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This Week's Oddsmakers Top 25 (30)


The coach of the most underrated good team in America. (By Mark Humphrey - AP)


Another week of presenting the top 30 football teams in the land according to the folks at Las Vegas Sports Consultants, whose voters, unlike AP and Harris Poll voters, are staking their livelihoods on the accuracy of their rankings.

Controversies: West Virginia is still ranked way higher than East Carolina, which beat the 'Eers. Clemson is still ranked way higher than Alabama, which beat the Tigers. Georgia is still ranked sixth, four spots lower than in the AP and Coaches' polls, which could turn out to matter. And Southern Cal, on a neutral field, is judged to be 4.5 points better than anyone else in the nation.

Biggest frauds, according to Vegas: It's like an South-eastern roll call. Alabama is ranked 14 spots too high by the AP, as is upstart East Carolina (which is "vastly overrated," according to the LVSC poll). Wisconsin is ranked 10 spots too high. Arizona State is ranked eight spots too high. LSU is ranked seven spots too high. Auburn is ranked five spots too high.

Biggest sleepers, according to Vegas: Again, there are plenty, and several SEC schools show up here as well. Like, South Carolina? Ranked 17 spots too low by the AP. TCU is ranked 16 spots too low. Arizona is ranked 15 spots too low; the Wildcats' showdown with overrated Arizona State will be a crucial test for the Vegas pollsters. West Virginia is ranked 13 spots too low off that one loss. Cal is ranked 12 spots too low; look out, Terps fans. (This is why you're two-touchdown dogs at home.) Oklahoma State is ranked 11 spots too low. Clemson is ranked nine spots too low. Penn State is ranked eight spots too low. Oregon is ranked six spots too low, the third Pac-10 team to crack this list. (East Coast Bias!!!)

Vegas looked smart when: Overrated Wake Forest struggled to beat Ole Miss at home. Vegas darlings like TCU, Arizona and Oklahoma State all won big. Vegas darling Penn State crushed Oregon State, in a game whose line was significantly whittled down by Nittany Lions skeptics.

Vegas looked dumb when: Arizona State rolled on, despite Vegas's concerns. Ditto for Wisconsin. Meanwhile, Vegas darling South Carolina suffered a bad loss, and Vegas darling Virginia Tech looked rotten in a win. Longtime Vegas darling BYU probably shouldn't have won at Washington. Plus, there was that whole East Carolina thing.

Games to watch: UCLA is at BYU; Vegas likes BYU more and UCLA less than do AP voters. Georgia is at South Carolina; Vegas likes South Carolina more and Georgia less than do AP voters. Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech; Vegas like Virginia Tech more and Georgia Tech WAY less than do AP voters. (Ga. Tech is 31st in the AP, and doesn't crack Vegas's Top 40.) Vegas darling TCU gets a decent test with Stanford.

Here are the full LVSC rankings, with AP rankings in parentheses.

1. Southern Cal (1)
2. Florida (4)
3. Oklahoma (3)
4. Missouri (6)
5. Ohio State (5)
6. Georgia (2)
7. Texas (8)
8. Texas Tech (12)
9. Penn State (17)
10. Oregon (16)
11. California (23)
12. West Virginia (25)
13. Kansas (13)
14t. LSU (7)
14t. Auburn (9)
14t. Brigham Young (18)
17. South Florida (19)
18t. Clemson (27)
18t. Texas Christian (34t)
20. Wisconsin (10)
21t. Oklahoma State (32)
21t. South Carolina (38t)
23t. Arizona State (15)
23t. Arizona (38t)
25t. Alabama (11)
25t. Utah (22)
27. Tennessee (30)
28. East Carolina (14)
29th. Virginia Tech (36)
29t. Cincinnati. (NR)

Not ranked by Vegas: Wake Forest (20th in AP poll), Fresno State (21st), Illinois (24th).

By Dan Steinberg  |  September 12, 2008; 12:56 PM ET
Categories:  College Football  
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Next: Today's Top Five: Shilling for Jeff George

Comments

Thanks! Love this stuff.

Posted by: Dominic | September 12, 2008 2:26 PM | Report abuse

Something's fishy here. These rankings, IMHO, are pretty poor. Lots of money to be made out there this week. Not that I would gamble or anything.

Posted by: Choowee | September 12, 2008 4:13 PM | Report abuse

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