonderful sports television program Washington Post Live yesterday, is the time when we really need Vegas to set us straight, to cleanse our minds of talking head pollution and put things straight. Is undefeated Kansas more worthy than one-loss Oregon? How to compare one-loss Oklahoma with one-loss Ohio State with one-loss West Virginia. Just who should be in the national championship game.

Answer? LSU and Oklahoma. Next on deck? Ohio State. Vegas, like me, and like any rational being, doesn't place maximum weight on the previous week's results. Vegas just wants to know which teams are best. So the BCS, with its LSU-Oregon approach, has it wrong.

To save you the work, feel free to copy and paste this below: How can Michigan be ranked ahead of Wisconsin when blah blah blah blah blah?!???!?!

Biggest frauds, according to Vegas: Illinois is ranked eight spots too high by the BCS. Kansas is ranked six spots too high. Hawaii and Kentucky are ranked five spots too high. Georgia, Virginia Tech and Cincinnati are all mildly overrated.

Biggest sleepers, according to Vegas: Michigan is ranked seven spots too low by the BCS. Clemson is ranked five spots too low. Ohio State, Southern Cal are all mildly underrated, and teams like California and BYU (which aren't ranked by the BCS) are massively underrated.

Vegas looked smart when: Vegas has always distrusted Wake Forest, which got smashed by Vegas fave Clemson. Alabama, which Vegas didn't trust, lost at Mississippi State despite a nice BCS ranking. Hated-by-Vegas Connecticut was non-competitive at Cincinnati. Vegas faves BYU, Southern Cal and Florida all won.

Vegas looked dumb when: Vegas said Auburn was underrated and Georgia overrated; that didn't work out. Vegas said Florida State was underrated and Virginia Tech overrated; that didn't work out. Vegas has long hated Virginia; that didn't work out. Accursed Kansas keeps on winning, despite Vegas's knowledge that the Jayhawks aren't that good.

Games to watch: Two of Vegas's treasured teams take to the road: Cal at Washington, BYU at Wyoming. Two teams that make Vegas skeptical have winnable home games; Kansas vs. Iowa State, Illinois vs. Northwestern. But the big games--Ohio State-Michigan, for example--won't tell us much; in that case, Vegas love 'em both.

Numbers after the jump. BCS rankings in parentheses.

1. LSU (1)
2. Oklahoma (4)
3. Ohio State (7)
4. Oregon (2)
5. West Virginia (6)
6. Missouri (5)
7. Southern Cal (11)
8. Florida (12)
9. Kansas (3)
10. Clemson (15)
11t. Texas (13)
11t. Arizona State (8)
13. Georgia (9)
14t. Michigan (21)
14t. Virginia Tech (10)
16. Boston College (17)
17. California (NR)
18. Brigham Young (NR)
19. Boise State (18)
20. Tennessee (20)
21. Hawaii (16)
22. Penn State (NR)
23. Auburn (NR)
24. South Florida (NR)
25. Wisconsin (25)
26. Cincinnati (22)
27. Illinois (19)
28. Kentucky (23)
29. Utah (NR)
30. Arizona (NR)

Not ranked by Vegas: Virginia (14th BCS), Connecticut (24th BCS).

By Dan Steinberg  |  November 13, 2007; 12:44 PM ET
Categories:  College Football  
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Comments

Al Groh has lost against the bye in the past. Vegas may actually be right again.

Posted by: sitruc | November 13, 2007 1:17 PM | Report abuse

How can Michigan be ranked ahead of Wisconsin when Lloyd Carr is such a douchebag?

Posted by: pack4life | November 13, 2007 2:41 PM | Report abuse

So my main problem with these rankings are UVA's placement. I mean I certainly thing the BCS has them over ranked, however this does not mean they are not a top 30 team. The Vegas odds makers have the exact opposite flaw that the BCS computers have. Vegas pays to much attention to point spread and to little the Wins and Loss columns. Which is weird because I think they did a great job ranking us (VT) despite the nasty blowout that we had.

Posted by: Jumanji | November 13, 2007 3:27 PM | Report abuse

The point about Lloyd Carr is valid now, but the Badgers should easily be ranked ahead of Michigan after we roll pathetic Minnesota and Michigan loses for the 7th time in their last 8 tries against OSU. Still I don't really get why they get to ranked ahead of us. Illinois jumped us after we lost to them.
Also I'd like to point out that if you add a small mustache under Jim Tressel's nose he would look like Hitler with gray hair.

Posted by: BigDayne | November 13, 2007 3:51 PM | Report abuse

^check the meaning behind these rankings again

tressel = hitler is a stretch, but joe pesci should definitely play the joe pa' role in his biopic

bonus footage could be joe pa's fall on the sideline vs. the badgers on repeat, to a soundtrack

Posted by: pack4life | November 13, 2007 5:50 PM | Report abuse

At least somebody realizes how good BYU is. Go BYU.

Posted by: BYU FAN | November 16, 2007 9:20 PM | Report abuse

amen BYU Fan. i was glad when i read "and teams like... BYU (which aren't ranked by the BCS) are massively underrated"

that is so true. especially when they're 19-4 in their past 23 games, their biggest win being a 38-8 win over the BCS's beloved Oregon in the Vegas Bowl last year, Dixon and all.

Posted by: another BYU Fan | November 18, 2007 9:37 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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