The Terps and the upset
Because I'm a horribly annoying literalist, I saw Liz Clarke's item about how the Terps had seen zero upsets in 26 games and was blown away. The favorite, winning 26 times in a row? That seemed remarkable.
Well, it's close, but it's not entirely 0-26. According to the awesome VegasInsider.com schedule breakdown, Maryland is actually 15-4 as a favorite, and 1-6 as an underdog, the one win coming when the Terps were a 1.5-point underdog against Penn State. The Terps lost as home favorites against Boston College and Virginia Tech, as road favorites at BC, and as neutral-court favorites against Temple. All of those lines were at least 3.5.
How does this relative lack of upsets -- five surprises in 26 games -- compare to other area schools? According to VegasInsider:
George Washington is 9-6 as a favorite and 4-6 as an underdog. That's 10 surprises, the most of any area team I looked at.
Richmond is 16-5 as a favorite and 4-1 as an underdog. That's nine surprises.
Georgetown is 16-5 as a favorite, 3-0 as an underdog, and 1-0 in pick-ems. That's eight surprises.
Virginia is 8-3 as a favorite, and 4-9 as an underdog. That's seven surprises.
George Mason is 19-2 as a favorite, and 3-3 as an underdog, meaning the Patriots have played in the same number of upset games as the Terps.
Virginia Tech is 16-3 as a favorite, and 1-4 as an underdog, meaning the Hokies have actually played in fewer upset games than the Terps.