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Vegas Redskins Forecast: 12-4 or 13-3

(By Preston Keres - TWP)

Based on this week's Last Vegas Sports Consultants power rankings, the Redskins would be favored in nine more games, including their final six of the season. They would be underdogs at Philly (this week) and home against Dallas, and in a virtual pick 'em when Philly comes to FedEx. So even if you call the pick 'em a loss, that would leave Washington at 12-4. Zoinks.

And still, they're ranked last in their division. The oddsmakers say the NFC East hosts four of the top nine teams in the League, with Washington bringing up the rear, in 9th overall, which is why Philly is something like a 6-point favorite at home this week. So make your money on the Redskins now, while you still have a chance. In fact, I'm not sure I can find another power rankings in which the Redskins are ranked lower than they are in Vegas, which had Washington higher than almost anyone else to start the year.

Many in D.C. expressed surprise that Dallas at home was deemed 11 points better than the Redskins on the road last week. The latest Vegas power rankings have the gap narrowed, but they still say Dallas is the best team in the League, and it's still not particularly close. As always, the oddsmakers are slower to move than sportswriters, and more willing to write up one result as an aberration rather than a true test of merit. The Cowboys are judged two points better than the next best team (the Chargers) and 5.8 points better than Washington on a neutral field. Last week, they were judged 9 points better.

Some more rankings from around the Web: says Washington is 6th, the Football Outsiders' math stuff says Washington is 7th, Sportsline says Washington is 4th, says Washington is 3rd, and Fox Sports says Washington is 2nd. Um, Zoinks?

The full week 4 LVSC report:

1. Dallas Cowboys 146.0
2. San Diego Chargers 144.0
3. Philadelphia Eagles 142.9
4. New York Giants 142.1
5. Indianapolis Colts 142.0
6. Jacksonville Jaguars 140.9
7. Pittsburgh Steelers 140.4
8. Tennessee Titans 140.3
9. Washington Redskins 140.2
10. Buffalo Bills 139.6
11. Green Bay Packers 139.1
12. New Orleans Saints 139.0
13. New England Patriots 138.9
13. Tampa Bay Bucs 138.9
15. Minnesota Vikings 138.4
16. Denver Broncos 138.2
17. Chicago Bears 137.8
18. Carolina Panthers 137.6
19. New York Jets 137.5
20. Seattle Seahawks 136.3
21. Houston Texans 135.2
22. Arizona Cardinals 134.9
23. Baltimore Ravens 134.5
24t. Cleveland Browns 133.7
24t. Oakland Raiders 133.7
26. San Francisco 49ers 132.8
27. Cincinnati Bengals 132.5
28. Miami Dolphins 132.3
29t. Detroit Lions 131.5
29t. Atlanta Falcons 131.5
31. Kansas City Chiefs 131.0
32. Saint Louis Rams 129.9

By Dan Steinberg  |  October 2, 2008; 11:51 AM ET
Categories:  NFL , Redskins  
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Wow - what a difference a game makes. But crap like this makes me very nerovous. Rather people didn't expect anything from us and then we can surprise them!

Posted by: suzannepdc | October 2, 2008 12:29 PM | Report abuse

helllllooooo letdown game! i'll take the points.

Posted by: jamie | October 2, 2008 12:31 PM | Report abuse

I am more nervous for Philly than I was for Dallas, just because SUDDENLY the town is excited, the players are pumped, talk radio and ESPN are propping us up. If we don't blow this one, we are a legitimate team. Let's do it, baby.

Posted by: Brian G. | October 2, 2008 12:33 PM | Report abuse

Makes sense. We've had a few good games, but we are not world beaters, nor should we bank too much on such a small sample of games.

Posted by: TCO | October 2, 2008 12:55 PM | Report abuse

S.I. is the only one ranking that makes sense to me and not just because I am a Redskins fan.

How can any pub rank Dallas higher that Washington when they won in head-to-head competition. Both teams played all starters, (respect to Jansen) and it was played on Dallas' home turf.

If we had Cleveland as our opener, we'd we undefeated.

I'm happy though. I just like winning games.

Posted by: guymandude | October 2, 2008 1:23 PM | Report abuse

Before Sunday, we were 22-1 to win the NFC East and 100-1 to win super bowl.

Now we are 6-1 to win NFC East and 25-1 to win Super bowl.

Guess I missed the boat.

Posted by: Jimmy the Greek | October 2, 2008 1:51 PM | Report abuse

First off Vegas at this time is reactive to the money invested which is why you'll always see Dallas as "overrated".

Posted by: Gweez | October 2, 2008 2:05 PM | Report abuse

it would also be a virtual pick'em game at seattle according to the ratings. However, you can bet on the seattle game now and washington is a 3 point underdog

Posted by: vegas | October 2, 2008 3:31 PM | Report abuse

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