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Why Dallas is Favored

Just below here, I asked how Dallas could possibly be two point favorites AT Washington, when the Vegas rankings score the team's virtually identically. Here, courtesy of Las Vegas Sports Consultants' Ken White, is the explanation.

Based on their nearly identical rankings, the teams start out even.

Washington gets +1.0 for being at home. ("In all sports when the visiting team is the better of the two teams, there is very little if any home-field advantage," Ken wrote me, which is why the Skins aren't getting the 2.5-to-3.0 points typically granted the home side.)

Washington gets -2.0 for Portis's injury. If Portis turns out to be near-100 percent on Sunday, this line then becomes a major bargain.

Washington gets -1.5 for public perception, which factors in the large betting public typically attracted to "national" teams like the Cowboys.

Thus, you get an opening line of Dallas -2.5. Which really seems as juicy as they come.

By Dan Steinberg  |  November 12, 2008; 4:19 PM ET
Categories:  Redskins  
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Really, with this line, you bet the house on Dallas and don't think twice. Vegas is going to take so much action on the Skins at this number, and we all know how that goes. Just a terrible line for the Skins.

Posted by: Zornado | November 12, 2008 4:55 PM | Report abuse

Umm Dan, you forgot to take the Rally Rags into account.

Posted by: Kev29 | November 12, 2008 5:23 PM | Report abuse

I'm surprised that Las Vegas overlooked some critical other factors:

Dallas gets -1.0 for having Terrell Owens on the field now that Tony Romo is back.

Washington gets -1.0 for wearing those burgundy "Pac-10" pants.

Washington gets -1.0 for selling all their tickets to Cowboy fans on StubHub.

Posted by: hisroc | November 12, 2008 5:55 PM | Report abuse

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