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Redskins: Still Won't Be Underdogs Again

Vegas says the Steelers and Redskins are virtually identical, although their owners' politics aren't. (By David Guttenfelder - AP)

Washington's eight-point win conformed nearly exactly to Vegas's expectations last week, and so nothing much changed in the Las Vegas Sports Consultants' weekly measure of point-spread excellence.

The Redskins (judged 4th best in the NFL) are virtual locks to be favored in three of their remaining road games, which come against Vegas's 27th (Seattle), 28th (San Francisco) and 31st (Cincinnati) best teams. They're ranked higher than Philadelphia and Dallas, and thus should be favored in those home games.They're ranked barely behind Pittsburgh and the Giants (by 1.1 and 1.3 points, respectively), which should still leave Washington as narrow favorites at home. (This week, the Skins are something like 1.5- or 2-point favorites, which when accounting for the three-point home boost is just about what the rankings would suggest.)

That leaves just Baltimore, and since Washington is 5.5 points better on a neutral field, the Skins would also be narrow favorites in that game if it were played today. And Vegas, as we've seen, is slow to rearrange its rankings, which means it's still very much possible that your Washington Redskins will have been favorites in their final 11 regular season games.

(Won-loss record as favorites this year? 4-1. As underdogs? 2-1.)

Anyhow, the point is, if the favorite wins every one of the Redskins' remaining football games, their record would be 14-2. Which isn't too bad.

Some more rankings from around the Web: says that Washington is 5th, the Football Outsiders' math stuff agrees that Washington is 5th, Sportsline says Washington is 3rd, is slow to update their rankings says Washington is 5th, the Sporting News says Washington is 4th, as does Yahoo!, as does Fox Sports.

The full week 9 LVSC report:

1. Tennessee 143.5
2. New York Giants 143.4
3. Pittsburgh 143.2
4. Washington 142.1
5. Philadelphia 141.0
6. San Diego 140.7
7. Tampa Bay 140.0
8t. Indianapolis 139.7
8t. Jacksonville 139.7
10. Buffalo 139.6
11. Carolina 139.5
12. Green Bay 139.1
13. New England 139.0
14t. New Orleans 138.6
14t. Chicago 138.6
16. Dallas 138.5 (With Romo, they gain 2.5 points and move to 5th)
17. Minnesota 137.9
18t. Arizona 137.0
18t. New York Jets 137.0
20t. Baltimore 136.7
20t. Denver 136.7
22. Cleveland 136.2
23. Houston 135.6
24. Miami 134.5
25. St. Louis 134.2
26. Atlanta 133.4
27. Seattle 132.4
28. San Francisco 132.0
29. Oakland 131.5
30. Detroit 130.0
31. Cincinnati 129.9
32. Kansas City 129.7

By Dan Steinberg  |  October 29, 2008; 11:59 AM ET
Categories:  NFL , Redskins  
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I would love to see Detroit beat Kansas City by .3 points on a neutral site.

Posted by: ThisGuy | October 29, 2008 12:26 PM | Report abuse


S.I. has the Skins at fifth now

Posted by: joeblazin | October 29, 2008 12:49 PM | Report abuse

I love this stuff. Keep it coming Dan!

Posted by: kjhealey | October 29, 2008 1:21 PM | Report abuse

so if Romo's healthy, all 4 teams in the NFC East are in the top 5? ouch!

Posted by: DreamOutLoud | October 29, 2008 1:48 PM | Report abuse

"the point is, if the favorite wins every one of the Redskins' remaining football games, their record would be 14-2. Which isn't too bad."

we'd prolly be the worst 14-2 team in the NFL, unless we start stroking our oars like we should i'll continue to be an unhappy camper. thankfully theres still time to turn this skunk around ...

Posted by: jwattVT | October 29, 2008 1:50 PM | Report abuse

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