Re: Primary losses
Jonathan Bernstein says that I'm underselling the significance of three sitting senators losing in primaries:
That's three out of around 33, 34 or maybe 35, so lets call it 9%. Moreover, in this cycle in particular a whole bunch of Senators have retired, so we're talking now about (if I've counted correctly) only 26 Senators running for re-election. Two have lost. The third is in deep trouble today. Two more -- Bennet in Colorado and McCain in Arizona -- face serious challenges. So if Lincoln does lose today, we're already over 10%, and it could go as high as 23%. Is that a lot? It seems like a lot to me...I suspect that it will seem like a lot to Senators in the future who have to choose whether to antagonize their own party activists or swing voters.
On that last point, we certainly agree.
June 8, 2010; 1:11 PM ET
Categories: 2010 Midterms
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